Latest odds to win the Super Bowl Heading into NFL Week 11

Last Updated on November 18, 2020

We are through 10 weeks of the NFL season already, as Thanksgiving approaches next week. From a futures betting perspective, the pretenders are weeding their way out while the real contenders for the NFL title are rising to the top. The top of the leaderboard remains the same with the Chiefs and Steelers, but there was some significant movement elsewhere after Week 10 as far as Super Bowl odds are concerned. Let’s give into our Week 10 Super Bowl odds roundup, and take a look ahead at Week 11 as the NFL season heads into the home stretch.

Week 11 is here, and 12 teams saw their odds increase to win the Super Bowl from Week 10. With that said, most of them were teams that are in the middle of the pack as far as record that will unlikely be Super Bowl contenders. The Chiefs still lead at +350, but other teams in the top 10 have seen some Super Bowl odds movement. Let’s take a look.

Updated 2021 Super Bowl Odds

As we head into Week 11, here are the updated Super Bowl odds. As you can see, the Chiefs lead the way at all legal sportsbooks, but the Pittsburgh Steelers are just behind them. Following is the NFC trio of the Saints, Bucs, and Packers in no particular order, depending on the legal sportsbook. If you choose to wager on Super Bowl (or any) futures, be sure to choose the best price to improve your potential payout. If the best price is at DraftKings Sportsbook, wager there. If not, wager elsewhere.

Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl odds rise after Hail Mary

Because you can never have too many angles of this catch.@DeAndreHopkins x #RedSea pic.twitter.com/ANrOSiRbF6

— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) November 17, 2020

What a finish! In Week 10, the Arizona Cardinals defeated the Buffalo Bills on a last-second “Hail Mary” from Kyler Murray to DeAndre Hopkins that was likely the play of the year. This one play certainly played a part in changing the Super Bowl odds heading into Week 10. The Cardinals saw a massive jump from +3300 to +2200, as they are one of the top NFC teams in football. The Cardinals have another big game on Thursday Night Football, as they travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks in a battle for the NFC West.

Team	Current Super Bowl Odds	Week 10 to Current Movement
Arizona Cardinals	+2200	+1100

Miami Dolphins Super Bowl odds skyrocket after victory

We do it together. pic.twitter.com/rr2IzzZdc6

— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 16, 2020

Are the Miami Dolphins good? As Bill Parcells said, you are what your record says you are. This means the Dolphins are a 6-3 NFL football team who has a real chance to make the playoffs behind rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, a much-improved defense and a well-coached football team. In Week 11, the Dolphins travel to Denver to face the Broncos and should easily cruise to victory. This means that after this week, the Dolphins could be 7-3 and potentially leading the AFC East. Their Super Bowl odds have gone from +6000 to +4000, and with another win this week they would continue to improve.

Team	Current Super Bowl Odds	Week 10 to Current Movement
Miami Dolphins	+4000	+2000

Week 11 Super Bowl Odds Movement

A look at the Super Bowl odds movement:

Stock Up

📈 Cardinals
📈 Dolphins

Stock Down

📉 Ravens
📉 Eagles#SuperBowl #SuperBowlOdds #NFL #NFLPicks https://t.co/uU5xL0sxiR

— Action Rush (@ActionRushBets) November 17, 2020

Each week, Super Bowl odds will move for a variety of reasons. Whether because of upsets, injuries, how a team plays, or others, one thing is for sure…those odds will move which gives bettors a chance to get value on the futures market. 12 teams saw an increase in their Super Bowl odds in Week 10, while 15 teams saw their odds decrease. Let’s take a look at whose odds are up, whose are down, and why.

Super Bowl Odds Movement – Stock Up Week 11

Team	Current Super Bowl Odds	Week 10 to Current Movement
New York Giants	+15000	20,000
New England Patriots	+7000	3,000
Dallas Cowboys	+15000	2,500
Miami Dolphins	+4000	2,000
Minnesota Vikings	+8000	2,000
Arizona Cardinals	+2200	1,100
Las Vegas Raiders	+5000	1,000
Cleveland Browns	+5000	1,000
Los Angeles Rams	+1800	700
Indianapolis Colts	+2500	500
Green Bay Packers	+900	100
New Orleans Saints	+650	50

A whopping 12 teams’ odds increased after Week 10, including a few significant teams. The Giants saw the biggest movement, but they are not a real threat to win the Super Bowl at +15000. Patriots and Cowboys’ odds increased as well as the Vikings, but all are +7000 or worse. The teams with the most significant movement were:

Dolphins to +4000
Cardinals to +2200
Rams to +1800
Packers to +900

Keep an eye on the Dolphins, as they are 6-3 with much worse odds than other teams with the same record.

Super Bowl Odds Movement – Stock Down Week 11

Team	Current Super Bowl Odds	Week 10 to Current Movement
Washington Football	+100000	-75,000
Cincinnati Bengals	+100000	-50,000
Jacksonville Jaguars	+150000	-50,000
Los Angeles Chargers	+45000	-22,500
Houston Texans	+45000	-20,000
Denver Broncos	+45000	-20,000
Carolina Panthers	+27500	-5,000
San Francisco 49ers	+10000	-4,000
Atlanta Falcons	+20000	-2,500
Philadelphia Eagles	+6000	-2,000
Seattle Seahawks	+1600	-500
Tennessee Titans	+3000	-500
Chicago Bears	+8000	-500
Buffalo Bills	+2200	-400
Baltimore Ravens	+1000	-100

15 teams saw their odds decrease after Week 10, with the normal six teams losing a ton due mostly to “falling out of the race”. As you can see above, the Washington Football Team, Bengals, Jaguars, Chargers, Texans, and Broncos odds all fell by 20,000 “points” or more, but none of them were set to be contenders. The Panthers and Falcons fell too, but neither are expected to be in the race. The teams that were significant and saw odds drop: