- The Saints enter this game as 10 point home favorites and are the No. 2 seed in the NFC
- The Bears squeaked into the postseason amid a Cardinals Week 17 loss.
- The Saints defeated the Bears by three points earlier this season.
- All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Football fans have six Wild Card games to look forward to this weekend, all thanks to the new and improved format of the NFL Playoffs. And the Sunday portion, which encompasses a trio of games, includes a matchup between the two-seed Saints and seven-seed Bears.
While the Saints enter this game having won the NFC South crown, the Bears hardly squeaked into the postseason and needed some help from the Rams. Since Los Angeles defeated the Cardinals in Week 17, a path cleared up for Chicago to enter the postseason for the first time since 2018.
New Orleans is certainly the more talented team in this game, employing the better coach, quarterback, and offensive and defensive units. Sure, 10.0 points is a wide spread, but the Saints have a shot at covering in this matchup en route to advancing to the next round.
This Action Rush NFL Playoffs betting guide provides odds, picks, and analysis for the Bears-Saints Wild Card matchup.
Bears – Saints 2021 Wild Card Odds
Per DraftKings Sportsbook, the Saints are 10.0-point home favorites and -480 on the moneyline while the Bears are +370. The total is set to over-under 47.5.
The Bears are 8-8 against the spread this year while the Saints are 9-7. The over has hit in eight of the Bears’ 16 games (8-8) and 10 of the Saints’ 16 games (10-6). Chicago’s average total is 46.4 and New Orleans’ average total is 51.2.
Who is the public betting on?
|Sunday, January 10, 2021|
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|CHI Bears||+9.5||36%||41%||Over 47.5||57%||72%||+360||22%||18%|
|NO Saints||-9.5||64%||59%||Under 47.5||43%||28%||-435||78%||82%|
Bears vs. Saints Player Prop Bets
|Passers||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Mitchell Trubisky (CHI)||22.5 (Ov +102 | Un -127)||244.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -120)|
|Drew Brees (NO)||23.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||267.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -235 | Un +180)|
|Rushers||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Receiving and Rush Yards|
|David Montgomery (CHI)||16.5 (Ov +105 | Un -132)||62.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||92.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124)|
|Mitch Trubisky (CHI)||N/A||14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Alvin Kamara (NO)||14.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)||63.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||101.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Latavius Murray (NO)||N/A||35.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Receivers||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Allen Robinson (CHI)||5.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105)||70.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||23.5 (Ov -102 | Un -124)|
|Michael Thomas (NO)||5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||69.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Emmanuel Sanders (NO)||3.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101)||47.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Jared Cook (NO)||2.5 (Ov -117 | Un -107)||29.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
Game Preview and Betting Angles
These two teams faced one another in Week 8 of the regular season, with the Saints winning by three points. New Orleans has actually emerged victorious in each of its last six matchups with Chicago.
The Saints clinched a playoff berth nearly a month ago — after a Week 13 win over Atlanta. However, amid two late-season losses to the Eagles and Chiefs, they moved back from the top spot to the two seed, with Green Bay moving up to clinch the prestigious first-round bye.
The Bears needed to defeat the Packers this past Sunday in order to clinch a spot in the NFC Playoffs, and although they didn’t get the job done, they’re still able to play January football due to the Cardinals’ Week 17 loss to the Rams. Chicago owned the tiebreaker over Arizona due to a better record in common games.
Bears Game Notes
With the exception of the most recent loss to the Packers, the Bears are rolling. They closed out the regular season winning three of four games with consecutive victories over the Texans, Vikings, and Jaguars. They peaked at the right moment, but that doesn’t mean they’re all that talented. Those three teams they beat late in the season are non-playoff ballclubs and the trio possesses an average of four wins. Not to mention, the Bears lost six straight games prior to that winning streak.
They’ll be led by fourth-year quarterback Mitch Trubisky, who continued his struggles this season but played better late in the year. During the recent three-game win streak, he combined for six touchdowns and two picks on a 71% completion rate with an average of 244.7 yards per game.
Against an incredible Saints run defense, the Bears will field running back David Montgomery, who rushed for 1,070 yards and eight scores this season (both team-highs). The Bears will hope to get a significant amount of production out of him in order to take the pressure off Trubisky, who’s certainly prone to making mistakes.
Saints Game Notes
The NFC South-winning Saints enter the week having won each of their last two games against the Vikings and Panthers. They’re definitely the better-coached team for this playoff matchup, given New Orleans still went 3-1 even without Drew Brees earlier this season.
And speaking of the man himself, the longtime veteran threw for 2,942 yards, 24 touchdowns, and just six picks with a 70.5% completion rate through 12 games. His top target was running back Alvin Kamara, who led the team with 83 catches and 756 yards.
Kamara underwent a great season, but it’s unclear if he’ll play in the Wild Card matchup. The Pro Bowler recently tested positive for COVID-19 and we don’t know if he’ll clear the necessary protocols in time for Sunday’s kickoff.
As far as the defensive side of the ball is concerned, the Saints employed one of the top units in the league this season. The group was fourth in total defense and fifth in scoring, and shouldn’t experience many issues facing a Bears team that’s 26th in total offense and 22nd in scoring.
How To Watch Bears – Saints Wild Card
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 10
- Time: 4:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome (New Orleans, LA)
- TV: CBS, Nickelodeon
Prediction: Saints Cover and Win Outright
The Saints are just way too talented and well-coached for the Bears to even compete with, and I believe they’ll win this game by over 10 points and ultimately advance to the Divisional Round of the NFC Playoffs. Given the additional strength of the Saints defense, the Bears should fail at significantly contributing to the total, which will lead to the under hitting.