Last Updated on October 7, 2020
- Georgia is only allowing 8.0 points per game this season.
- Tennessee is 2-0 against the spread in 2020.
- The under has hit in three of four games for these teams.
Georgia and Tennessee are headlining this weekend’s SEC schedule in the coveted 3:30 p.m. ET television slot on CBS. This is generally reserved for the biggest game of the week and this game certainly qualifies.
No. 3 Georgia is looking to continue its march towards the SEC Championship Game, the College Football Playoff, and perhaps even a National Championship. Meanwhile, the 14th-ranked Volunteers are out to prove that they are for real this season after their strong finish in 2019.
This is one of four games between ranked teams for this weekend’s slate of college football games.
Georgia – Tennessee Betting Line
Although Tennessee is climbing in the AP Top-25 Poll in recent weeks, they are still heavy underdogs at +12.5 against Georgia. The Bulldogs are -490 on the moneyline which means they have an 83% chance of winning.
The total points are anywhere between 42.5 and 43.5 depending on which sportsbook you’re using. This low number is no surprise considering the fact that Georgia is only allowing 8.0 points per game. Although Tennessee has played weaker competition so far this season, they are only allowing 19.5 points per game.
Game Preview & Betting Angles
Georgia made a statement last week with their dominant win over the Auburn Tigers. Bo Nix and the Auburn offense couldn’t get anything going due to Georgia’s swarming defense. Although the Bulldogs only came away with one takeaway in the game, they didn’t allow Auburn to move the ball at all.
Tennessee hasn’t had issues scoring against the likes of South Carolina and Missouri this season, but if they think Georgia will be anything close to those two defenses, they have another thing coming.
It’s early in the season, but it looks like the way to beat Georgia’s defense is going to be through explosive plays. They’re simply too good all-around to allow teams to put together long drives that result in touchdowns. Unfortunately for the Volunteers, they aren’t built to score on huge chunk plays.
Jeremy Pruitt on if Tennessee is ready to compete with Georgia: "Yes, absolutely."
"They've got good coaches and good players and we do too… We're looking forward to it."
— Rocky Top Insider (@rockytopinsider) October 3, 2020
Tennessee favors a ground-and-pound offense that is going to play right into Georgia’s hands. They are currently third in the nation in rush defense with opposing offense only averaging 58 yards per game on 2.32 yards per carry.
Offensively, Georgia may have found something in Stetson Bennett. The former walk-on took over for D’Wan Mathis when the Bulldogs were struggling to move the ball against Arkansas and they haven’t looked back. Bennett isn’t lighting it up with crazy numbers, but he’s taking care of the football and letting his skill position guys do the heavy lifting. That’s all Georgia needs with their potent running game and dominant defense.
Tennessee is 2-0 against the spread so far this year while Georgia is only 1-1. As for the total points, Tennessee has hit the under once and the under has come in twice for Georgia.
Georgia – Auburn Historical Matchup Stats
There’s a reason this is known as the Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry. The history stretches back to 1899 when Tennessee beat Georgia 5-0 in their first game against one another.
Georgia holds a very slight historical edge with a 24-23-2 record against Tennessee all-time and they are currently riding a three-game winning streak into this weekend. But Georgia caught Tennessee early last season before they really hit their stride. This year has the potential to be different now that Tennessee is on an eight-game winning streak stretching all the way back to October 2019.
How To Watch Georgia – Auburn
As noted earlier, this is SEC on CBS game of the week. As such, Brad Nessler (play-by-play), Gary Danielson (game analyst), and Jamie Erdahl (sideline reporter) will be on the call. This is as big as it gets for SEC teams and it’s no surprise that Georgia is in the coveted top spot against a ranked opponent.
Kick-off is set for 3:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
The over-under is set to a very low number, but don’t let that scare you away. The Georgia offense likes to wear teams down and Bennett isn’t the type of quarterback to throw it 100 times in a game. And of course, we expect Georgia’s defense to bottle up Tennessee and keep them at a low number.
In all likelihood, Georgia is going to cover the spread as well, but that is a very high number to take in what could be a grind-it-out type game. Georgia is an elite team, but Tennessee isn’t a pushover.
Final score prediction: Georgia wins 28-10
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