With the NFL’s “legal tampering” period underway, lots has changed in the NFL. When the league’s landscape changes, so do the Super Bowl odds. We have seen significant movement on DraftKings Sportsbook in their Super Bowl Futures market, including the effects from Tom Brady heading to the Buccaneers, the DeAndre Hopkins for David Johnson trade, and many other free agent signings. Let’s take a look at the current odds, some volatile situations, and odds movement for the Super Bowl futures market.
|Team||Current Super Bowl Odds||May 23||May 13||April 29||April 22||April 15||April 5||March 20||March 2||February 3|
The Brady Effect, Tampa Bay Super Bowl Odds Soar
March 2: +4000
March 18: +1800
Tom Brady will be the quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Say that out loud. It seems crazy, but it is happening. That also helps the Bucs’ odds to win the 2021 Super Bowl, as the odds have jumped from +4000 to +1800 on DraftKings Sportsbook. This is a monumental piece of NFL history as one of its greatest players is moving teams for the first time in his career. Joe Montana went to the Chiefs, and now Tom Brady will be in Tampa Bay with Bruce Arians and the Bucs. Brady will now have an elite trio of athletic weapons in Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and O.J. Howard.
Undoubtedly, the Bucs will add to their stable of offensive weapons and defensively they were a vastly improved team in 2019. The Bucs’ Super Bowl odds are now +1800, up from close to +4000. The question is simple…can Brady succeed away from the Patriots? We will see.
Tom Brady-Bucs update: While there won’t be any last-minute snags, the two sides still are going over the language in the contract before it can be finalized, per league sources. But nothing expected to prevent Brady from announcing that he is the new Bucs’ QB.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) March 18, 2020
Patriots Odds Drop With QB Uncertainty
March 2: +1200
March 18: +1700
The Bucs are not the only team affected by the signing of Tom Brady, as now the Patriots’ quarterback depth chart is Jarrett Stidham and Cody Kessler. There is quite a high likelihood that the Patriots’ 2020 quarterback is currently not on the roster. The Pats still have +1700 odds to win the Super Bowl, but their odds certainly took a hit from +1200. This will be a team to watch going forward, as whoever the QB will be in 2020 will certainly change the odds. DraftKings Sportsbook having them at +1700 indicates some hope for a successful player at the position, but options are running out. Is the Patriots’ dynasty over? Can Belichick do it without Brady? We will see, very soon.
Before Tom Brady took to social media yesterday, the Patriots had had the most stable QB situation in the NFL since @TomBrady entered the league in 2000.
In the last 20 seasons, New England has started just five different quarterbacks, the fewest of any NFL franchise. pic.twitter.com/gfEs8gtmF3
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) March 18, 2020
Panthers Odds Pounce After Bridgewater Signing
March 2: +10000
March 18: +7000
The Carolina Panthers have gone through some massive changes this offseason. Ron Rivera is gone, Matt Rhule is the new head coach, and highly coveted Joe Brady is the new offensive coordinator. Now, they have a new quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater and Cam Newton has been given permission to seek a trade. The Panthers’ Super Bowl odds are only +7000, so they are not considered a threat. But jumping from +10000 to +7000 is no easy feat, and they will be a team to watch with new coaching, and a new quarterback. Joe Brady worked wonders with Joe Burrow at LSU, is it Teddy Bridgewater’s turn?
Carolina is giving former Saints' QB Teddy Bridgewater a three-year, $63 million deal, per source.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) March 17, 2020