Last Updated on November 18, 2020
We are through 10 weeks of the NFL season already, as Thanksgiving approaches next week. From a futures betting perspective, the pretenders are weeding their way out while the real contenders for the NFL title are rising to the top. The top of the leaderboard remains the same with the Chiefs and Steelers, but there was some significant movement elsewhere after Week 10 as far as Super Bowl odds are concerned. Let’s give into our Week 10 Super Bowl odds roundup, and take a look ahead at Week 11 as the NFL season heads into the home stretch.
Week 11 is here, and 12 teams saw their odds increase to win the Super Bowl from Week 10. With that said, most of them were teams that are in the middle of the pack as far as record that will unlikely be Super Bowl contenders. The Chiefs still lead at +350, but other teams in the top 10 have seen some Super Bowl odds movement. Let’s take a look.
Updated 2021 Super Bowl Odds
As we head into Week 11, here are the updated Super Bowl odds. As you can see, the Chiefs lead the way at all legal sportsbooks, but the Pittsburgh Steelers are just behind them. Following is the NFC trio of the Saints, Bucs, and Packers in no particular order, depending on the legal sportsbook. If you choose to wager on Super Bowl (or any) futures, be sure to choose the best price to improve your potential payout. If the best price is at DraftKings Sportsbook, wager there. If not, wager elsewhere.
Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl odds rise after Hail Mary
Because you can never have too many angles of this catch.@DeAndreHopkins x #RedSea pic.twitter.com/ANrOSiRbF6
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) November 17, 2020
What a finish! In Week 10, the Arizona Cardinals defeated the Buffalo Bills on a last-second “Hail Mary” from Kyler Murray to DeAndre Hopkins that was likely the play of the year. This one play certainly played a part in changing the Super Bowl odds heading into Week 10. The Cardinals saw a massive jump from +3300 to +2200, as they are one of the top NFC teams in football. The Cardinals have another big game on Thursday Night Football, as they travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks in a battle for the NFC West.
Team | Current Super Bowl Odds | Week 10 to Current Movement |
Arizona Cardinals | +2200 | +1100 |
Miami Dolphins Super Bowl odds skyrocket after victory
We do it together. pic.twitter.com/rr2IzzZdc6
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 16, 2020
Are the Miami Dolphins good? As Bill Parcells said, you are what your record says you are. This means the Dolphins are a 6-3 NFL football team who has a real chance to make the playoffs behind rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, a much-improved defense and a well-coached football team. In Week 11, the Dolphins travel to Denver to face the Broncos and should easily cruise to victory. This means that after this week, the Dolphins could be 7-3 and potentially leading the AFC East. Their Super Bowl odds have gone from +6000 to +4000, and with another win this week they would continue to improve.
Team | Current Super Bowl Odds | Week 10 to Current Movement |
Miami Dolphins | +4000 | +2000 |
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Week 11 Super Bowl Odds Movement
A look at the Super Bowl odds movement:
Stock Up
📈 Cardinals
📈 DolphinsStock Down
📉 Ravens
📉 Eagles#SuperBowl #SuperBowlOdds #NFL #NFLPickshttps://t.co/uU5xL0sxiR— Action Rush (@ActionRushBets) November 17, 2020
Each week, Super Bowl odds will move for a variety of reasons. Whether because of upsets, injuries, how a team plays, or others, one thing is for sure…those odds will move which gives bettors a chance to get value on the futures market. 12 teams saw an increase in their Super Bowl odds in Week 10, while 15 teams saw their odds decrease. Let’s take a look at whose odds are up, whose are down, and why.
Super Bowl Odds Movement – Stock Up Week 11
Team | Current Super Bowl Odds | Week 10 to Current Movement |
New York Giants | +15000 | 20,000 |
New England Patriots | +7000 | 3,000 |
Dallas Cowboys | +15000 | 2,500 |
Miami Dolphins | +4000 | 2,000 |
Minnesota Vikings | +8000 | 2,000 |
Arizona Cardinals | +2200 | 1,100 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +5000 | 1,000 |
Cleveland Browns | +5000 | 1,000 |
Los Angeles Rams | +1800 | 700 |
Indianapolis Colts | +2500 | 500 |
Green Bay Packers | +900 | 100 |
New Orleans Saints | +650 | 50 |
A whopping 12 teams’ odds increased after Week 10, including a few significant teams. The Giants saw the biggest movement, but they are not a real threat to win the Super Bowl at +15000. Patriots and Cowboys’ odds increased as well as the Vikings, but all are +7000 or worse. The teams with the most significant movement were:
- Dolphins to +4000
- Cardinals to +2200
- Rams to +1800
- Packers to +900
Keep an eye on the Dolphins, as they are 6-3 with much worse odds than other teams with the same record.
Super Bowl Odds Movement – Stock Down Week 11
Team | Current Super Bowl Odds | Week 10 to Current Movement |
Washington Football | +100000 | -75,000 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +100000 | -50,000 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | +150000 | -50,000 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +45000 | -22,500 |
Houston Texans | +45000 | -20,000 |
Denver Broncos | +45000 | -20,000 |
Carolina Panthers | +27500 | -5,000 |
San Francisco 49ers | +10000 | -4,000 |
Atlanta Falcons | +20000 | -2,500 |
Philadelphia Eagles | +6000 | -2,000 |
Seattle Seahawks | +1600 | -500 |
Tennessee Titans | +3000 | -500 |
Chicago Bears | +8000 | -500 |
Buffalo Bills | +2200 | -400 |
Baltimore Ravens | +1000 | -100 |
15 teams saw their odds decrease after Week 10, with the normal six teams losing a ton due mostly to “falling out of the race”. As you can see above, the Washington Football Team, Bengals, Jaguars, Chargers, Texans, and Broncos odds all fell by 20,000 “points” or more, but none of them were set to be contenders. The Panthers and Falcons fell too, but neither are expected to be in the race. The teams that were significant and saw odds drop:
- 49ers to +10000
- Eagles to +6000
- Seattle to +1600
- Titans to +3000
For a deeper look at info, news, and more, check out our Super Bowl odds page.
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