Last Updated on October 1, 2020
The first few weeks of Thursday Night Football featured intriguing matchups, but now NFL fans will have to endure the New York Jets and Denver Broncos. Neither of these teams are going to be challenging for a Super Bowl this year.
The Jets are completely inept right now and the Broncos are playing a quarterback who is making his first career NFL start. It’s not exactly the marquee matchup that fans want to see in primetime.
Here is our Action Rush Thursday Night Football betting guide complete with the best odds, prop bets, and analysis for the start of Week 4 of the NFL season.
Jets – Broncos Odds Week 4[metabet_core_game_tile query=”nfl/jets” site_id=”actionrush”]
Somehow, the Jets are +1.5 against the Broncos despite the fact that Denver is going to be severely shorthanded. Denver will be without its starting quarterback, Drew Lock, for the second consecutive week, but that’s only the start of their injury woes. Similarly, the Jets are banged up at nearly every position, but they have their quarterback, Sam Darnold.
The Broncos are -115 on the moneyline which means they have approximately a 54% chance of winning. This game is as close to a coin flip as you’ll find this week.
Although most NFL teams are scoring points at a ridiculous rate, this over-under is set to 40. When the Jets have been as bad as they are offensively and the Broncos are starting Brett Rypien, it’s no surprise.
TNF Preview & Betting Angles
This game is going to be front and center on Thursday Night Football, but it’s undoubtedly one of the worst matchups of Week 4. The Jets and Broncos are both looking for their first win of the season. A Broncos win would likely mean that Jets head coach Adam Gase is handed his pink slip. Will that motivate the Jets to play for their head coach or is he a dead man walking?
— Funhouse (@BackAftaThis) September 28, 2020
Through three weeks of the season, Darnold is regressing. Gase was supposed to come in and help take Darnold’s game to the next level, but that has yet to happen. The talented passer is stuck in an antiquated offense that makes his life extremely difficult.
The Jets have been banged up all season, but there is some hope that they can get a few guys back in time for Thursday. Mekhi Becton, Jamison Crowder, Ashtyn Davis, George Fant, Quincy Wilson, John Franklin-Myers, Chris Hogan, and Jordan Jenkins are all possible to play despite the shortened week.
Some good news on the injury front for the Jets. Adam Gase sounds hopeful the following group of players will be available THURS:
LT Mekhi Becton, WR Jamison Crowder,S Ashtyn Davis, RT George Fant, CB Quincy Wilson, DL John Franklin-Myers, WR Chris Hogan and OLB Jordan Jenkins
— Eric Allen (@eallenjets) September 29, 2020
As for the Broncos, they are battered and bruised as well. During training camp, they lost former Super Bowl MVP Von Miller for the season, but that was only the beginning. Now they’re missing Lock on the offensive side of the ball, plus a bevy of other key players.
Courtland Sutton (out for year)
Von Miller (likely out for year)
Jurrell Casey (like out for year)
A.J. Bouye (out weeks)
Phillip Lindsay (out weeks)
Drew Lock (out weeks)
Dre’Mont Jones (out week)
Mark Barron (out weeks)
Justin Strnad (our for year)
— Zac Stevens (@ZacStevensDNVR) September 28, 2020
In other words, Thursday Night Football could be ugly this weekend. Both the Jets and the Broncos will have to feature a ton of second-stringers out of necessity. It’s tough to tell if this will favor the over or the under considering there are so many injuries on both sides of the ball. Add in the fact that the total points are set to 40 and it feels like a smart idea to stay away from that play.
Who has the edge in this game? Your guess is as good as mine. These are two of the worst teams in the NFL and it’s a toss-up.
Prop Bets Jets vs. Broncos
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Sam Darnold (NYJ)||20.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100)||227.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175)|
|Brett Rypien (DEN)||18.5 (Ov -112 | Un-112)||219.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov +155 | Un -195)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|Melvin Gordon (DEN)||16.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||60.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||87.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|La’Mical Perine (NYJ)||N/A||26.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Frank Gore (NYJ)||N/A||53.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Sam Darold (NYJ)||N/A||8.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Wide Receiver / Tight End||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Tim Patrick (DEN)||2.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100)||31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||16.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|KJ Hamler (DEN)||2.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135)||33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||16.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Jerry Jeudy (DEN)||4.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||51.5 (Ov -125 | Un +102)||20.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Noah Fant (DEN)||4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -157)||44.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||18.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Melvin Gordon (DEN)||2.5 (Ov -177 | Un +140)||21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Christopher Herndon (NYJ)||3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -137)||33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||17.5 (Ov +108 | Un -138)|
|Braxton Berrios (NYJ)||3.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||40.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Chris Hogan (NYJ)||2.5 (Ov -129 | Un +104)||26.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Jamison Crowder (NYJ)||4.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115)||54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
How To Watch Broncos at Jets Thursday Night
Just like every week, Thursday Night Football can be found on NFL Network with Joe Buck (play-by-play), Troy Aikman (analyst), Erin Andrews (sideline reporter), and Kristina Pink (sideline reporter) on the call. This game can also be found on FOX and Amazon Prime. Once again, kick-off is set for 8:20 p.m. ET.
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
This is a brutal game to pick because these are two teams that no one wants to put their trust into right now. Unless you love the over-under for some reason (we don’t), you’re going to have to stake a claim on one inept, banged-up team.
Take the Jets with the points for two reasons. First off, they are getting 2.5 points which could come in handy in a close game. Secondly, the Broncos have to travel across the country on a short week for this game. Playing at home is not nearly as big of an advantage as it has been in previous years, but the travel still means something, especially for a Thursday Night Football game.