Last Updated on January 9, 2021

  • The Buffalo Bills are -6.5 against the Indianapolis Colts on Wild Card Weekend. The total is set to 52 points.
  • The Bills are 11-5 against the spread this season.
  • The Colts are back in the playoffs after missing out in 2019.
  • The Bills are third in the NFL in takeaways (26).
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After a season that almost didn’t happen, we finally reached the playoffs. The Buffalo Bills (13-3) will host the Indianapolis Colts (10-6) to kick things off. Buffalo looks like the top challenger to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC, but they will need to break a 25-year drought in order to make a run at the Super Bowl. Buffalo’s last playoff win came in 1995.

The Colts have been rejuvenated by the play of Philip Rivers this season. Indy tends to lean on their defense and the rushing attack, but Rivers is always capable of making a play, even if he doesn’t have the arm strength he once did. The Action Rush NFL Playoff betting guide provides odds, props, and analysis for the Bills-Colts Wild Card Weekend matchup.


Bills – Colts Odds Wild Card Game

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The Buffalo Bills are -6.5 against the Indianapolis Colts on Wild Card Weekend. Buffalo is the heavy favorite on the moneyline at -286. The total is set to 52 points.

The Bills have been outstanding against the spread this year. They covered in 11 of their 16 games. Meanwhile, the Colts finished an even 8-8 against the spread. Buffalo also tended to hit the over as well, doing so in 11 of 16 games.


Most Lopsided Game of the Week – Massive Bills Action!

Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
IND Colts +6.5 9% 18% Over 51.0 79% 73% +245 16% 19%
BUF Bills -6.5 91% 82% Under 51.0 21% 27% -286 84% 81%




Colts vs. Bills Player Prop Bets

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Josh Allen (Bills) 24.5 (Ov -175 / Un +145) 310.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +110 / Un -135)
Phillip Rivers (Colts) 23.5 (Ov -135 / Un +110) 266.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 1.5 (Ov -150 / Un +120)
QB + Running Back Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Total Yards
Devin Singletary (Bills) 8.5 (Ov +115 / Un -140) 29.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 47.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)
Josh Allen (Bills) NA 25.5 (Ov -145 / Un +115) NA
Zack Moss (Bills) 9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105) 37.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125) 48.5 (Ov +100 / Un -125)
Jonathan Taylor (Colts) NA 77.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112) 95.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112)
Nyheim Hines (Colts) NA 21.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112) 48.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112)
Wide Receiver + TE Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Devin Singletary (Bills) 2.5 (Ov +125 / Un -155) 14.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 9.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)
Stefon Diggs (Bills) 7.5 (Ov +120 / Un -150) 90.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 26.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)
Zack Moss (Bills) 1.5 (Ov +130 / Un -160) 7.5 (Ov +100 / Un -120) NA
T.Y. Hilton (Colts) 4.5 (Ov +110 / Un -140) 53.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105) 22.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112)
Zach Pascal (Colts) 3.5 (Ov +110 / Un -135) 41.5 (Ov -110 / Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112)
Michael Pittman Jr. (Colts) 3.5 (Ov -145 / Un +115) 41.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110) 18.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)
Dawson Knox (Bills) 2.5 (Ov -150 / Un +118) 29.5 (Ov -118 / Un -108) 16.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112)



Game Preview and Betting Angles

The Bills and Colts are meeting for the first time this season. Although Buffalo is the team that’s seen as a legitimate Super Bowl contender, don’t sleep on the Colts. They play no-nonsense football that shows up every week against any opponent. The Bills are going to have their hands full on Saturday.


Bills Notes

Are the Bills for real or is this another year where they flame out in the playoffs? It’s been 25 years since Buffalo won a playoff game, but this might be the team to break the streak. Although Josh Allen won’t beat out Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes for the MVP, he was in the conversation for most of the season. His emergence as a legitimate star has helped propel the Bills to their first AFC East title since 1995.

Allen has thrown for career-highs in completion percentage (69.2%), yards (4,544), touchdowns (37), and interception percentage (1.7%). And the third-year quarterback is dangerous with his legs too. He has seven rushing touchdowns on the season as well.

Allen’s top target is Stefon Diggs, who had an insane season. He’s a lock to make an All-Pro team this year. Diggs led the NFL with 127 receptions and 1,535 receiving yards. If Indianapolis wants to shut down this Bills offense, they can start by locking down Diggs.

The Bills are slightly above average in nearly every defensive category, but they are elite at creating turnovers. Buffalo is third in the NFL with 26 takeaways this season.



Colts Notes

Philip Rivers is one of the best quarterbacks to not make a Super Bowl appearance. He is first in the NFL in touchdowns and passing yards among quarterbacks who have never made it to the Super Bowl. His 5-6 playoff record leaves something to be desired, but he doesn’t have to be a superstar to win with the Colts.

Indianapolis is led by their strong defense. They are second in the NFL in rushing defense. That should come in handy against Buffalo’s three-headed monster of Devin Singletary, Zack Moss, and Josh Allen. Indy is also 10th in scoring defense this year. Buffalo has a prolific offense, but they are going to need to bring their A-game to score on this Colts defense.

The Colts are 5-3 on the road this season. Although home-field advantages are generally diminished in this bizarre season, Buffalo is going to allow fans into the building on Saturday for the first time all season.


How To Watch Bills – Colts

  • Date: Saturday, Jan. 9
  • Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
  • Location: Bills Stadium (Orchard Park, New York)
  • TV: CBS


Prediction: Bills Break The Streak, Don’t Cover

The Bills are going to beat the Colts, but they are not going to cover this big spread. Take the Colts and the points. Philip Rivers has enough playoff experience to keep things close and this Indianapolis defense can hang with anyone. Look for Josh Allen and the run game to struggle for Buffalo, but they’ll find enough to survive and advance.

Final Score Prediction: Bills win 24-21

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