The most important sporting event of the entire year is the Super Bowl. From the media to the commercials to the personalities in attendance, the Big Game means everything. From a legal sports betting perspective, it’s the single-biggest event that happens once a year. Last year, the American Gaming Association estimated that over six billion dollars were bet on Super Bowl 53 between the Rams and Patriots, worldwide. In America with the legal sports betting industry growing at a rapid pace, expect that number to be even larger for the 2020 Super Bowl between the Chiefs and the 49ers.
Let’s take a look at how you can bet this year’s Super Bowl.
Super Bowl 54 Betting Odds
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The lines and odds for Super Bowl 54 came out even before the conference championships finished, as both teams won in blowout fashion. With this being a very close spread, the bets for most books are expected to be split down the middle by kickoff. The Chiefs are slight favorites, but a popular bet amongst Super Bowl bettors thus far has been the over, as we’ve seen the total rise to 54 or 54.5 in some places after opening a few points lower.
Entering the season, the Chiefs were +600 to win the Super Bowl and fell as far as +1400 after Patrick Mahomes’ knee injury midseason. The Niners opened up at +4000, and had a massive turnaround with a healthy offense, defense, and terrific coaching from Kyle Shanahan’s staff.
Super Bowl 54 Preview and Prediction
As aforementioned, this game is quite even with a spread of just 1.5 points. We should all expect a terrific football game on Sunday, as this is set to be an evenly-matched matchup on paper. The San Francisco 49ers arguably have the best defense in the NFL, and the Kansas City Chiefs arguably have the best offense in the NFL. It is rare that we see the “best against the best”, but that seems to be the case this season. There is one matchup that can truly be exploited in this game though, as the Chiefs do struggle against the run.
With Chris Jones banged up, the Chiefs’ rush defense remains the weakest unit of the four (pass offense, pass defense, rush offense, rush defense) in this game. Given that the Niners have the most creative rushing attack in the NFL paired with a great offensive line and the best FB/TE tandem in the NFL in Kyle Juszczyk and George Kittle, it is quite likely the 49ers will look to attack the Chiefs in the trenches. Look for Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman (if healthy) and Matt Breida to feast. This proposed game plan of running the football will help keep the Chiefs’ explosive offense off the field.
Expect the Chiefs to target a relatively slower secondary with their speed when passing the football, but everyone is slower relative to the Chiefs’ speed. Super Bowl 54 promises to be a terrific football game.
Super Bowl 54 Prediction:
Kansas City Chiefs – 27
San Francisco 49ers – 24
MVP – Patrick Mahomes
Chiefs vs. 49ers Betting Stats and Trends
Here are some stats and trends to use for Super Bowl 54:
- Chiefs are 10-4-1 against the spread when favored
- Chiefs have covered by 10 PPG in the last eight games
- Kansas City are 9-4-1 against the spread after a win
- The 49ers are 5-0 against the spread as underdogs
- San Francisco is 2-5 against the spread when both teams have equal rest
Let’s look at some crazy trends for Super Bowl 54:
- The underdogs have covered in the Super Bowl 10 of the last 13 seasons
- Teams that wear white jerseys are 13-2 in the last 15 years, the 49ers will be wearing white
- Favorites are 8-2 in Miami Super Bowls
- The AFC is 10-5 in Super Bowls played in Florida
- The 49ers are 2-0 in Super Bowls in Miami
How to Bet on the Super Bowl
There are many ways to bet on the Super Bowl in 2020, especially if you are located in the US, in a legal sports betting state. Let’s take a look at some ways to bet Super Bowl 54.
Spread – The most popular betting style for football, betting on the favorite or underdog in terms of a margin of victory. The Chiefs -1.5 means if you bet them, they need to win by more than 1.5 points. The 49ers +1.5 means the 49ers need to come within 1.5 points of the Chiefs (or win outright), meaning 28-27 Chiefs would result in a 49ers win in terms of betting the +1.5.
Total – Simply betting over or under the total point sum. 54.5 points is the over/under, so betting “over” would mean 55 points or more and “under” would mean 54 points or less.
Moneyline – A bet on who will win the game, but there are odds attached to the bet. For example Chiefs -120 would mean $120 would be needed to bet to win $100 (on a scale) but 49ers +120 would mean $100 wagered would net $120 in payout.
Live In-Game Betting – In-game betting is just as popular on sportsbooks that offer, as you can bet on updated odds in-game. Are the Chiefs down by a touchdown but you still think they can win? Bet the in-game odds on ever-changing lines and prices.
Player Props – A growing market for bettors, which is betting on a player’s stat line. For example, Patrick Mahomes’ passing yards prop could be 310.5 yards. Bet over or under that as a player prop bet. There are also odds to score a touchdown and many more for player prop markets.
Game Props – Will the coin toss be heads or tails? Which team will score first? All these types of bets are game props, and are very popular for the Super Bowl
Super Bowl MVP – Bet on who you think will win Super Bowl MVP at variant odds. Do you think Patrick Mahomes will win? Bet him at certain odds.
Best Places to Bet on The Super Bowl
The best places to bet on the Big Game in the US is where legal sports betting is available.
DraftKings Sportsbook – Available in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Indiana, New Hampshire
PointsBet Sportsbook – Available in New Jersey and Iowa
William Hill Sportsbook – Available in New Jersey and Iowa
FanDuel Sportsbook – Available in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Indiana
Where Can I Legally Bet on the Super Bowl?
In the US, you can legally bet on the Super Bowl in the following states: Nevada, Delaware, New Jersey, Mississippi, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Arkansas, New York, Iowa, Indiana, Oregon, New Mexico (some tribal casinos). You must be physically located in one of these states, and then in-state rules and regulations apply. For example, Delaware, New York, and others only currently allow on-site betting options at casinos. Other states such as Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, and Indiana allow for mobile sports betting as long as you are located in-state. Here’s a breakdown:
Bet Legally Online and at Retail Sportsbooks
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- Rhode Island
- West Virginia