Last Updated on March 28, 2021

  • Michigan is a 2 point favorite over Florida State on DraftKings Sportsbook
  • Michigan is -132 ML to win outright and advance to Elite 8
  • Michigan defeated Texas Southern and LSU in the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament
  • Both teams are averaging over 75.0 points per game

No. 1-seed Michigan began this tournament with a 16-point win over No. 16-seed Texas Southern and followed it up with an 8-point victory over No. 8 LSU. However, the past is the past; anything could happen at this stage of March Madness, which is why the Wolverines aren’t significant favorites over the Seminoles.

Don’t sleep on Florida State, who’s coming off an impressive 18-point win over No. 5-seed Colorado in the round of 32 this past Monday.

The Action Rush NCAA Tournament betting guide gives you the best odds, picks, and analysis for the Michigan-Florida State matchup in the highly-anticipated Sweet 16 round.


Michigan vs. Florida State Betting Odds Sweet 16

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Per DraftKings Sportsbook, Michigan is a 2.0-point favorite and -132 on the moneyline while the Seminoles are +112 to win outright. The total is set to over-under 143.5.

Despite not undergoing as impressive of a 2020-21 season as its upcoming opponent, Florida State was a better scoring team this year, averaging 78.0 points per game, which sits in the top 40 in the country.

Michigan’s defense, however, enters this game as the superior unit, having allowed 65.9 points per game up to this point. Florida State has impressed thus far in the tournament, having allowed under 55 points in each of its first pair of March Madness matchups.


Who is the public betting on?

Take a look at the latest NCAA Tournament consensus picks for the Sunday Sweet 16 matchups.


Game Breakdown

The most important thing to focus on within this fantastic matchup will be how Michigan’s offense stacks up with Florida state’s defense, a group that’s hot as of right now.

As previously mentioned, Florida State has held each of its first two tournament opponents to under 55 points while Michigan has recorded at least 80 points in each of its two games. In their most recent victory over LSU, the Wolverines received great production from guards Chaundee Brown and Eli Brooks, who both dropped 21 points. Brooks additionally dished out seven assists in the win.

On the other end, Florida State guard Anthony Polite put together a great performance in the Seminoles’ second-round win over Colorado and dropped 22 points. It’s a noteworthy mark when you take into consideration how he’s averaged just 10.2 points per game this season, so it’ll be interesting to see if he’ll go on a hot streak in what will be Florida State’s most important game of the year thus far.

Michigan will additionally need to keep an eye on Florida State center Balsa Koprivica on the rebounding front. Koprivica recorded nine boards to go along with 13 points in the first-round victory over No. 13-seed UNC Greensboro.


Michigan & Florida State Tournament Futures Odds

There’s a legitimate chance we could see either of these teams in the Final Four and then in the title game — obviously, both can’t reach those prestigious stages of the tournament. Whoever wins this crucial game will take on the winner of No. 11-seed UCLA and No. 2-seed Alabama, which will additionally take place on Sunday.

Here’s a look at the Michigan-Florida State future odds, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

To Win NCAA Tournament Championship

Michigan: +750

Florida State: +1500

To Make The Final 4

Michigan: +175

Florida State: +250

To Make Elite 8 (Outright winner in this game)

Michigan: -132

Florida State: +112


Pick: Michigan Wins and Covers

While Florida State’s defense has impressed over the course of this tournament, Michigan is just too talented of a team with a great head coach in Juwan Howard.  Although they lost two of their final three regular-season games and were knocked out of the Big Ten Tournament, the Wolverines have seemingly gotten back on track and should continue the momentum against Florida State. Expect them to experience a close game up until the final minute when the Seminoles will need to intentionally foul, which will force the final score to carry a margin greater than two points.

Don’t expect Michigan to find consistent success against FSU’s defense though, which is why it’ll be close towards the end and why the under will hit.

The Pick: Michigan -2, Under- 143.5

Final Score Prediction: Michigan 70, Florida State 65


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