Last Updated on October 20, 2020
- An ACC battle between one of the top teams in the country in Notre Dame and a mediocre program in Pittsburgh.
- 3rd-ranked Notre Dame (4-0) is currently a 10.5-point favorite over unranked Pittsburgh (3-3).
- Here are the latest odds, spread, moneyline, and total for Pittsburgh-Notre Dame, along with a prediction.
We’ve arrived at Week 8 of the 2020 college football season, and the upcoming slate of games encompasses a decent ACC battle between third-ranked Notre Dame and unranked Pittsburgh, with the former entering this matchup at 4-0. The Irish are coming off a 12-7 win over Louisville, a meeting in which Notre Dame’s offense had trouble consistently putting together productive drives. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is coming off three consecutive defeats after commencing the season with three straight wins. The most recent loss came at the hands of Miami (currently 11th in the AP Top 25) by a score of 31-19.
If Notre Dame’s offense just steps up more than the unit did against Louisville this past Saturday, this should be an easy victory for the Irish.
Pittsburgh – Notre Dame 2020 Betting Line
Notre Dame is currently a 10.5-point favorite over Pittsburgh, and oddsmakers may have provided the Irish with a larger spread if they put together a better offensive performance against Louisville. It’s still a decently wide spread though, and Notre Dame should cover if the team just puts a significant number of points on the board. Notre Dame is 4-0 this year when favored, while Pittsburgh is 0-1 when entering as the underdog. Oddsmakers additionally favor Notre Dame on the moneyline, with the Irish at -480 and Pittsburgh at +320.[metabet_core_game_tile query=”cfb/notre_dame” site_id=”actionrush”]
The total points mark is set at 48.5, per DraftKings Sportsbook. Notre Dame is currently averaging 33.3 points per game while Pittsburgh is averaging 29.5 points per contest through six matchups. Nonetheless, I believe this is an under that’ll hit. In spite of either squad scoring a noteworthy number of points, I think the Notre Dame defense will play a huge role in this game, given the fact that the unit is allowing just 11.5 points per game. Pittsburgh’s defense is additionally been successful for the most part, letting up an average of 20.3 points.
The under has hit in two of Notre Dame’s four games thus far, while the under has hit in two of Pittsburgh’s six games.
Additional sportsbooks provide slightly different odds for this matchup. FanDuel Sportsbook has Notre Dame as 11.5-point favorites with a moneyline of Notre Dame -550 and Pittsburgh +390. The total points mark is set at over-under 48.5. FOXBet, however, has the moneyline at Notre Dame -450 and Pittsburgh +360, with the Irish as 11.5-point favorites and the over-under at 48.0.
Game Preview and Betting Angles
Notre Dame has yet to lose a game this year, defeating the likes of Duke, South Florida, Florida State, and Louisville, with the most recent 12-7 win the closest game the Irish have played thus far in 2020.
This past Saturday, Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book didn’t exactly put together the most productive performance, only throwing for 106 yards on 11-of-19 passing. Nonetheless, he did rush for 47 yards with one score on the ground — the only touchdown the Irish notched all day. Notre Dame did run the football effectively though. Running back Kyren Williams ran for 127 yards on 25 carries, averaging 5.1 yards per rush.
Notre Dame’s defense indeed came to play, allowing Louisville quarterback Malik Cunningham to throw for just 118 yards despite the fact that he completed 16 of his 19 pass attempts. Cardinals running back Javian Hawkins could only conjure up 3.4 yards per carry as well, gaining just 51 yards on 15 rushes.
As was previously mentioned, Pittsburgh is currently on a three-game losing streak, with the last loss coming at the hands of Miami. While quarterback Joey Yellen completed less than 50% of his throws — 22-of-46 passing — he did throw for 277 yards, one score, and zero picks. The Panthers couldn’t get the run game going though; their leading rusher was running back Todd Sibley Jr., who gained just 23 yards on four carries. Wideout Jordan Addison was Yellen’s top target, catching eight balls for 147 yards.
It’s not like Pittsburgh hasn’t been in games though — two of the team’s three losses were one-point defeats. Prior to Pittsburgh’s 31-30 overtime loss at the hands of Boston College on Oct. 10, the Panthers came up short against North Carolina State by a score of 30-29.
Overall, it may be stressful for those taking Notre Dame to cover the spread, but given the strength of the Irish defense, I believe it’ll ultimately occur. This is despite the fact that Notre Dame is 1-3 against the spread this year, per DraftKings Sportsbook.
Pittsburgh – Notre Dame Historical Matchup Stats
The last time these two programs met was in 2018, an October matchup at Notre Dame that ended up a close defensive battle. Notre Dame won 19-14, but Pittsburgh was a 21-point underdog in the game. The under additionally hit, with the total points mark at 55.5. Prior to that, they met in 2015 and put together another close game. The Irish won 42-30 and covered the spread, being that they were 8.5-point favorites. Seventy-two combined points also led to the over hitting — the total points mark in that game was set at 53.0.
Close games arrived during the 2013, 2012, and 2011 meetings as well. Pittsburgh won by seven in 2013, but the Irish emerged victorious by three points in both 2012 and 2011.
How to watch Pittsburgh – Notre Dame
These two ACC teams will meet at 3:30 p.m. ET this Saturday on ABC, which is sort of a surprise considering Notre Dame’s primary television network is NBC. It’s currently unclear who will announce the matchup.
Betting Picks and Score Prediction
Given Notre Dame’s strong defense, I believe they’ll be able to cover the 10.5-point spread and ultimately defeat Pittsburgh by over two touchdowns. Thus, take the Irish with the spread as well as on the moneyline, because if there’s anything I’m sure of, it’s that they’ll certainly win outright. Oh, and also take the under, as I said previously.
Final Score Prediction: Notre Dame 28-10