The month of July means sun and summer vacation to some, but to NFL bettors it means NFL futures are out and there is value ripe for the picking. NFL player props are becoming more and more popular with no signs of slowing down, so that market is something that sports betting platforms will continue to push out earlier and earlier.

With more and more NFL player props being released for the upcoming season, the most popular ones are beginning to surface. One of the most-wagered on futures props for NFL players is who will lead the NFL in passing yards, rushing yards, and receiving yards. Let’s take a look at these betting markets, the opening odds for each, and some players that make for solid value bets.

 

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NFL Player Props – Odds to lead NFL in Passing

Here is a look at the opening odds to lead the NFL in passing yards, with prices courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Player Odds to lead NFL in passing yards
Patrick Mahomes +310
Dak Prescott +500
Josh Allen +850
Tom Brady +950
Justin Herbert +1200
Matt Ryan +1300
Aaron Rodgers +2000
Matthew Stafford +2000
Trevor Lawrence +3100
Joe Burrow +3400
Derek Carr +3700
Ryan Fitzpatrick +3700
Kirk Cousins +4100
Kyler Murray +4100
Jared Goff +4400
Russell Wilson +4400
Ryan Tannehill +6500
Zach Wilson +6500
Ben Roethlisberger +7000
Jameis Winston +7000
Baker Mayfield +8500
Carson Wentz +8500
Sam Darnold +8500
Tua Tagovailoa +8500
Daniel Jones +13000
Jalen Hurts +13000
Jimmy Garoppolo +13000
Lamar Jackson +22000
Mac Jones +22000
Andy Dalton +30000
Cam Newton +30000
Davis Mills +30000
Drew Lock +30000
Justin Fields +30000
Taysom Hill +30000
Teddy Bridgewater +30000
Trey Lance +30000
Tyrod Taylor +30000

 

There is by far the largest group of candidates to win this futures prop, which is why the odds vary from +310 all the way to +30000. While Patrick Mahomes is the favorite at a whopping +310, that is not great value to take advantage of. Here is a look at some quarterbacks with great value for this futures prop.

 

Jameis Winston

Yes, he may not start for the Saints but that is built into the massive price of 70:1. If he does start, the gunslinging mentality still exists for Winston and he’ll have a plethora of weapons at his disposal. The number is too high here.

 

Joe Burrow

Burrow’s price is +3400, which is solid value given how often the Bengals may throw the football this season. They are expected to be underdogs in most games, which gives Burrow a chance to throw the ball often. Add in the addition of former LSU wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase to the fold gives the Bengals a terrific passing attack to pair with the likelihood of playing from behind.

 

Dak Prescott

While +500 is not great value for a prop like this, Prescott was throwing at an otherworldly rate before his injury last year as he was on pace for well over 5,000 yards. Had he not gotten hurt, this price would probably be in the range closer to +300 where Mahomes is.

 

Odds to lead NFL in Rushing Yards – NFL Player Props

One of the most popular betting props is which player will lead the NFL in rushing yards for the given NFL season. Here are the opening odds courtesy of FanDuel.

Player Odds to lead NFL in rushing yards
Derrick Henry +450
Christian McCaffrey +600
Dalvin Cook +600
Nick Chubb +850
Cam Akers +1100
Jonathan Taylor +1100
Antonio Gibson +1600
Joe Mixon +1600
Saquon Barkley +1600
Aaron Jones +2400
Ezekiel Elliott +2400
Najee Harris +2800
Chris Carson +3100
J.K. Dobbins +3100
David Montgomery +3400
Josh Jacobs +3400
De’Andre Swift +4400
Mike Davis +4800
Alvin Kamara +5500
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +5500
Austin Ekeler +7000
Damien Harris +7000
Javonte Williams +7000

Running backs make for difficult futures bets given the volatility of the position with injuries and game script. For example, if a running back on a bad team has favorable odds to win the rushing title, it seems a bit unlikely given the game flow of a team when they are behind as teams will pass the football. With that in mind, it makes players like Aaron Jones and Ezekiel Elliott worth wagering on assuming they are in favorable game scripts this season. Henry is the clear favorite, but there is some value to be had on other running backs.

To Lead NFL in Rushing Picks

  • Ezekiel Elliott (+2400)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+5500)
  • Jonathan Taylor (+1100)

 

DeAndre Hopkins leads odds to lead NFL in receiving yards

While Hopkins leads the way at +750, here is a look at the rest of the players’ opening odds to lead the NFL in receiving yards.

Player Odds to lead NFL in receiving yards
DeAndre Hopkins +750
Stefon Diggs +800
Calvin Ridley +1000
Tyreek Hill +1200
D.K. Metcalf +1300
Davante Adams +1300
Michael Thomas +1300
Travis Kelce +1300
A.J. Brown +1400
Justin Jefferson +1400
Keenan Allen +1700
Amari Cooper +1900
Terry McLaurin +1900
Allen Robinson +2400
Julio Jones +2400
CeeDee Lamb +2600
Chris Godwin +2700
Mike Evans +2700
Ja’Marr Chase +2800
Darren Waller +3100
George Kittle +3100
Odell Beckham Jr. +3100
D.J. Moore +3200
Tee Higgins +3200
Cooper Kupp +3500
Robert Woods +3500
Adam Thielen +3700

Hopkins and Stefon Diggs top the charts at +750 and +800 to lead the NFL in receiving, but other players have solid betting value with these opening lines. For example, Terry McLaurin at +1900, Travis Kelce at +1300, and D.J. Moore at a whopping +3200 all make for great value bets.

 

Travis Kelce Odds

Kelce is listed as a tight end, but he plays the possession receiver role for Kansas City and was well on his way to leading the NFL in receiving before having a game off in Week 17. With a longer season and more of a likelihood of each player playing in each game (barring injury) with the new playoff format, Kelce is primed for a big 2021 which makes his +1300 quite the value.

 

More NFL futures to bet

 

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Jason is the founder of ActionRush.com. The site is dedicated to reporting on the latest sports betting news, odds, and industry rumors.
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