The 2020 NFL betting season is FINALLY here and NFL Week 1 odds are indicating some interesting betting trends. There are a few exceptions, but for the most part, the public is reaching a consensus on most games. And to be clear, these NFL consensus picks seems to have little to do with who is favored.
The New York Jets, a 6.5-point underdog, is attracting 73% of all betting handle against the Buffalo Bills. On the flip side, the Philadelphia Eagles, a 6.5-point favorite, accounts for 82% of the total handle put down on their Week 1 matchup with the NFL’s Washington franchise.
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NFL Week 1 Public Betting Picks
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE Browns | +7.5 | 25% | 27% | Over 47.5 | 54% | 67% | +285 | 13% | 9% |
| BAL Ravens | -7.5 | 75% | 73% | Under 47.5 | 46% | 33% | -335 | 87% | 91% |
| IND Colts | -8.5 | 75% | 76% | Over 45.0 | 26% | 41% | -435 | 94% | 90% |
| JAX Jaguars | +8.5 | 25% | 24% | Under 45.0 | 74% | 59% | +360 | 6% | 10% |
| PHI Eagles | -5.5 | 88% | 86% | Over 42.5 | 50% | 58% | -245 | 89% | 91% |
| WAS Football Team | +5.5 | 12% | 14% | Under 42.5 | 50% | 42% | +210 | 11% | 9% |
| NY Jets | +6.5 | 34% | 32% | Over 39.5 | 46% | 55% | +240 | 15% | 12% |
| BUF Bills | -6.5 | 66% | 68% | Under 39.5 | 54% | 45% | -278 | 85% | 88% |
| MIA Dolphins | +6.5 | 31% | 42% | Over 41.5 | 58% | 58% | +260 | 36% | 23% |
| NE Patriots | -6.5 | 69% | 58% | Under 41.5 | 42% | 42% | -305 | 64% | 77% |
| CHI Bears | +2.5 | 64% | 56% | Over 43.0 | 41% | 40% | +114 | 83% | 69% |
| DET Lions | -2.5 | 36% | 44% | Under 43.0 | 59% | 60% | -129 | 17% | 31% |
| GB Packers | +2.5 | 53% | 58% | Over 45.0 | 36% | 58% | +120 | 81% | 74% |
| MIN Vikings | -2.5 | 47% | 42% | Under 45.0 | 64% | 42% | -137 | 19% | 26% |
| SEA Seahawks | -3 | 80% | 77% | Over 49.0 | 64% | 74% | -143 | 72% | 65% |
| ATL Falcons | +3 | 20% | 23% | Under 49.0 | 36% | 26% | +125 | 28% | 35% |
| LV Raiders | -2.5 | 70% | 67% | Over 47.5 | 66% | 56% | -143 | 40% | 51% |
| CAR Panthers | +2.5 | 30% | 33% | Under 47.5 | 34% | 44% | +125 | 60% | 49% |
| LA Chargers | -2.5 | 58% | 58% | Over 42.0 | 28% | 54% | -143 | 50% | 52% |
| CIN Bengals | +2.5 | 42% | 42% | Under 42.0 | 72% | 46% | +125 | 50% | 48% |
| ARI Cardinals | +6.5 | 56% | 52% | Over 48.0 | 83% | 72% | +255 | 34% | 21% |
| SF 49ers | -6.5 | 44% | 48% | Under 48.0 | 17% | 28% | -295 | 66% | 79% |
| TB Buccaneers | +3.5 | 53% | 57% | Over 48.0 | 88% | 89% | +150 | 75% | 61% |
| NO Saints | -3.5 | 47% | 43% | Under 48.0 | 12% | 11% | -175 | 25% | 39% |
| DAL Cowboys | -2.5 | 64% | 78% | Over 51.5 | 69% | 56% | -139 | 55% | 61% |
| LA Rams | +2.5 | 36% | 22% | Under 51.5 | 31% | 44% | +123 | 45% | 39% |
| PIT Steelers | -6 | 86% | 81% | Over 46.0 | 22% | 43% | -245 | 79% | 84% |
| NY Giants | +6 | 14% | 19% | Under 46.0 | 78% | 57% | +210 | 21% | 16% |
| TEN Titans | -2 | 77% | 79% | Over 41.0 | 59% | 80% | -159 | 69% | 69% |
| DEN Broncos | +2 | 23% | 21% | Under 41.0 | 41% | 20% | +140 | 31% | 31% |
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NFL Week 1 Divisional Games
NFL Week 1 features a load of divisional games, which adds another interesting element to the mix for bettors. Divisional foes are always familiar with one another and this often leads to wacky results.
- Kansas City Chiefs (-10) vs. Houston Texans
- Buffalo Bills (-6.5) vs. New York Jets
- Washington (6.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- New England Patriots (-7) vs. Miami Dolphins
- Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) vs. Green Bay Packers
- Detroit Lions (-1.5) vs. Chicago Bears
- Baltimore Ravens (-8) vs. Cleveland Browns
- Jacksonville Jaguars (7) vs. Indianapolis Colts
- New Orleans Saints (-4) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- San Francisco 49ers (-7.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
Out of the underdogs, the public is heaviest on the Jets, Dolphins, Packers, Buccaneers, and Cardinals. However, the public is all over the favorites in a few of these divisional matchups. It’s no surprise to see bettors put more faith in the Super Bowl-winning Chiefs, especially after Kansas City knocked the Texans out of the playoffs last year by way of a remarkable comeback.
Of the non-divisional games, the Denver Broncos are the reason for the largest disparity in betting splits. The Broncos account for 90% of the total handle as 1.5-point favorites against the Tennessee Titans. Tennessee is coming off of a trip to the AFC East Championship Game last season, but many project Drew Lock to have a breakout year in 2020.
All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
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