Last Updated on May 20, 2020

After three consecutive years of leading the NFL in rushing yards, the Titans’ Derrick Henry took the torch away from Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott in 2019.

So who takes home the rushing crown in 2020?

FanDuel Sportsbook has updated its Futures odds for “Most Rushing Yards” with Derrick Henry leading the pack at +700, or 7/1 odds, and Bengals running back Joe Mixon coming in at 10th at +2200 (10/1).

Is there NFL betting value on the board? Of course, let’s take a look at some potential candidates:

 

Derrick Henry (+750) Odds To Lead NFL in Rushing

Even as the favorite, Henry’s clear role in the Titans offense, combined with the fact that he’s signed on the team’s franchise tag makes him a great play at +750. Henry led all rushers in attempts and still was tops in the league in rushing yards/attempt (amongst qualified players) with 5.1. Best of all, he only was targeted 24 times in the passing game a season ago, making his rushing volume clearly defined. Normally you fade running backs as favorites, but these are good enough odds to get back on board for a second straight year.

 

Nick Chubb (+1300) Odds To Lead NFL in Rushing

Not Christian McCaffrey or Ezekiel Elliott finished second in the NFL in rushing behind Derrick Henry. Instead, it was Browns running back Nick Chubb, who finished with 1,494 total rushing yards compared to Henry’s 1,540. He had just five less attempts than Henry, yet still finished at 5.0 yards per attempt. While the debate against Chubb is due to more competition in the backfield with Kareem Hunt, Chubb still ran for over 100 yards twice in two of his last four games of the season. He had no less than 13 carries all season long, with his lowest total coming in the final two weeks of the season. Could a bounce-back year by OBJ impact Chubb as well?

 

Saquon Barkley (+1300) Odds To Lead NFL in Rushing

I’m very bullish on Barkley in a bounceback season for the Giants after dealing with injuries in his sophomore season in 2019. Despite playing in only 13 games, Barkley still surpassed 1,000 rushing yards and did it while playing hurt for most of the year. New Head Coach Joe Judge has told the media that their offense will be similar to what the Cowboys ran with Jason Garrett for several years in Dallas with a heavy emphasis on establishing the run. Don’t forget that Garrett used to coach Zeke Elliott for many years in Dallas as well.

 

Josh Jacobs (+2200) Odds To Lead NFL in Rushing

Raiders Head Coach Jon Gruden has made no secret about his passion for running the football and using a powerhorse back like Jacobs to help try and open up the offense. Only problem? There’s not much about the Raiders offense to open up besides at the Tight End position in Darren Waller. Jacobs in his rookie year finished seventh in the league in total rushing yards despite missing three games due to injury. He stood up even against tough competition with 4.8 yards per attempt and broke off 8-plus runs of 20 or more yards. If he gets the volume and stays healthy, there’s a very strong possibility we might be talking about a 22/1 bet hitting on Jacobs to lead the NFL in rushing yards.

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Ben joins the Action Rush team after spending the last few years as the Director of Media Operations and On-Air Analyst for Fantasy Sports Markets, a startup in the DFS and sports wagering industry. Before that, he was the Host of "Fantasy Football Sunday" on 610 Sports Radio (KCSP). He's been the Host & Executive Producer of "The Awful Announcing Podcast" since 2017 and is always in search of the perfect prop bet to pounce on.
Ben Heisler
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