NFL Win Totals 2020: Chiefs Lead at 11.5 Win Total as NFL Season Begins
NFL futures betting is becoming more and more popular with the rise of the legal sports betting industry in the United States. As the number of bettors grows at legal sportsbooks, the ability to bet on NFL futures will grow as well. DraftKings Sportsbook has posted its 2020 NFL Win Total odds already ahead of the NFL Draft and even free agency.
NOW is the time to move on your NFL win total bets! With the NFL betting season kicking-off this week, team ROI value will disappear in just a few days.
NFL Win Totals Odds and Prices
Opening Team Win Totals at DraftKings
|Team||Current Win Total||Last Season Win Total|
|Kansas City Chiefs||11.5||12|
|San Francisco 49ers||10.5||13|
|New Orleans Saints||10.5||13|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||9.5||7|
|New England Patriots||8.5||12|
|Green Bay Packers||8.5||13|
|Los Angeles Rams||8||9|
|Los Angeles Chargers||7.5||5|
|Las Vegas Raiders||7||7|
|New York Jets||6.5||7|
|New York Giants||6||4|
All 32 teams’ win totals have been posted on DraftKings Sportsbook, and there are some surprises. The Bengals currently sit at the bottom of the table with a win total of only five games. Assuming they select Joe Burrow in the NFL Draft, will that officially help their win total? Expect some bets on Cincinnati. The New England Patriots’ total is currently at 9 wins. The last time the Patriots won less than 11 games was in 2009. This number is low because of Tom Brady signing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but Bill Belichick has won with other quarterbacks in the short term.
Here, we will track the movement of the win totals as the offseason progresses. With this information, we will be able to tell which teams’ stock has improved or decreased based on roster changes or bets coming on heavily on one side. Stay tuned as this will be updated frequently throughout the NFL offseason. Expect to see teams moving up and down, especially after the NFL Draft and free agency and as training camps open post-pandemic.
Circa Sports to take NFL Win Totals Alt Market Bets
NFL 🏈 Regular Season Win Totals
✴️ Our alternative high and low Win Totals for each team will open for betting at 8am Thursday morning when we reopen the sportsbook counters! 🏈👍 pic.twitter.com/GJvllLRxH5
— Circa Sports (@CircaSports) June 3, 2020
As Circa Sports announced on Twitter, they will have the alternate win totals market up and ready to go on Thursday, June 4th. As you can see, the alt market will allow for bettors to wager on each NFL team’s win total in a different light. Circa Sports also announced the betting limit as well, as follows:
Latest NFL Win Totals Movement 2020
Movement will be tracked at least once per week. Stay tuned for updates!
|Team||Current NFL Win Totals||September 1||August 21||August 14||July 17||June 23||June 15||June 2||May 22||May 12||May 5||April 29||April 22||April 15||April 9||April 3||March 28||March 23||March 20||March 17||March 11||March 3|
|Kansas City Chiefs||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5||12||12||11.5||11.5||11.5||11.5|
|San Francisco 49ers||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||11||11||11||11||11||11|
|New Orleans Saints||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10.5||10||10||10||10||10||10||10||10||10||10||10||11||11||11|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||10||10||10||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9||7.5||7.5||7.5|
|New England Patriots||8.5||8.5||8.5||8.5||9||8.5||8.5||8.5||9||9||9||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||9.5||10||10||10||11||11||11|
|Green Bay Packers||8.5||8.5||8.5||8.5||8.5||8.5||8.5||8.5||9||8.5||8.5||8.5||9||9||9||9||9||9||9||9.5||9.5||9.5|
|Los Angeles Rams||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8||8.5||8.5||9||9||9|
|Los Angeles Chargers||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7||7||7|
|Las Vegas Raiders||7||7||7||7||7||7||6.5||6.5||7||7||7||7||7||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7.5||7||7||7|
|New York Giants||6||6||6||6||6||6||6||6||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6||6||6||6||6||6||6||6||6||6|
|New York Jets||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6.5||6||6||6|
The odds movement has been subtle, but certain since DraftKings Sportsbook has released their win totals for the upcoming NFL season in early March. With the Tom Brady to Tampa Bay news and other quarterbacks moving around, some odds have changed. The Chicago Bears gained a half a win after signing Nick Foles, then lost it after bets certainly came in on the under, the Patriots lost a full win and then some after Tom Brady’s departure, and of course the Tampa Bay Buccaneers gained a big boost with the signing of Brady. That also increased the Bucs Super Bowl odds. Entering April, the Cowboys and Patriots both lost a win going from 10 to 9.5, respectfully. The 49ers lost half a win on their total, dropping from 11 to 10.5. As of May, the Patriots dropped again to 9 wins, then again in June to 8.5. Win totals did not change in the first two weeks of May, but did change towards the end of May with the Jaguars falling to a crazy 4.5 total, and the first week of June brought some subtle movements.
The only movement in mid-June was the Raiders and Redskins. Washington lost a win at 5 from 5.5, and the Raiders gained from 6.5 to 7. In late June, the Patriots’ win total rose to 9, and the Eagles’ total dropped to 9 from 9.5. No movement into late July.
In early August, the New England Patriots’ win total dropped from 9 to 8.5 again, likely amidst all the opt-outs from some key members of the team. There was no movement in mid to late August as camps opened, but on September 1st there was movement on the Minnesota Vikings to 9 from 8.5
New England Patriots Win Total Falls AGAIN
⚫ March 17 – 11
⚫ March 28 – 10
⚫ April 15 – 9.5
⚫ Today – 9
— Action Rush (@ActionRushBets) May 5, 2020
What is happening to the Patriots? Their win total has now fallen by two WHOLE wins on DraftKings Sportsbook with the latest drop to nine (9). This number is getting dangerously low for bettors, and even though the Patriots have an inexperienced quarterback, they still have Bill Belichick. The last time the Patriots won less than 10 games? 2002. The last time they won less than nine games was in 2000, in Belichick’s first season. As of August 5th, their total was 8.5.
Chiefs Look to Defend Super Bowl Crown with Top Win Total
On DraftKings Sportsbook there is only one team with more than 11 wins as their total, the Kansas City Chiefs. For obvious reasons, the Chiefs are at the top of the chart after winning the Super Bowl and looking to retain most of their roster from last season. The Chiefs have the benefit of being in a division with the Raiders, Chargers, and Broncos who all are rebuilding in some form. That should help their win total with a potential of six wins. Should the Chiefs win their divisional games, they only need to go 6-4 in their remaining 10 games to hit the “over” prop of 11.5 (12).
Latest NFL Win Total News
Buccaneers Win Total Rises Again After NFL Draft
After the NFL Draft, the Bucs’ win total rose again from 9.5 to 10. There are only three teams with a higher win total than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as of late April, the Niners, Ravens, and Chiefs. Remember, the Bucs saw a massive increase. in their win totals after signing Tom Brady, then trading for Rob Gronkowski. Now after a tremendous draft, the Bucs are soaring yet again. The Bucs had an impact-filled draft adding a big need in an offensive tackle in Tristan Wirfs, which all but completes what is a dominant NFL offense on paper.
The Tampa Bay Bucs’ Win Total on @DKSportsbook rose AGAIN to 10.
— Action Rush (@ActionRushBets) April 28, 2020
Look what everyone’s favorite internet troll Skip Bayless said after the Bucs signed Tom Brady:
Will Darius Slay Trade and Extension Boosts Eagles Win Total?
The deal after the deal: the Eagles and new CB Darius Slay reached agreement on a 3-year, $50 million extension that includes $30 million guaranteed, @RosenhausSports tells ESPN.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) March 19, 2020
The Eagles finally have acquired a top-tier corner to boost a weak secondary. After losing Malcolm Jenkins to free agency and a weak stable of cornerbacks on the roster, this was a much needed roster move for Howie Roseman and the Eagles. As of March 19th, the Eagles’ win total has remained unchanged at 9.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook, but if this is a sign of things to come the Eagles are loading up for a run at the NFC this season. Philadelphia still has some holes on their roster, but a big one filled may cause an increase to their win total. If you like the over 9.5, the time to get it is now.
Bettors Bearish on Chicago, Bears Win Total Drops to 7.5
Trading *up* for Mitch Trubisky
Mike Glennon for $20 million a year
Nick Foles for a fourth-round pick
Jimmy Graham for $8 million a year and a no-trade clause (wtf?)
— Evan Silva (@evansilva) March 22, 2020
After the Chicago Bears’ win total rose a tad after trading for Nick Foles, the total has dropped back down to 7.5. The Bears have certainly added some “talent” in the offseason, but potential over bettors do not seem pleased with how they are doing so. With a bunch of money tied up at QB, and now $8M+ for Jimmy Graham, bettors are not optimistic on the Bears’ 2020 outlook as the total drops to 7.5.
Buffalo Bills Get Some Respect, Win Total Rises to 9
🔥🙏🏾 LETS GET IT https://t.co/Ix5GhCMslW
— DIGGS (@stefondiggs) March 17, 2020
After the Bills were able to acquire former Vikings WR Stefon Diggs, bettors certainly expected Buffalo’s win total to rise from what it was at 8.5. It took a week, but the Bills’ total on DraftKings Sportsbook has finally reached nine, which is only behind eight other NFL teams. Buffalo not only added Stefon Diggs, but re-signed Quinton Spain and signed CB Josh Norman. They did trade their first round pick in exchange for Diggs, but Buffalo is poised to make a run at the AFC East after Tom Brady left New England and signed with the Bucs.
Ravens Now Need a DT, But Win Total Remains High
The two sides had agreed to a 3-year, $30M deal last week but a concern about the condition of his ankle ultimately led the team to pass on signing him. He's now a normal FA.
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) March 27, 2020
The Ravens have pulled their offer on DT Michael Brockers after injury concerns, which leaves a slight void at DT for the AFC powerhouse. The Ravens let Michael Pierce go, traded Chris Wormley, and this Brockers contract has fallen through. Will the Ravens focus on interior defensive linemen early in the NFL Draft? We will see, but the oddsmakers do not seemed concerned with the Ravens’ win total soaring at 11 still.
San Francisco 49ers Win Total Drops to 10.5
What would you bet?
— Action Rush (@ActionRushBets) April 2, 2020
It seems a lot of action had come in on under 11, as the 49ers win total on DraftKings Sportsbook dropped to 10.5. There was not been major news for the 49ers in March, so this has to be based on the action DraftKings has seen. Is 10.5 now a value? The 49ers schedule includes the Rams, Seahawks, and Cardinals twice. The other 10 games are: Cowboys, Patriots, Saints, Giants, Jets, Eagles, Redskins, Bills, Dolphins, and Packers. For the 49ers to reach 11 wins, they would have to win plenty of these games against some good competition. The Cowboys, Patriots, Saints, Eagles, Bills, and Packers are all potential playoff teams. The 49ers will have to beat at least one of these teams assuming they win the rest of their games, which is also unlikely. Looking at the schedule, under 11 was a sharp bet. Time will tell if the win total will drop again from 10.5.
Detroit Lions Over 6.5 Has Juice
On DraftKings Sportsbook, the Detroit Lions’ win total has remained at 6.5, but here is juice on the over with a price of -118. Does this mean a move to seven is in the works? The NFL Draft will certainly be a deciding factor as the Lions have the draft ammo to certainly add to their roster. Whatever the Lions do in the NFL Draft will determine if this juice is warranted, or if the price (or win total) drops. The under 6.5 is currently at just -104, and the Lions won only three games last season.
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) April 6, 2020
Las Vegas Raiders Win Total Drops Entering NFL Draft
"If Tagovailoa drops below six, one connected source believes the Las Vegas Raiders could sniff trade-up scenarios.”
— The Athletic Bay Area (@TheAthleticSF) April 20, 2020
The Raiders total fell in mid-April from 7.5 wins to seven as the NFL Draft approached. Are bettors sour on Derek Carr? Not a fan of Mike Mayock or Jon Gruden in NFL Drafts? Time will tell, but the Raiders’ win total at DraftKings Sportsbook fell to seven, which was their total from last season. The Raiders start their first year in Las Vegas in 2020, so more than seven wins would be big for the franchise going forward. Their division rivals are all looking to improve as the Chiefs just won the Super Bowl, the Chargers could get a new QB, and the Broncos are growing fast with a young QB as they look to add weapons.