Last Updated on September 22, 2020

With Week 4 of the college football season here we have the return of the SEC. Due to the coronavirus pandemic, the league pivoted to a 10-game, conference-only schedule for 2020. Florida and Ole Miss will kick off the season with a battle in “The Grove.”

Florida is ranked fifth in the country and Ole Miss is coming into the season unranked.

 

Florida – Ole Miss Betting Line

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There are a wide range of spreads you can grab for Florida – Ole Miss depending on what sportsbook you’re checking. FanDuel has the Gators at -10.5 and BetMGM has the Rebels at +14.5. This is great news for backers of either side. It gives bettors options depending on which side they like.

Florida is the overwhelming favorite on the moneyline at -588 which converts to approximately an 85% chance of winning. Despite the home-field advantage, Ole Miss is going to be up against it this weekend.

The over-under is a bit more cut and dry. You can grab it at either 57 or you can grab that extra half-point at 57.5.

 

 

Game Preview & Betting Angles

Florida is a tough matchup for Ole Miss every which way. They were one of the best teams in the country last season, but they were still overlooked in the grand scheme of things. That can happen in the SEC when teams like LSU, Georgia, and Alabama have great seasons too.

But this year might be different for the Gators. They have the fifth-best odds to win the national title and the third-best to win the SEC. LSU is taking a step back and Georgia and Alabama are not invincible. The Gators are led by Senior quarterback Kyle Trask, who has an outside shot at winning the Heisman Trophy this season.

After Feleipe Franks after he suffered a gruesome leg injury against Kentucky last year, Trask stepped in and he never looked back. He threw for 2,941 yards, 25 touchdowns, and just seven interceptions in 12 games last season. The Gators were a much better team with Trask running the show and now they are hoping that he can take another step forward in 2020. His top target will be tight end Kyle Pitts, who will almost certainly be playing on Sundays in the near future.

Florida lost some key contributors on defense, but they always seem to reload at key positions year in and year out. Dan Mullen is 21-5 as a head coach in Gainesville and he’s looking to continue that momentum this season.

On the flip side, Ole Miss is a program in transition. Lane Kiffin is the cat of college football coaching. He has nine lives and he’s back in the SEC after a three-year stint with Florida Atlantic. The Rebels are bringing back 15 starters in total this season so the cupboard isn’t completely bare for Kiffin, but they don’t have the talent that Florida has on either side of the ball.

 

Florida – Ole Miss Historical Matchup Stats

Ole Miss holds the historical advantage in this series with a record of 12-11-1, but Florida gave them a beating in their most recent matchup. That was a 38-10 drubbing in 2015.

Oddly enough, Florida and Ole Miss rarely play each other despite residing in the same conference. That comes with the territory with expanded conferences and seven teams in each division. This will be Mullen’s first meeting against Ole Miss since he took over as head coach in Gainesville.

 

How To Watch Florida – Ole Miss

This is one of the first SEC games on the docket this season and Joe Tessitore, Greg McElroy and Marty Smith will call Florida – Ole Miss. The game is set for kick-off at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN.

This game will coincide with a matchup between two top-25 SEC schools, No. 23 Kentucky and No. 8 Auburn, which is set for a noon start time on SEC Network.

 

Betting Picks & Score Prediction

The Gators have bigger things on their minds than just beating Ole Miss this week which means that they could come out flat. That was the case last year when they allowed a weaker Miami (FL) team to hang around until the fourth quarter.

However, this year is likely to be much different. They have a big-time quarterback in Trask who has shown that he can handle the bright lights of the SEC. Take Florida laying the points, especially if you can grab them at -10.5.

 

Final score prediction: Florida wins 34-14