Last Updated on October 13, 2020
- The Titans’ last seven home games have hit the over.
- The Bills are 3-1 against the spread in 2020.
- The Titans are 0-3 against the spread this year.
Are you ready for Tuesday night football? That feels weird to write, but in the craziness that is the 2020 NFL season, it’s become a reality. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak among the Tennessee Titans, they haven’t played a game in over two weeks.
The Titans are a perfect 3-0 on the season, but their opponent, the Buffalo Bills are also undefeated. After four convincing wins in the first four weeks of the season, the Bills are a legitimate contender in the AFC and their Super Bowl stock is rising. it’s unclear how the long layoff between games will affect Buffalo.
Bills – Titans Line Tuesday Night[metabet_core_game_tile query=”nfl/bills” site_id=”actionrush”]
The Bills are -3.5 coming into this game and for good reason. Josh Allen is looking like an early MVP candidate and the defense is holding up its end of the bargain as well. Buffalo is -172 on the moneyline which translates to approximately a 63% chance of winning on Tuesday.
The total points are set to 51.5 which seems to indicate that oddsmakers think the long layoff won’t throw off either team’s rhythm offensively. The Bills have scored 27 or more points in all four of their games and the Titans have put up 30+ in their last two wins.
Preview & Betting Angles
Tuesday night football is going to be brand new for all the players and coaches on the field, but once the game starts, it’s still football. Despite the long layoffs for both teams, these are still two of the best teams in the AFC. We expect this game to be a close contest that features plenty of Josh Allen for the Bills and Derrick Henry for the Titans.
The Titans will have home-field advantage in this game. Although the crowd won’t be at full capacity there will be between 8,000 and 9,000 fans in attendance. It’s certainly odd to see Tennessee decide to let fans in the building given the team’s recent outbreak with coronavirus, but it’s nonetheless notable for bettors.
— Tom Pelissero (@TomPelissero) October 13, 2020
When it comes to the Bills, they go as Josh Allen goes. The third-year quarterback is taking a massive step forward in his development this year. And while it’s too early to make MVP proclamations, he’s certainly in the conversation. Through four games, all wins, Allen has 1,326 passing yards, 15 total touchdowns, and a 70.9% completion percentage.
Just your daily reminder Josh Allen is really good at football pic.twitter.com/6QeVlv76Vi
— James Phillips (@jphillips4793) October 10, 2020
The one issue that Allen has had in his career is taking care of the football. He has three fumbles so far in 2020 and 25 in 32 career games. On the bright side, he has cut down on his interceptions considerably. His one pick of the season came on a very questionable call against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3.
Buffalo ranks fifth and third in total scoring and total offense, respectively. Allen is the driving force behind those outstanding offensive ranks.
If the Titans are going to pull off the upset, they’ll need to control the ball and keep Allen on the sidelines. There might not be a better running back equipped to do that than Derrick Henry right now. Henry led the NFL in rush attempts, rush yards, rushing touchdowns, and rush yards per game last season. Despite only playing in three games in 2020, he already has 319 yards which is good for first in the NFL in rush yards per game.
Henry is the definition of a workhorse back and in order to keep Buffalo’s high-flying offense in check, Tennessee is going to need to rely on the Alabama product to sustain long, grueling drives.
When it comes to the spread, Tennessee has had little success this year. They are 0-3 against the spread in 2020 while the Bills are 3-1. The over has hit in two of Tennessee’s three games. Meanwhile, the over is a perfect 4-for-4 in Bills games.
Prop Bets Bills vs. Titans
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Ryan Tannehill (TEN)||19.5 (Ov -155 | Un +124)||239.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||1.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Josh Allen (BUF)||24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||295.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||1.5 (Ov -250 | Un +195)|
|Josh Allen (BUF)||N/A||N/A||0.5 (Ov -1250 | Un +700)|
|Josh Allen (BUF)||N/A||N/A||2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -200)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Derrick Henry (TEN)||22.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||99.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||120.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Ryan Tannehill (TEN)||N/A||13.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Wide Receivers + Tight Ends||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Derrick Henry (TEN)||2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -162)||14.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||N/A|
|Jonnu Smith (TEN)||4.5 (Ov -121 | Un -103)||51.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|A.J. Brown (TEN)||4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105)||58.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|John Brown (BUF)||3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -137)||45.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Stefon Diggs (BUF)||4.5 (Ov -200 | Un +160)||78.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Cole Beasley (BUF)||N/A||49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
How To Watch Bills vs. Titans Tuesday
- Date: Tuesday, Oct. 13
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
- TV: CBS
— Jason Ziernicki 🎲🏈➡️💰 (@jziernick) October 13, 2020
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
As much as we love Derrick Henry’s ability to take over a game, it’s tough to pick against the Bills. Josh Allen is dominating defenses and a 3.5-point spread doesn’t seem like a big ask for this Buffalo offense. Take the Bills laying the points but also keep an eye on the over. It’s highly likely that one or both of these teams hit the 30-point mark on Tuesday night. That would make the over a near lock to hit.