Last Updated on November 27, 2020
- Notre Dame is -5 on the spread line against UNC this Friday. The total is set to a ridiculously high 68 points.
- Each team is 4-4 against the spread this season.
- The Fighting Irish are ranked No. 2 in the first College Football Playoff ranking of the 2020 season.
- The Tar Heels have two players with over 1,000 yards from scrimmage — Javonte Williams and Michael Carter.
No. 2 ranked Notre Dame and No. 25 ranked UNC will meet in Chapel Hill in a crucial game for ACC positioning. Both teams should be fresh after an off week, but the Fighting Irish are coming into this game as the favorite to win.
This is the biggest game of Week 13 of the college football season. Notre Dame is still undefeated and has the ultimate goal of winning a National Championship after bearing Clemson earlier this season. Let’s take a look at the best odds, lines, analysis, and everything else you need to know for UNC vs. Notre Dame.
UNC – Notre Dame 2020 Betting Line
There is some slight variation in this line. Some sportsbooks have Notre Dame at -5 while others have it at -5.5 which gives bettors options depending on who they plan to back on Friday. Notre Dame is -192 on the moneyline compared to UNC who is sitting at +172.
The total is set to 68. While that might seem like an insane total, even for a college football game, this game features two of the most explosive offenses in the country. Both Notre Dame and UNC have scored 40 or more points five times already this season.
In terms of betting trends, both teams are an even 4-4 against the spread this season. They both tend to favor overs, each hitting the over on the total points in five of eight games.
Who is the public betting on?
In our latest College Football public bets report, Notre Dame is seeing a massive 89% of the betting handle vs. UNC.
|Teams||Time/TV||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|Notre Dame||3:30 PM||-5||89%||88%||Over 68.0||89%||84%||-195||95%||88%|
|North Carolina||ABC||+5||11%||12%||Under 68.0||11%||16%||+155||5%||12%|
Preview and Betting Angles
If UNC wants to have any chance at playing in the ACC Championship Game, they cannot afford a loss on Friday. For Notre Dame, a win would all but lock them into a spot in the ACC Championship. Of course, Notre Dame is usually an independent football school, but it made sense to join the conference for this bizarre season.
UNC Game Notes
North Carolina has to be one of the most fun teams in college football to watch. They score a ton of points, move the ball up and down the field with ease, and have a bunch of dynamic skill-position guys. The Tar Heels also have a defense that’s built like a sieve so high-scoring games are the norm.
The offense is as balanced an attack as we will see in college football. Sam Howell leads the passing attack and the sophomore quarterback already has 2,631 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and just six interceptions this season. Howell is capable of leading the Tar Heels to wins in shootouts, but he’s at his best when he’s supported by his strong running game.
Javonte Williams and Michael Carter make up one of the best backfields in all of college football, let alone the ACC. Both guys are over 800 rushing yards, 7.0 yards per carry, and 1,000 yards from scrimmage this season. Williams is UNC’s go-to guy for punching the ball into the endzone. He has 18 touchdowns compared to Carter’s six.
This dynamic rushing attack opens up the field for Howell to throw to Dyami Brown (829 receiving yards, 8 touchdowns) and Dazz Newsome (455, 4). Simply put, North Carolina has an offense that can explode for 40 points on any given day.
However, the defense leaves a lot to be desired. Depth is an issue for the Tar Heels. Teams that can grind them down with a strong run game after taking early leads seem to have success against UNC.
Notre Dame Game Notes
If Notre Dame can turn UNC into a one-dimensional team, they become a much easier team to keep off the scoreboard. Make no mistake, Howell is capable of winning with his arm, but he’s at his best when Williams and Carter are dictating the pace.
This could bode well for Notre Dame, who only a few weeks ago shut down Travis Etienne of Clemson, holding him to just 28 yards on 18 carries. Slow down the running game early, grab a lead, and force UNC to play catch up — that’s the formula for the Fighting Irish this weekend.
Offensively, Notre Dame should be able to take full advantage of this suspect North Carolina defense. Senior quarterback Ian Book can beat teams with his arm or his legs. He has 17 total touchdowns this season against just two turnovers. Book provides a steady hand that is needed to propel this Fighting Irish defense forward.
Notre Dame can commit to the run and look to control the pace of this game. They have three players who have rushed for at least 300 yards or more and one who is at 293 yards. Of those four players, Kyren Williams is the most dangerous. The sophomore running back has rushed for 10 touchdowns and has 992 yards from scrimmage this year. He’s going to be a handful for the defense.
UNC vs. Notre Dame History
Notre Dame is dominant in this historical matchup, winning 18 of 19 games. Technically, the last time the Tar Heels beat the Fighting Irish was in 1960. We say technically because they beat Notre Dame in 2008, but that win was vacated for NCAA violations.
The most recent meeting between Notre Dame and UNC came in 2017, a game in which the Fighting Irish clobbered the Tar Heels 33-10. They have only faced each other four times since 1975, with three of those games going to the Irish and of course, the one vacated game.
How To Watch Notre Dame vs. Boston College
- Date: Friday, Nov. 27
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium (Chapel Hill, North Carolina)
- TV: NBC
Betting Picks and Score Prediction
The Tar Heels have the offense to hang with anybody in the country, but the defense is far too inconsistent to put much faith in. For that reason alone, take Notre Dame laying the points.
The Irish are second in the College Football Playoff ranking and they are firmly in control of their own destiny. Winning out in the regular season and even a close loss to the Clemson Tigers in the ACC Championship Game might be enough to secure a spot in the CFP. Don’t expect to see Notre Dame trip up against UNC.