Last Updated on January 1, 2021

  • The Alabama Crimson Tide are a -19.5 favorite over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the College Football Playoff. The total is set to 65.5 points.
  • Alabama is 8-3 against the spread in 2020.
  • Notre Dame’s sole loss came against No. 2 Clemson in the ACC Championship Game.
  • Alabama has the second-ranked offense in college football
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The Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0) are back in the College Football Playoff once again after missing it for the first time last season. They are massive favorites over Notre Dame (9-1) in the Rose Bowl, which has been moved from Pasadena, California to Arlington, Texas.

It’s no secret why Bama is a three-score favorite. They have the second-best offense in college football and two Heisman Trophy finalists. Quarterback Mac Jones was one of the favorites to win the Heisman all year, but DaVonte Smith is making a late charge.

Notre Dame’s sole loss this season came against Clemson in the ACC Championship game. Ian Book became the winningest quarterback in Fighting Irish history and although they are heavy underdogs, this is one of the best Notre Dame teams in years. This will be their second appearance in the College Football Playoff.


Alabama – Notre Dame CFP Odds 2021

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Alabama is a -19.5 favorite over Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff. The Crimson Tide are -1200 on the moneyline, which is an insane number for a game against the No. 4 ranked team in the country. For reference, bettors would need to place a $1,200 wager on Bama to win $100. The total is set to 65.5 points.

Not only is Bama great in games straight up, but they have had success against the spread this year. They have covered in eight of their 11 games despite being the favorite in every game. The Fighting Irish are 5-6 against the spread this year.


Notre Dame vs. Alabama Rose Bowl Player Prop Bets

Quarterback Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Passing Completions
Ian Book (Notre Dame) 248.5  (Ov -113 / Un -113) 0.5  (Ov -220 / Un +164) 20.5  (Ov -106 / Un -120)
Mac Jones (Alabama) 354.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) 2.5  (Ov -128 / Un -102) 24.5  (Ov -113 / Un -113)
Running Back Rushing Yards Receiving Yards Total Rushing + Receving Yards
Kyren Williams (Notre Dame) 73.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) N/A 103.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)
Najee Harris (Alabama) 118.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) N/A 144.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)
WR/TE Receiving Yards Receptions Receiving Touchdowns
Javon McKinley (Notre Dame) 69.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) 4.5 (Ov +116 / Un -150) N/A
Michael Mayer (Notre Dame) 41.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) 3.5 (Ov +122 / Un -158) N/A
DeVonta Smith (Alabama) 167.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) 8.5 (Ov -150 / Un +116) N/A
John Metchie III (Alabama) 71.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113) 4.5 (Ov -120 / Un -106) N/A



Who is the public betting on?



Game Preview and Betting Angles

In this strange college football season, we are finally going to see Alabama play someone outside of the SEC. Notre Dame is usually independent, but they linked up with the ACC to make sure they could play a full schedule of games. It was a great decision for the Irish as they went undefeated up until the ACC Championship Game.

Now, they are looking to pull off the big upset against the top dog in college football. Let’s take a closer look at these teams as they prepare for one another in the Rose Bowl.


Alabama Game Notes

Alabama came ready to prove that last year’s 11-2 season was a fluke. Of course, for most college football teams, finishing 11-2 and winning a New Year’s Six Bowl would be a major accomplishment. However, for Bama, that is considered a “down” season.

But all is well in 2020 for Crimson Tide fans. Mac Jones is playing as well as any Bama quarterback in decades and he has no shortage of offensive weapons to turn to. DeVonte Smith might even have the inside track at the Heisman Trophy. He already has over 1,500 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns on the season. Notre Dame’s secondary is going to have their hands full trying to shut him down.

And even though Bama does a lot of damage through the air, don’t sleep on the run game. Najee Harris is an absolute stud as well. He has already compiled 1,578 yards from scrimmage and 27 total touchdowns on the year.

It’s no surprise why the Alabama offense is getting most of the attention, but the defense is a vintage Bama product. They are giving up fewer than 20 points per game and have only given up more than 24 points twice all season.

Year in and year out, Bama has more talent than any other team they play. Nick Saban continues to dominate college football.



Notre Dame Game Notes

Can Notre Dame pull off the major upset and shock the world? The odds would say no, but Ian Book knows how to win. He might not have the arm strength or the weapons that Mac Jones has, but Book continually finds ways to will the Irish to victory. Of course, Notre Dame will have to put forth a total team effort to pull off the upset, but it starts with Book.

Book is dangerous because he can beat defenses in different ways. Look no further than the biggest win of Notre Dame’s season to see what we mean. In their upset win over Clemson, Book threw for over 300 yards and rushed for 67 yards on 4.8 yards per carry. When things break down, Book has a knack for making the right play.

With that said, the Irish need a big game from running back Kyren Williams. The sophomore has over 1,000 yards rushing on the year and 13 total touchdowns, but he hasn’t faced a defensive front quite like Bama’s.

For the Irish to pull off the upset, they will need to have a strong running game. This will keep the Alabama offense off the field and it will keep their defense fresh for the second half. Bama has too much firepower to try and go shot for shot with them. Florida tried to do that in the SEC Championship Game and they just couldn’t keep up with the Tide.



Notre Dame holds the all-time advantage in this game at 5-2, but Bama has recent history on their side. In the 2013 BCS Championship Game, Alabama smacked Notre Dame by the score of 42-14. Obviously, the rosters have turned over considerably since that game, but it’s still Nick Saban vs. Brian Kelly.

These two teams have no common opponents this year given the conference-only schedules that they played.


How To Watch

  • Date: Friday, Jan. 1
  • Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: AT&T Field (Arlington, Texas)
  • TV: ESPN


Prediction: Roll Tide BLOWOUT!

Roll Tide. This might be one of Alabama’s best teams ever and Notre Dame stands little chance to keep this game close. The Crimson Tide ran the gauntlet in the SEC while Notre Dame played in the weaker ACC. This is going to be a major wake-up call for the Fighting Irish. Bama is just different. Take Alabama laying the points.


Final Score Prediction: Alabama wins 54-10


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