Last Updated on December 13, 2020

  • The Buffalo Bills are -1.5 on the spread against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. The total is set to 48 points.
  • The Steelers are first in the NFL in scoring defense.
  • Buffalo is 9-3 on over-unders this season.
  • The Steelers and Bills are second and third in the AFC, respectively.


The Pittsburgh Steelers (11-1) are no longer the last undefeated team left in the NFL after losing to the Washington Football Team last week. The Buffalo Bills (9-3) laid a beatdown on the San Francisco 49ers in the second leg of Week 13’s Monday night doubleheader. Now, the Steelers and Bills will meet in primetime in what could be a playoff preview.

The Steelers and Bills are currently second and third in the AFC, respectively. These two teams are remarkably similar and we expect to see a battle as they jockey for playoff positioning. Although the Kansas City Chiefs are the odds-on favorite in the AFC, the Steelers and Bills both have legitimate Super Bowl aspirations.

The Action Rush Sunday Night Football betting guide has the best odds, interesting props, analysis, and everything else you need to know for Bills vs. Steelers in Week 14.


Bills – Steelers Spread Week 14 SNF

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The Bills are -1.5 against the Steelers, but there are some sportsbooks with Pittsburgh at +2. Buffalo is -122 on the moneyline while Pittsburgh is a slight underdog at +108. The total is set to 48 points.

The Steelers are coming into this game with an undefeated record on the road (5-0) and they are one of the best teams in the NFL against the spread (8-4) per DraftKings Sportsbook. The Bills, on the other hand, are a respectable 7-5 against the spread this year. Buffalo has gone over on the total points in nine of 12 games this year, including four of their last five. Pittsburgh has gone under on the total points in four of their last five.


Sharp Money Is On The Bills

Here is what the public betting splits look like over at DraftKings Sportsbook:

Team Spread Total Handle Bet Tickets Total Points Total Handle Bet Tickets Moneyline Total Handle Bet Tickets
PIT Steelers +2 28% 49% Over 48.0 87% 84% +108 69% 70%
BUF Bills -2 72% 51% Under 48.0 13% 16% -122 31% 30%


Game Preview and Betting Angles

Plenty of people were calling the Steelers overrated after starting 11-0. The loss to Washington highlighted some of Pittsburgh’s weaknesses on offense, but underestimate this team at your own risk. The Bills are gaining steam after winning five of their last six, including convincing wins over the 49ers and Seahawks.

Interestingly enough, the Steelers and Bills are both scoring 27.8 points per game this season, which ranks seventh in the NFL. We could be in for a shootout between the crafty veteran Ben Roethlisberger and the young gun Josh Allen.


Bills Game Notes

Josh Allen is having a career year under center for the Bills. The third-year quarterback already has career highs in yards, touchdowns, completion percentage, interception percentage, passer rating, and quarterback rating. Simply put, Allen is taking a massive leap forward after two years of inconsistent play. He is the biggest reason for Buffalo’s ascension this year.

The Bills are third in the NFL in passing yards per game (276.4), but don’t forget that Allen can run the ball too. He’s second on the team in rushing yards (322) and first in rushing touchdowns (6).

Defensively, the Bills are somewhat vulnerable. They are middle of the pack in almost every defensive category and are sporting just a +2 turnover differential. However, that differential has more to do with Allen’s freewheeling style of play. Losing the turnover battle is a sure-fire way to give Pittsburgh the upper hand on Sunday night.

Steelers Game Notes

Despite the noise around this Pittsburgh team following the disappointing loss to Washington, the Steelers are still a bonafide contender in the AFC. Roethlisberger and the offense didn’t show up on Monday, but that is one of the few times they have laid an egg this season.

But make no mistake about it, the Steelers are led by the defense, which ranks first in the NFL in scoring (17.8 PPG), sixth in rushing defense (100.7 YPG), second in passing defense (199.8 YPG), and third in total defense (300.5 YPG). Pittsburgh also ranks first in the NFL in turnover differential (+11).

Mike Tomlin’s defense is strong at almost every position, but it all starts in the trenches. The Steelers lead the NFL in sacks with 44 and T.J. Watt could wind up being the Defensive Player of the Year. He’s second in the NFL in sacks with 12, just a half-sack behind Aaron Donald despite playing one fewer game. Watt is also first in the NFL with 21 tackles for loss. Donald is second with 16.

Although Watt is the best player on the Pittsburgh defense, he’ll be without his running mate for the rest of the season. Bud Dupree suffered a torn ACL in Week 13 and is out for the year.



How To Watch Bills – Steelers On SNF

  • Date: Sunday, Dec. 13
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Location: Bills Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)
  • TV: NBC


Betting Picks and Score Prediction

The Bills are one of the ascendant teams in the NFL and the Steelers looked shaky on Monday night, but we have to take Pittsburgh as the underdog. This is only the third time all year that the Steelers will be underdogs. Take Pittsburgh with the points or on the moneyline if you want a bigger payout.


Final Score Prediction: Steelers win 27-24