Last Updated on January 11, 2021
- The Alabama Crimson Tide are -9 point favorites on the spread against Ohio State in the National Championship Game. The total is set to 75.
- The Crimson Tide are 8-4 against the spread this season.
- Justin Fields threw for a career-high six touchdowns in the Sugar Bowl.
- Ohio State beat Alabama 42-35 in the inaugural College Football Playoff in 2015.
After all the ups and downs of the 2020 college football season, we are finally here — the National Championship. As is tradition with the College Football Playoff, the National Championship game features two blue bloods of college football. Undefeated Alabama (12-0) will square off with undefeated Ohio State (7-0).
Both teams cruised to double-digit victories in the semifinals. We’re hoping to see a more competitive field when these two take the field on Jan.. 11. Although Bama has the longer resumé, Ohio State proved they belong in their dominant performance over Clemson.
This matchup opened with Alabama as high as -8.5 on the spread. We don’t expect to see too much line movement either way. This should hover between -7 and -8 as the game approaches. With that said, COVID-19 issues for either team could cause some line movement.
Alabama – Ohio State Championship Odds 2021[metabet_core_odds_board league=”ncaaf” site_id=”actionrush” hide_consensus=”yes”]
Alabama is around a one-touchdown favorite in this game depending on what sportsbook you check. They opened as high as -8.5 in some places, but they are starting to settle between -8 and -7.5. Ohio State is +250 on the moneyline and the total is set to 75.
Bama has covered the spread in eight of their 12 games. They have been the favorite in every single game they’ve played this year. Ohio State, on the other hand, has been favored in six of their seven games. They are now 4-3 against the spread. Despite entering the Sugar Bowl as the underdog, the Buckeyes trounced Clemson.
Who is the public betting on, Alabama or Ohio State?
|CFB National Championship Game Consensus Picks|
|Updated Monday, January 11, 2021|
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|#3 Ohio State||+9||47%||48%||Over 75.0||43%||41%||+240||41%||44%|
|#1 Alabama||-9||53%||52%||Under 75.0||57%||59%||-315||59%||56%|
|Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook|
Alabama vs. Ohio State Player Prop Bets
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Mac Jones (Alabama)||26.5 (Ov -106 / Un -120)||365.5 (Ov -120 / Un -106)||3.5 (Ov -128 / Un -102)|
|Justin Fields (Ohio State)||22.5 (Ov -106 / Un -120)||290.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -106)|
|QB + Running Back||Rushing Attempts||Rushing Yards||Total Yards|
|Najee Harris (Alabama)||NA||111.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||146.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)|
|Brian Robinson Jr. (Alabama)||NA||17.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Trey Sermon (Ohio State)||NA||101.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||131.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)|
|Wide Receiver + TE||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|DeVonta Smith (Alabama)||8.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)||137.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|John Metchie III (Alabama)||3.5 (Ov -125 / Un -106)||61.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Jahleel Billingsley (Alabama)||2.5 (Ov -200 / Un +150)||40.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Najee Harris (Alabama)||3.5 (Ov -125 / Un -106)||36.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Chris Olave (Ohio State)||6.5 (Ov -125 / Un -106)||101.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Garrett Wilson (Ohio State)||5.5 (Ov -106 / Un -125)||77.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Jeremy Ruckert (Ohio State)||2.5 (Ov -200 / Un +150)||35.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Trey Sermon (Ohio State)||3.5 (Ov +110 / Un -143)||28.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
Game Preview and Betting Angles
It’s safe to say that we are getting the two best teams in college football in this game. The only question is whether or not Ohio State can keep up with the historic Alabama offense.
The Buckeyes have looked beatable at times this year. Alabama, on the other hand, have looked downright invincible. They have won every game this year except one by double digits. Let’s take a deeper look at both teams.
This Alabama offense is historically good. They are averaging just under 50 points per game which is good for second in the nation. The top-ranked offense, Kent State, only played in four games. Alabama has hovered around that 50 points per game mark for 12 games.
Mac Jones is the most prolific quarterback Alabama has had in decades. He’s putting up insane numbers this season and is one of the favorites to win the Heisman Trophy. Of course, the odds-on favorite is his top target — DeVonta Smith. The wide receiver is putting up downright unbelievable numbers. He has 105 receptions, 1641 receiving yards, and 20 receiving touchdowns in just 12 games. He’s the best receiver in the country and there isn’t a close second.
That dominant passing attack shouldn’t overshadow the rough-and-tumble ground game that Bama is synonymous with. Najee Harris is carrying on that tradition in a big way. Harris is averaging 6.1 yards per carry and has 27 total touchdowns on the year. The senior would be a legitimate contender to win the Heisman Trophy if not for his two teammates.
Generally, the defense is the most talented unit for Alabama year in and year out. That’s not the case this year, but the defense is still elite. They are allowing fewer than 20 points per game, which is quite the feat in today’s high-flying college football scene.
Ohio State Notes
Can Justin Fields lead his team to another upset win? It’s rare that the Buckeyes are underdogs two games in a row, but they certainly looked comfortable in that role in the Sugar Bowl.
Fields thoroughly outplayed the consensus No. 1 overall pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, Trevor Lawrence. The Buckeye threw for six touchdowns and 385 yards on 22-for-28 passing. Ohio State needs another standout performance from Fields if they want to take down the Crimson Tide.
Of course, Fields can’t do it alone. He needs another big game out of his running back, Trey Sermon. The senior put up 254 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown. Bama will have to account for him in the run game and through the air. That helps give the Buckeyes a dynamic element out of the backfield that keeps defenses guessing.
The big question for Ohio State is whether or not they can slow down the Alabama offense. We know Fields and Ohio State’s offense can put up points in bunches, but it’s tough to stage a comeback against this Alabama offense. The Buckeyes are only allowing 22 points per game, but they have yet to face an offense with this much talent.
Bama holds the all-time edge in this matchup with three wins in four tries. However, their last meeting came in 2015 in the inaugural College Football Playoff. Ohio State upset the top-ranked Crimson Tide 42-35 en route to a National Championship win. Obviously, both rosters have completely turned over, but Nick Saban is still the head coach for Alabama. Best believe he won’t forget that loss.
How To Watch
- Date: Monday, Jan. 11
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida)
- TV: ESPN
Prediction: Crimson Tide Cap Off Undefeated Season
This is a tough game to forecast given the fact that Ohio State only played seven games, but we have seen enough of Alabam to know how good they are. Ohio State won’t lay down for anyone, but it’s tough to see how any team in the country keeps up with Alabama’s offense. Take Alabama laying the points.