Last Updated on February 19, 2021

The news the NFL offseason has been waiting for finally dropped, as the domino that is Carson Wentz fell and landed in Indianapolis. Late Thursday morning, the Eagles and Colts completed a trade that sent quarterback Carson Wentz to the Colts for a third-rounder this season and a 2022 second-rounder, but with conditions. From the Colts side, this increased their Super Bowl chances, as Wentz certainly bodes better for the Colts than a free-agent or rookie option in 2021.

As we learned, the condition allows for that second-round pick to become a first rounder assuming Wentz plays well and stays healthy. Let’s take a look.



Eagles Trade Carson Wentz to Colts

As Mike Garafolo reported, among many others, Wentz is headed to the Indianapolis Colts for a third-rounder this year and a conditional second. This of course, reunites the Colts’ head coach Frank Reich with Wentz, who he coached with the Eagles when he was the offensive coordinator.

There was much discussion about Wentz going to the Chicago Bears, but that proved false as the Colts scooped the former MVP candidate. Adam Caplan even reported the Bears dropped out of the trade talks recently for Wentz.


Conditional Pick Becomes First Rounder if Wentz Plays Well

While Eagles fans were initially upset with the return on the trade, the condition certainly made much more sense for the Eagles. As Garafolo reports above, if Carson Wentz hits a few benchmarks the 2022 second round pick becomes a first rounder. If Wentz:

  • Plays 75% of the snaps
  • Plays 70% of the snaps and Colts make the playoffs

This pick will then become a first for the Eagles, which would likely be later in the first round for 2022. Keep in mind, the Eagles now have a large heap of dead cap on their books for the upcoming season due to Wentz’ contract.


Colts Super Bowl Odds Rise to +2200

At DraftKings Sportsbook, the Colts’ Super Bowl odds are now +2200 to win Super Bowl 56. They moved up from +2500 immediately after the trade, and could continue to climb if bettors wager on Indianapolis with the hope that Wentz becomes his former MVP-candidate form.

Only nine teams are ahead of the Colts in terms of Super Bowl odds, with only four teams ahead of him in the AFC.

  • Chiefs +525
  • Bills +1200
  • Ravens +1300
  • Browns +2000

With these odds being fresh, expect them to move again during the offseason as the Colts could very well add more pieces to surround Wentz with plenty of cap space. Will Wentz return to form? Time will tell, but he was certainly very good with Philadelphia in 2017-2018.


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