This has been an incredible year for college football. A few undefeated teams, quite a number of one and two-loss teams, upsets galore, and after a crazy Week 14, no Alabama in the college football playoff?!
#5 Alabama fell to #15 Auburn in the Iron Bowl, 48-45 after a terrific back and forth football game. Auburn had two defensive touchdowns, including a 100-yard pick six from Zakoby McClain off a running back’s backside. Alabama missed a field goal at the end of the game that would have sent the game to overtime, but many other miscues caused the Crimson Tide to lose, including some untimely penalties and poor defensive play in big situations.
Amongst the other top 10 teams, Ohio State routed Michigan, LSU handled Texas A&M, Utah won handily over Colorado and Minnesota was upset by the Wisconsin Badgers. All eyes will be on who the College football playoff committee selects as its top four after this weekend’s conference playoff schedule.
From the National Champions Futures Market point of view, another crazy week of college football has changed everything, again. Let’s take a look.
Latest Odds To Win College Football National Title
DraftKings Sportsbook provided a chart that shows the top six programs in current odds to win the National Championship, compared to their odds last week (entering Week 15). Take a look and lets hope SVP’s college football picks are on the money this.
|Notable CFB National Champion Winner Odds Movements|
|Team||Pre-Week 14||Current Odds|
|Alabama||+1200||Off the Board|
The Buckeyes climb from +225 to +150 after crushing the Michigan Wolverines…again. That rivalry is one of the best in sports, but Michigan will need to win one soon to rekindle the fire to outsiders. As the clear favorites to win the title now, Ohio State will need to defeat Wisconsin to ensure a one seed, but even if they lose it is likely they will be one of the top four in the CFP.
Clemson has been dubbed the “best team in the country” by many analysts, and they have had by far the easiest route to the college football playoff. While Ohio State plays Wisconsin, LSU faces Georgia, and Oklahoma gets Baylor, Clemson plays Virginia in the ACC Championship game. Clemson certainly has had an easier path, but make no mistake this is a very good football team.
The Tigers continue to put up points against everyone. Literally everyone.
LSU’s lowest point total of the season is 23 against Auburn and they have put up at least 42 points in 10 of 12 games. Insane. Their defense leaves much to be desired though, but allowing just a touchdown to TAMU could mean they are starting to turn the corner. At +250, they are third in odds but have the best overall unit of the top teams (offense).
Spot Number Four
It will all come down to this weekend for the fourth spot. It is likely that Ohio State, LSU, and Clemson will be the top three. All three are undefeated and the only loss that would drop a team out of the top four would be Clemson, but they are heavily favored over a Virginia team that is not nearly as talented.
Teams vying for that fourth spot are: Georgia, Utah, Oklahoma, Baylor.
If Georgia beats LSU, they are in. No questions asked. If LSU beats Georgia, the Bulldogs are likely out. Now, who would take that spot?
If the Utah Utes defeat the Oregon Ducks for the PAC12 championship, they will be poised for that fourth spot, especially if Georgia loses.
For Oklahoma or Baylor, both teams play each other in the BIG12 championship game. Whoever the winner is would have a chance to reach the CFP if both Utah and Georgia loses. What will be interesting is if Oklahoma wins and Utah wins, as both teams would have similar resumés.