The month of July means sun and summer vacation to some, but to NFL bettors it means NFL futures are out and there is value ripe for the picking. NFL player props are becoming more and more popular with no signs of slowing down, so that market is something that sports betting platforms will continue to push out earlier and earlier.
With more and more NFL player props being released for the upcoming season, the most popular ones are beginning to surface. One of the most-wagered on futures props for NFL players is who will lead the NFL in passing yards, rushing yards, and receiving yards. Let’s take a look at these betting markets, the opening odds for each, and some players that make for solid value bets.
NFL Player Props – Odds to lead NFL in Passing
Here is a look at the opening odds to lead the NFL in passing yards, with prices courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
|Player||Odds to lead NFL in passing yards|
There is by far the largest group of candidates to win this futures prop, which is why the odds vary from +310 all the way to +30000. While Patrick Mahomes is the favorite at a whopping +310, that is not great value to take advantage of. Here is a look at some quarterbacks with great value for this futures prop.
Yes, he may not start for the Saints but that is built into the massive price of 70:1. If he does start, the gunslinging mentality still exists for Winston and he’ll have a plethora of weapons at his disposal. The number is too high here.
Burrow’s price is +3400, which is solid value given how often the Bengals may throw the football this season. They are expected to be underdogs in most games, which gives Burrow a chance to throw the ball often. Add in the addition of former LSU wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase to the fold gives the Bengals a terrific passing attack to pair with the likelihood of playing from behind.
While +500 is not great value for a prop like this, Prescott was throwing at an otherworldly rate before his injury last year as he was on pace for well over 5,000 yards. Had he not gotten hurt, this price would probably be in the range closer to +300 where Mahomes is.
Odds to lead NFL in Rushing Yards – NFL Player Props
One of the most popular betting props is which player will lead the NFL in rushing yards for the given NFL season. Here are the opening odds courtesy of FanDuel.
|Player||Odds to lead NFL in rushing yards|
Running backs make for difficult futures bets given the volatility of the position with injuries and game script. For example, if a running back on a bad team has favorable odds to win the rushing title, it seems a bit unlikely given the game flow of a team when they are behind as teams will pass the football. With that in mind, it makes players like Aaron Jones and Ezekiel Elliott worth wagering on assuming they are in favorable game scripts this season. Henry is the clear favorite, but there is some value to be had on other running backs.
To Lead NFL in Rushing Picks
- Ezekiel Elliott (+2400)
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+5500)
- Jonathan Taylor (+1100)
DeAndre Hopkins leads odds to lead NFL in receiving yards
While Hopkins leads the way at +750, here is a look at the rest of the players’ opening odds to lead the NFL in receiving yards.
|Player||Odds to lead NFL in receiving yards|
|Odell Beckham Jr.||+3100|
Hopkins and Stefon Diggs top the charts at +750 and +800 to lead the NFL in receiving, but other players have solid betting value with these opening lines. For example, Terry McLaurin at +1900, Travis Kelce at +1300, and D.J. Moore at a whopping +3200 all make for great value bets.
Travis Kelce Odds
Kelce is listed as a tight end, but he plays the possession receiver role for Kansas City and was well on his way to leading the NFL in receiving before having a game off in Week 17. With a longer season and more of a likelihood of each player playing in each game (barring injury) with the new playoff format, Kelce is primed for a big 2021 which makes his +1300 quite the value.
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