Last Updated on January 10, 2021
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 8.5-point road favorites despite being the lower seed.
- Washington squeaked into the playoffs as the winner of its own division with a Week 17 win over the Eagles.
- Washington has covered in four of its last five games when entering as an underdog.
- All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
We’ve finally made it to the Wild Card round of the NFL Playoffs, and due to the new 14-team format, we now have three games on both Saturday and Sunday. The matchups on either day will kick off at 1:05 p.m. ET, 4:40 p.m. ET, and 8:15 p.m. ET, with the Saturday primetime slot hosting a fantastic matchup in the NFC.
The five-seeded Tampa Bay Buccaneers will travel to the Nation’s Capital to face the four-seeded Washington Football Team, who recently won the NFC East with a win over the Eagles. Washington peaked at the right moment, winning five of its last seven games en route to its first division title since the 2015 season.
The Bucs, on the other hand, are in a much tougher NFC South division, given their lower seeding but better record. Regardless, they’re definitely the more talented team in this matchup, which is why the oddsmakers are favoring them by a wide margin.
This Action Rush NFL Playoffs betting guide provides odds, picks, and analysis for the Buccaneers-Washington Wild Card matchup.
Buccaneers – Washington Wild Card Odds
Per DraftKings Sportsbook, the Buccaneers are currently 8.5-point road favorites and -400 on the moneyline while Washington is +330. The total is set to over-under 45.5.
Both of these ballclubs are 8-7-1 against the spread this year. The over has hit in nine of the Bucs’ 16 games (9-7) and five of Washington’s 16 games (5-10-1). The average total is 52.9 for the Buccaneers and 41.5 for Washington.
Bettors Are Hammering the Bucs To Win & Cover!
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|TB Buccaneers||-8||73%||71%||Over 45.0||28%||63%||-400||88%||87%|
|WAS Football Team||+8||27%||29%||Under 45.0||72%||37%||+335||12%||13%|
Buccaneers vs. Washington Player Prop Bets
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Tom Brady (NE)||25.5 (Ov +107 | Un -134||292.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -190)|
|Running Backs||Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Ronald Jones (TB)||14.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||56.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||N/A|
|Leonard Fournette (TB)||N/A||20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||35.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Antonio Gibson (WAS)||12.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||47.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Peyton Barber (WAS)||N/A||9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|J.D. McKissic (WAS)||N/A||21.5 (Ov +101 | Un -125)||55.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|RB, WR & TE||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Ronald Jones (TB)||1.5 (Ov -137 | Un +110)||12.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||8.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|J.D. McKissic (WAS)||4.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||31.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||13.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Terry McLaurin (WAS)||5.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115)||68.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Cam Sims (WAS)||3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -177)||35.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Rob Gronkowski (TB)||3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -162)||33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Logan Thomas (WAS)||3.5 (Ov -182 | Un +142)||38.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
Game Preview and Betting Angles
Washington didn’t face the Buccaneers in the regular season, so the Football Team have yet to go up against Tom Brady in a Tampa Bay uniform.
The Bucs’ talented offense (led by Brady, Antonio Brown, Chris Godwin, Rob Gronkowski, and potentially Mike Evans) going up against a Chase Young-led Washington defense that’s fourth in scoring and second in average yards allowed should be a miraculous matchup.
This will be the Buccaneers’ first playoff game since the 2007 season. During that postseason run, they lost to the Giants (the eventual Super Bowl 42 champs) in the Wild Card round.
Buccaneers Game Notes
Having finished the season 11-5 and in second place in the NFC South (behind the two-seed Saints), the Bucs are red hot and are on a four-game winning streak. Nonetheless, the competition wasn’t all that fantastic. They faced the Falcons twice, Lions, and Vikings in that stretch — all non-playoff teams in the NFC.
Washington will undoubtedly be the best team Tampa has faced since losing to the Chiefs at the end of November.
Brady underwent a sensationally productive season, throwing for 40 touchdowns to just 12 picks with a 65.7% completion rate. It’s just the second time in his career he’s thrown 40 or more touchdowns and first time since he threw a then-record-breaking 50 in his 2007 MVP season.
The future Hall of Famer’s top target was Mike Evans, who caught 70 balls for 1,006 yards and 13 touchdowns this season — all team-highs. However, Evans is currently day-to-day with a knee injury suffered in the Week 17 win over Atlanta. The MRI showed no structural damage, but his status for the Wild Card round is unconfirmed as of right now.
Washington Game Notes
Washington has won its first division title since 2015 in its inaugural season under new head coach Ron Rivera, and to match the talent of the Bucs offense, the Football Team will be fielding a defensive unit that’s one of the league’s best. As was previously mentioned, the Football Team are second in total defense and fourth in scoring. They’re additionally second in the pass-defense department as well.
In order to prevent Brady from getting the ball into the hands of his many weapons, Washington will need to bring the pressure a significant number of times in this game. Luckily, the Football Team employ sensational edge rusher and likely Defensive Rookie of the Year Chase Young. The former Ohio State standout has racked up 7.5 sacks, 44 combined tackles, 10 tackles for loss, 12 quarterback hits, and four forced fumbles en route to his first-ever Pro Bowl nod.
The pass-rushing unit doesn’t just stop there though — not even close. Montez Sweat (leads team with 9.0 sacks and 20 quarterback hits) will additionally get in the mix along with defensive tackle Jonathan Allen (two sacks, 14 quarterback hits).
Expect Brady and Bruce Arians to execute short, high-percentage throws in this game in an attempt to construct long drives and tire out the opposing defense. Third downs will be extremely crucial — Washington’s defense needs to get off the field in the big moments if it wants to stay in this game.
How To Watch Buccaneers – Washington Wild Card
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 9
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: FedEx Field (Landover, MD)
- TV: NBC
Prediction: WFT Covers but Buccaneers Get The “W”
The Buccaneers are the more talented team in this matchup and are only a lower seed due to their tough division in comparison to the weak NFC East (Washington advanced at 7-9). Thus, I believe they will be able to keep the Alex Smith-led Washington offense in check while doing just enough against this strong defensive unit to win the game outright. Washington will hold its own though, and the defense should help keep it a one-score game.
Oh, and given the strength of either defense (the Bucs are eighth in scoring with 22.2 points allowed per game), I’d say the under has a great chance at hitting as well.