Aaron Rodgers is the reigning NFL MVP, but there has not been a repeat MVP since Peyton Manning did it in 2008 and 2009. In all likelihood, someone else is going to be bringing home the hardware in 2021. The NFL betting public is banking on it.

DraftKings Sportsbook released odds on the 2021 NFL MVP earlier this year. They have revealed some of the numbers for how bettors are reacting to the odds. Patrick Mahomes (+500) is the favorite, but Rodgers (+1000), Josh Allen (+1000), Russell Wilson (+1400), and Dak Prescott (+1400) round out the top five.

Let’s take a closer look at the betting odds and handle for the 2021 NFL MVP on DraftKings Sportsbook:

 

2021 NFL MVP Betting Odds & Handle

Rank

Player

Odds

% of Handle

% of Bets

1

Patrick Mahomes

+500

12%

9%

2

Tom Brady

+1600

12%

8%

3

Matthew Stafford

+1600

10%

7%

4

Josh Allen

+1000

8%

9%

5

Carson Wentz

+4000

8%

8%

6

Justin Herbert

+1800

7%

5%

7

Baker Mayfield

+3500

4%

3%

8

Dak Prescott

+1400

4%

4%

9

Jalen Hurts

+5000

4%

4%

10

Kyler Murray

+2000

4%

4%

 

It’s surprising to see Aaron Rodgers outside the top 10 for the total handle bet on the NFL MVP futures. Of course, Rodgers’ fraught relationship with the Green Bay Packers is probably the biggest reason bettors are holding back on Rodgers. The public could jump back on him if his situation is resolved before the start of the season.

It’s surprising to see the public put this much faith in two second-year quarterbacks — Justin Herbert (+1800) and Jalen Hurts (+5000). Kyler Murray (+2000), who is entering his third year, is another young name to watch.

It’s all quarterbacks in the top 10. That’s smart from the public. Eighteen of the last 22 MVPs have been quarterbacks and the last non-quarterback to win was running back Adrian Peterson in 2012.

 

Matthew Stafford MVP Push?

Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady are the most popular picks by handle and bet tickets. The same is true of the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers when it comes to Super Bowl betting. After all, they are the last two quarterbacks to win a Super Bowl and they have four MVPs between them. Sure, it all makes sense.

However, some might be surprised by the fact that Matthew Stafford is nipping at their heels. Stafford has never really been in the mix for an MVP, but that could change this year.

The longtime Lions signal-caller is heading out west to link up with Sean McVay and the Los Angeles Rams. McVay is one of the most innovative offensive minds in the NFL and Stafford is a clear upgrade from Jared Goff. That offense has a ton of potential with Stafford under center.

 

Baker Mayfield Breakout Year?

Carson Wentz at +4000 seems to be a trendy pick amongst the public, but Baker Mayfield is the better dark horse. He has a great defense, a tremendous running game, and a bevy of talent at wide receiver. Mayfield has all the pieces in place to take a significant leap forward in 2021.

If all goes well for the Browns, they could be one of the best teams in the AFC. If that’s the case, Mayfield might start getting some serious MVP buzz this season. Obviously, he’s a bit of a longshot to win it all, but at +3500, we like those odds.

A big leap from Baker Mayfield could throw the NFL MVP conversation into disarray.

Danny is bringing his years of experience as a New York sportswriter to the Action Rush team. He’s spent time covering just about every professional team in New York for Elite Sports NY. Whether it’s writing, podcasting, video content, or anything in between, Danny has done it all.