NBA Title Odds 2020: Who is favored to win the NBA Finals?
The 2020 NBA season has been one of the craziest in the league’s history, for many reasons. We have seen some massive stars change teams from Kawhi Leonard and Paul George to the Clippers, Kevin Durant to the Nets, some injuries that rapidly change NBA Finals odds such as Steph Curry and Klay Thompson being out for an extended period of time for the Warriors, and the growth of the Los Angeles Lakers with LeBron James and Anthony Davis. With the NBA season set to resume after the coronavirus crisis, the NBA betting markets are focused around NBA Finals futures. Here is a look at the latest NBA Finals odds, odds movement, some NBA Finals history and more.
Updated 2020 NBA Title Odds
Predictions To Win NBA Title
On Thursday, June 4, the NBA Board of Governors voted to approve the plan to resume the 2019-2020 season. With all games taking place at Disney World in Orlando, the season will resume with 22 teams in attendance and 16 advancing to the playoffs. The games will begin with each team playing eight games to determine their playoff seeding and once that’s concluded, it will go into the playoffs. Over on the FanDuel Sportsbook, odds for the winner of the NBA title have been released and we’ll look at three options to consider when placing your bets.
Favorite: Milwaukee Bucks (+240) odds to win NBA Title
The Bucks are the current favorites and before the season screeched to a halt, had the best record in the league at 53-12 with a .815 winning percentage. When the season stopped, the Bucks were currently riding a three-game losing streak and were 6-4 in their last 10. The Lakers were quickly catching up to them at the time and carry the second-best odds at +260. The Lakers were 8-2 in in their last 10 before the stoppage, giving them a 49-14 record with a .778 winning percentage.
Both teams elite defense has helped pave the way for the stellar seasons they were putting together and prior to the break both teams were third and sixth in points allowed per game. The Lakers were third, allowing 107 per game and the Bucks were close behind, ranked sixth with 107.4. The Bucks also boasted the high point differential in the league at 11.7. They were the only team in the league with this figure in double-digits, as, of course, the Lakers were second at 7.4.
The biggest flaw one could point out for the Bucks, however, is if a team is able to stop Giannis Antetokounmpo, a path to victory could be had. With that in mind though, the Bucks have a massive advantage to come out of the East and make it into the Finals. The Bucks are currently (-175) to win the Eastern Conference with the Celtics, potentially being a strong value play, at (+700). The Celtics do have one of the best defenses in the league and the 106.8 points allowed per game is the second-lowest in the league aside from the Raptors at 106.5.
Value Pick: Philadelphia 76ers (+2700) odds to win NBA Title
If the new format can help benefit anyone amongst these teams, the Sixers could be one of them. It’s been a train wreck on the road for them this season, going 10-24 when away from the Wells Fargo Center, where they went 29-2. While this isn’t exactly home court, the lack of travel will certainly be beneficial for a team that simply could not figure it out on the road.
As the current seeding stands, the Sixers are two games behind the Heat and 4.5 being the Celtics for third. If they’re able to do well in the eight games prior to the playoffs, they could improve their seeding and draw a more desirable matchup. The health of the team is also a factor as Ben Simmons has been able to get back to full health and Joel Embiid will be fresh as well. Coach Brett Brown has said that Simmons, who is recovering from a lower back nerve impingement, “has been outstanding” during his rehab.
The Sixers could opt to go with a new looking starting lineup as well, with Shake Milton in the mix. According to both reports, the speculation is that Milton would join Simmons, Embiid, Josh Richardson and Tobias Harris. This is a rotation that has yet to play together but Milton’s effectiveness off the bench has positioned him to be the fifth starter. When Milton has started, he’s averaging 14.1 points, 3.6 assists and 3.1 rebounds in 16 games.
If you wanted to double down, the Sixers are +900 to come out of the East, which is currently tied with the Heat as the fourth-best. For reference, we have a massive gap in odds after the Sixers with the Pacers next up at (+2900).
Longshot Pick: New Orleans Pelicans (+12000) odds to win NBA Title
The Pelicans are one of the teams on the outside looking in to make it into the playoff tournament. They were only 3.5 games out of the eighth seed, which is currently held by the Grizzlies in the Western Conference. The Pelicans actually have better odds than the Grizzlies, who are currently (+21000) on the FanDuel Sportsbook. Amongst the Western Conference teams, the Pelicans were third in scoring with 116.2 PPG, which was tied with the Clippers and only being the Mavericks and Rockets. Of course, the Pelicans struggle on defense and the 117 points allowed were the second-most, trailing only the Timberwolves.
Zion Williamson is, as you’d expect, the biggest X-Factor here for the Pelicans. Through 19 games, Williamson averaged 29.7 minutes, 23.6 points 6.8 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. Of those 19 games, Williamson at least 20 points in 14 of them. Will he be able to jump back into that type of rhythm off the jump? Or will the prolonged layoff be detrimental? If anything, one would assume the 19-year-old should be able to jump right into the mix of things.
While it seems unlikely the Pelicans could somehow shock us all and take down the Finals, as the current odds for them to win the Western Conference are (+6500), the young roster they possess does give some intrigue. Unlike the Eastern Conference, the Western Conference have much tighter odds and potential matchups whereas the Eastern is essentially locked down by the Bucks. I’m never against throwing some small amount down on long shot as the ROI would be incredible but this certainly is a hard one to justify. Of the long shots through, the Pelicans certainly do have the appeal.
Los Angeles Lakers NBA Title Odds
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) March 28, 2020
Currently, the Lakers are the co-favorites with +250 odds to win the NBA Finals on DraftKings Sportsbook, but are second to the Bucks on FanDuel. The Lakers are +270 to win the NBA Finals on FanDuel Sportsbook, which makes them the better bet there as you should always shop for odds. With Anthony Davis and LeBron James on the roster with some veterans and good defense, the sky is the limit for the 2020 Lakers.
Los Angeles Clippers NBA Title Odds
If the Clippers win the finals with zero fans in attendance it would be so on brand. https://t.co/j2NuRTJ4Nr
— Melissa Stetten (@MelissaStetten) March 11, 2020
The Clippers are +340 at FanDuel Sportsbook to win the NBA Finals, compared to +333 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Many NBA analysts have the Clippers as their pick as they coast through the regular season by resting Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Clippers “small ball” lineup is lethal, and they present the deepest team in the NBA with a tandem of NBA stars. While the Clippers are not the favorite, they likely should be. There is value in this team’s futures market. While the Clippers have been seen as the “other” team in LA, those times could change.
Milwaukee Bucks NBA Title Odds
Milwaukee for sure. It's so hard for a small market team to be there as a title contender and the Bucks were right there.
After that it's probably the Clippers. After decades of being the little brother, they had a chance to finally get to The Finals.
Third: All who love ball! https://t.co/nl61IwPcaU
— Keith Smith (@KeithSmithNBA) March 30, 2020
Both DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook have the Bucks as either favorites or co-favorites to win the NBA Finals, likely due to a much easier road in the Eastern Conference playoffs. The Bucks are sole favorites on FanDuel Sportsbook at +240, and are +250 on DraftKings Sportsbook. With Giannis Antetokounmpo and the deepest roster in the Eastern Conference, the Bucks are certainly favored to make it to the Finals. Can they win it? Time will tell.
NBA Title Odds Movement
|Action Rush||NBA Finals Odds Movement|
|Team||May||June||July||September||October 22||November 1||December 1||January 1||February 1||All Star Break||March 1||April 14||Before Restart|
|Los Angeles Lakers||+1800||+335||+400||+440||+450||+365||+295||+300||+265||+265||+285||+250||+250|
|Los Angeles Clippers||+1200||+1300||+330||+420||+425||+295||+290||+315||+375||+320||+310||+333||+333|
|New Orleans Pelicans||+5000||+5500||+12500||+5500||+12500||+9850||+32500||+20000||+10000||+37500||+10000||+20000||+12000|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||+4000||+1800||+25500||+50000||+25000||+15000||+30000||+27500||+32500||+19500||+20000||+8000||+8000|
|Portland Trail Blazers||+5000||+3300||+2550||+3000||+3500||+3500||+17550||+6000||+12500||+9500||+35000||+20000||+8000|
|San Antonio Spurs||+7000||+7000||+7500||+10500||+6000||+8000||+12500||+10000||+37500||+74500||+100000||+20000||+50000|
|Golden State Warriors||+200||+1100||+1225||+1200||+950||+7250||+35000||+35000||+500000||+999900||–||–||–|
|New York Knicks||+1600||+6000||+50000||+100000||+100000||+100000||+95000||+100000||+999999||+999900||–||–||–|
NBA Finals odds movement has shown a vast array of movements since before the season started. Take a look at some of these numbers. The Golden State Warriors started at +200 last May, and dropped to +1200 before the season started. Now, they are not even listed at many books. The Bucks have remained at +600 or better throughout the entire duration. Leading up to the restart, the Bucks and Lakers are favored at +250.
NBA Finals History
Top 3 NBA Finals Upsets
2016 NBA Finals – LeBron James and Kyrie Irving defeat Golden State Warriors
The 2016 NBA Finals was the one that cemented LeBron James’ “legacy”, as he defeated the heavily favored Golden State Warriors in seven games to bring a championship to Cleveland. The Warriors were up 3-1, but the Cavaliers won three straight games including a close 93-89 victory in game 7. The Cavs were huge underdogs, even larger when the Warriors were up 3-1. Underdogs prevail sometimes, though.
2011 NBA Finals – Dallas Mavericks Ruin Miami Heat’s Plans
2011 is another NBA Finals that included LeBron James, but the James-led Heat lost in six games to Dirk Nowitzki and the Dallas Mavericks. This was the first season of the “new” Miami Heat after LeBron James teamed up with Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade in Miami, where they promised many championships.
2004 NBA Finals – Pistons Take Down Mighty Lakers
The 2004 Los Angeles Lakers were stacked. From Kobe Bryant to Shaquille O’Neal to an older Gary Parton and Karl Malone, the Lakers were absolutely favored to win the 2004 NBA Finals against a Pistons team led by no superstars, but a very solid core of Rip Hamilton, Chauncey Billups, Rasheed Wallace, and Ben Wallace. Somehow, the Pistons won in five games, and Karl Malone retired without a ring.
NBA Champions By Year
|2018||Golden State Warriors|
|2017||Golden State Warriors|
|2015||Golden State Warriors|
|2014||San Antonio Spurs|
|2010||Los Angeles Lakers|
|2009||Los Angeles Lakers|
|2007||San Antonio Spurs|
|2005||San Antonio Spurs|
|2003||San Antonio Spurs|
|2002||Los Angeles Lakers|
|2001||Los Angeles Lakers|
|2000||Los Angeles Lakers|
|1999||San Antonio Spurs|
|1988||Los Angeles Lakers|
|1987||Los Angeles Lakers|
|1985||Los Angeles Lakers|
|1982||Los Angeles Lakers|
|1980||Los Angeles Lakers|
|1977||Portland Trail Blazers|
NBA Finals MVP By Year
All-Time NBA Finals Leaders
All-Time NBA Finals Points Leaders
|Player||Career Points in NBA Finals|
All-Time NBA Finals Rebounds Leaders
|Player||Career Rebounds in NBA Finals|
All-Time NBA Finals Assists Leaders
|Player||Career Assists in NBA Finals|
Who has the Most Championship Rings in NBA History?
|Player||Total NBA Championship Rings|
NBA Title Odds Frequently Asked Questions
When will the 2020 NBA Finals take place?
The 2020 NBA Finals date is tentative, due to the coronavirus. Some are expecting as late as the end of summer or early fall for the 2020 NBA Finals.
Which team has won the most NBA Titles?
The Boston Celtics have the most NBA Championships with 17, and the Los Angeles Lakers are second with 16.
Can I bet on the NBA Finals?
Yes, at legal sportsbooks in the US you are able to bet on the NBA Finals and who will win. Try betting at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Data from BasketballReference
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