Last Updated on October 8, 2020
- The Florida Gators are -6.5 point favorites, with an over-under of 57 points for their visit to Texas A&M on Saturday.
- Florida is 2-0 against the spread this season.
- Texas A&M is 0-2 against the spread so far this year.
The SEC is off and running and this year’s conference-only schedule seems to have big game after big game. This Saturday, the Florida Gators travel west to take on Texas A&M at Kyle Field.
Oddly enough, Florida quarterback and Heisman Trophy frontrunner Kyle Trask was actually named after Kyle Field. Now he’s coming to College Station to push the Gators to 3-0 and a little closer to the SEC Championship Game. Alabama blew out A&M in Tuscaloosa last week 52-24 and the week prior, the Aggies nearly lost a stinker to lowly Vanderbilt.
In a college football week with tons of compelling games, Texas A&M vs. Florida is right there at the top.
Florida – Texas A&M Betting Line
Florida is -6.5 on the spread line and -250 on the moneyline. The Gators covered the spread in their first two games of the year — Ole Miss and South Carolina.
The over-under varies from sportsbook to sportsbook, but you can grab the over at 57 and the under at 57.5. That half-point might not seem like much right now, but it can be the difference between cashing and coming up empty.
Game Preview & Betting Angles
The Florida Gators have some flaws, but Heisman Trophy hopeful Kyle Trask isn’t showing any so far this season. In two wins, he has 684 yards, 10 touchdowns, and just one interception. Although he’s a much different type of quarterback, Trask is meshing as well with head coach Dan Mullen as Tim Tebow did once upon a time in Gainesville.
Remember, Mullen was the offensive coordinator for the Gators during the mid-2000s run where they won two national championships. He has Florida looking like the new and improved version of those teams.
Trask’s best weapon will be playing on Sundays soon enough. Tight end Kyle Pitts is the real deal. The dominant pass-catcher already has six touchdowns this season, which is as many as he had in his first two years in Gainesville.
In fact, Pitts is on the board with Heisman odds at +5000 following his hot start. It’s unlikely he wins it because as long as he’s catching touchdowns, Trask is throwing them. Only two tight ends in NCAA history have won the Heisman Trophy, Larry Kelley and Leon Hart.
The only thing more efficient than the Gators' offense is my ultra-condensed, snap-to-snap cut of the game – watch every snap in less than 20 minutes (https://t.co/PvctAuo5U6). Here's a sample – the Gator's five-play, 69-yard touchdown drive in the first quarter vs South Carolina pic.twitter.com/mvjxmBZLrF
— libgator (@lib_gator) October 7, 2020
Now that we’ve established that Florida has a great coach and two elite guys leading a potent offense, let’s talk about where Texas A&M can expose the Gators. The defense has not looked completely sharp so far through two games, allowing 29.5 points per game.
In particular, Florida’s secondary has fallen victim to mental lapses that can lead to big plays. A&M quarterback Kellen Mond is off to a good start this season with 500 yards for four touchdowns and one interception. Mond isn’t at the same level as Trask, but he does have three years of playing experience under his belt.
Luckily for the Gators, Jimbo Fisher likes to establish the run first so that it can open up the passing game. If Florida can bottle up the running game and take an early lead, it will force the Aggies to play from behind. That’s the exact formula that Alabama used to squash A&M last week.
Texas A&M – Florida Historical Matchup
Generally speaking, conference games mean there is a ton of history between the two teams. That’s not the case for Florida and Texas A&M as the two schools have only played each other four times. They are 2-2 against each other with Texas A&M winning the most recent matchup in 2017.
In big conferences like the SEC, it’s impossible to schedule every team in football year in and year out. That means that schools in different divisions don’t always face each other.
How To Watch Texas A&M – Florida
This SEC grudge match will kick off this Saturday’s college football slate at noon on ESPN. The game will be called by Dave Pasch (play-by-play), Greg McElroy (game analyst), and Holly Rowe (sideline reporter). The game can also be streamed through the ESPN app or ESPN+.
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
If it wasn’t already clear, take Florida laying the points here. Their offense is clicking on all cylinders right now and Texas A&M won’t be able to hang on forever in a shootout. The Gators can win this by 20 points if they play up to their capabilities, so we’re confident that they can cover a touchdown.