Last Updated on November 5, 2020
- The Green Bay Packers -7 point favorites at the San Francisco 49ers on Thursday Night Football in Week 9. The total is set to 48.5.
- The Packers are 5-2 against the spread this year.
- Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both going on IR for the 49ers.
Thursday Night Football features two NFC teams with playoff hopes looking to bounce back after Week 8 losses. The banged-up San Francisco 49ers will host the first-place Green Bay Packers. This game will be a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship Game, but both teams will look different due to injuries.
In 2020, the Packers look like the team with legitimate Super Bowl hopes. Meanwhile, the 49ers are just trying to keep their head afloat in the competitive NFC West despite suffering a string of brutal injuries.
The Action Rush Thursday Night Football betting guide has the best odds, interesting props, analysis, and everything else you need to know for 49ers vs. Packers in Week 9.
49ers – Packers Odds TNF Week 9[metabet_core_game_tile query=”nfl/packers” site_id=”actionrush”]
The Packers are coming into this game as the road favorite. Green Bay is -3.5 on the spread line and -200 on the moneyline. However, different sportsbooks have different odds on this game. PointsBet Sportsbook has the current over-under is set to 52.
Keep an eye on this line in the lead-up to this game on Thursday night. The 49ers are dealing with a ton of injuries which means that the line could shift as the public money starts to pour in.
Game Preview & Betting Angles
The 2020 season has not gone according to plan for the San Francisco 49ers. Aside from the fact that they play in the best division in football — the NFC West — they have had to deal with injury after injury all season long. The latest casualties are All-Pro tight end George Kittle and starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo.
Once Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are placed on Injured Reserve, the 49ers will have $80 million dollars worth of cap value on IR this season, per @Epkap.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) November 2, 2020
Although Garoppolo hasn’t played great in 2020, his injury still puts head coach Kyle Shanahan in a tough spot. Without Garoppolo, it will be Nick Mullens for the 49ers. He’ll have to go against two-time MVP Aaron Rodgers, who is having a ridiculous year so far.
Rodgers has thrown for 20 touchdowns against just two interceptions en route to a 5-2 record. For reference, Rodgers threw for 25 and 26 touchdowns over his last two seasons, respectively.
Unfortunately for Rodgers, he likely won’t have his full complement of pieces around him due to the short week. Although they didn’t practice on Monday, Green Bay had 20 players listed on Monday’s injury report. Running back Aaron Jones, left tackle David Bakhtiari, and cornerback Kevin King all missed Sunday’s game. It’s unclear if they will be able to recover in time for Thursday.
Add in the fact that Green Bay is dealing with a potential COVID-19 outbreak and we don’t know what to expect this week. Rookie running back AJ Dillon tested positive for COVID-19 after playing in Sunday’s game.
Packers RB Jamaal Williams and LB Kamal Martin, who were added to the injury report as “not injury related,” have determined to be “close contacts” and the “league is evaluation if they were high-risk close contacts" after AJ Dillon was placed on the reserve/COVID list.
— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) November 2, 2020
What do all these injuries on both sides and the COVID-19 outbreak mean? Well, for starters, this could be a very unpredictable game. We saw that volatility come to fruition last week when the Packers lost to the last-place Minnesota Vikings.
We’re also seeing sizable differences on the spread line depending on the sportsbook. FanDuel Sportsbook has the Packers at -3.5, but DraftKings Sportsbook has them at -5.5. Even though this game is going to be a tough one to bet, bettors have options. Packers backers can grab them at -3.5, but 49ers backers can grab them at +5.5.
The 49ers are even at 4-4 against the spread and on over-unders so far this year. The Packers, on the other hand, are 5-2 against the spread and 4-3 on over-unders in 2020.
49ers vs. Packers TNF Prop Bets
Player props are some of the most popular bets on Thursday Night Football every week, but they won’t hit the board until Wednesday. There are game props and team props available, but stay tuned for player props when they come out. Here are some of our favorites that will be available:
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||26.5 (Ov -120 | Un +100)||286.5 (Ov +100 | Un -133)||1.5 (Ov -222 | Un +160)|
|Nick Mullens (SF)||20.5 (Ov +110 | Un -147)||211.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)||1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -182)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|JaMychal Hasty (SF)||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||67.5 (Ov +105| Un -130)||80.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)|
|Jerick McKinnon (SF)||6.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||51.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Tyler Ervin (GB)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
|WR / TE / RB||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Davante Adams (GB)||7.5 (Ov +110 | Un -137)||79.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||25.5 (Ov +125 | Un -167)|
|Robert Tonyan Jr (GB)||3.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||36.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)|
|Equanimeous St.Brown (GB)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
|Allen Lazard (GB)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
|Marquez Valdes-Scanting (GB)||2.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||27.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
|Jerick McKinnon (SF)||2.5 (Ov -190 | Un +150)||21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
|Trent Taylor (SF)||4.5 (Ov +130 | Un -162)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
|Ross Dwelley (SF)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)||xx.x (Ov – | Un -)|
How To Watch Packers – 49ers Thursday Night
- Date: Thursday, Nov. 5
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Levi’s Stadium (Santa Clara, California)
- TV: FOX, NFL Network, Amazon
Spread: Packers opened -3, current line Packers -7
Packers: 83.8% of tickets, 80.1% of handle
Total: Opened 51, current line 48.5
Over: 59% of tickets, 44.5% of handle#NFLPicks
— Jason Ziernicki 🎲🏈➡️💰 (@jziernick) November 5, 2020
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
As noted earlier, this is a very unpredictable game given the injuries and the nature of the short week. With all that in mind, let’s put our faith in Aaron Rodgers. Take the Packers laying the points due to the fact that Rodgers will be the best player on the field. Nick Mullens is a decent game manager, but Rodgers is a legitimate MVP candidate.
The under is another enticing play here, but we feel more confident in Rodgers and the Packers to cover the -3.5 that is currently available at FanDuel Sportsbook.