Last Updated on March 17, 2021

  • North Carolina is -1.5 against Wisconsin on the spread line in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The total is set to 137.5 points.
  • Roy Williams is 29-0 all-time in the first round.
  • North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an NCAA Tournament favorite.
  • Wisconsin has covered in nine of their last 10 NCAA Tournament games as the underdog. 

The 8 vs. 9 matchup is always a toss-up in the NCAA Tournament and that’s no different with North Carolina and Wisconsin. These are two bluebloods from big conferences fighting to keep their season alive. Roy Williams is putting an undefeated record on the line against the Badgers.

The Action Rush NCAA Tournament betting guide has the best odds, analysis, and everything else you need to know for North Carolina vs. Wisconsin in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.


Wisconsin vs. UNC Odds

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Team Moneyline Spread Total
Wisconsin Badgers +102 +1.5 (-109) 139.0 (-113)
North Carolina Tar Heels -122 -1.5 (-110) 139.0 (-107)

North Carolina is a 1.5-point favorite over Wisconsin on the spread line and -118 on the moneyline. The total is set to 137.5 points, but under bettors can grab 138.5 points at some sportsbooks.

North Carolina is 1-4 against the spread in their last five NCAA Tournament games as the favorite. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has covered in nine of their last 10 NCAA Tournaments when they are the underdog.


Who Is The Public Betting On?

Here are the college basketball consensus picks for North Carolina vs. Wisconsin:

Friday, March 19, 2021
Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
#9 Wisconsin +2 38% 34% Over 139 48% 31% +112 51% 60%
#8 North Carolina -2 62% 66% Under 139 52% 69% -132 49% 40%



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Game Preview for Friday Night

This feels more like a matchup we would see in the Sweet 16 or even a Final Four, but here we are. Although Wisconsin and North Carolina are both having down years by the high standards of their programs, each team has enough talent to make some noise in March Madness.

Wisconsin is exactly the type of team you would expect them to be. They take care of the basketball, play at their own pace, and hit free throws. The Badgers bring a certain style of play that can be useful in a big game. They want to keep the game close so that point guard D’Mitrik Price, Wisconsin’s leading scorer at 13.7 points per game, can take over in the closing moments.



This year’s North Carolina doesn’t have the offensive firepower of past Tar Heels teams, but they can make up for it with their physicality. They lead the country in offensive rebounding with 15.9 per game and first in rebounding margin. The North Carolina front line of Armando Bacot, Garrison Brooks, and then Day’Ron Sharpe off the bench combine to put up 32.1 points and 22.6 rebounds per game.

Another aspect of this game to keep in mind is the coaching discrepancy. Greg Gard is a great coach who has taken Wisconsin to two Sweet 16 appearances in his six seasons with the Badgers, but Roy Williams has experience on his side. Dating back to his days in Kansas, Roy Williams is 29-0 in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Most of the time, UNC is not playing a first-round opponent like this, but the record is still notable.



UNC & Wisconsin NCAA Tournament Futures Odds

Wisconsin and North Carolina are longshots to win the NCAA Tournament, but there are decent odds on either team to make the Sweet 16 or the Final Four. The winner of this game will likely play Baylor in the second round. That won’t be an easy task, but the Bears are beatable. Let’s take a look at some of the championship, Final Four, and Sweet 16 futures on the board at FanDuel Sportsbook:

To Win The Championship:
North Carolina +8000
Wisconsin +10000

To Make The Final Four:
North Carolina +1800
Wisconsin +2400

Wisconsin To Make The Sweet 16:
Yes +410
No -590


Wisconsin vs. UNC Prediction

It’s not safe to bet against Roy Williams in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, especially when the Tar Heels are only laying two points. This game should be close until the final buzzer, but the physicality of North Carolina will win out. Take North Carolina laying the points.

Final Score Prediction: North Carolina wins 71-67.


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