NFL Consensus Picks & Public Betting Money Percentages Trends 2021

DraftKings Super Bowl Consensus Picks

 

DRAFTKINGS SUPER BOWL 55 PUBLIC BETTING SPLITS
Sunday, February 7, 2021 [updated Sunday, Feb. 7, 6:01 pm EST]
 
Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
                   
KC Chiefs -3 57% 66% Over 55.5 69% 65% -157 48% 40%
TB Buccaneers +3 43% 34% Under 55.5 31% 35% +138 52% 60%
                   
Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

Super Bowl LV MVP Splits
Handle Rank Player Odds % of Handle % of Bets
1 Patrick Mahomes -106 48% 35%
2 Tom Brady +210 29% 29%
3 Tyreek Hill +1200 6% 8%
4 Travis Kelce +1300 5% 7%
5 Leonard Fournette +2500 1% 2%
6 Mike Evans +3000 1% 2%
7 Devin White +4000 1% 1%
8 Shaquil Barrett +5000 1% 2%
9 Tyrann Mathieu +4000 1% 2%
10 Jason Pierre-Paul +7000 1% 2%
Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

 

Super Bowl LV Novelty Props Splits
Market Outcome Odds % of Handle % of Bets
Any Field Goal or Extra point attempt to hit Uprights or crossbar Yes +375 91% 97%
No -590 9% 3%
Any Offensive Lineman to score a touchdown Yes +2000 91% 94%
No -10000 9% 6%
Any Offensive or Defensive Lineman to Score a Touchdown Yes +800 75% 97%
No -2000 25% 3%
Any quarter to end scoreless Yes +500 96% 93%
No -910 4% 7%
Any Quarterback To Record 500 or more Total Passing Yards Yes +1600 89% 92%
No -10000 11% 8%
Coin Toss Outcome Heads -103 52% 48%
Tails -103 48% 52%
Coin Toss Winner KC Chiefs -106 43% 44%
TB Buccaneers -106 57% 56%
Either team to score 3 times unanswered Yes -220 4% 3%
No +170 96% 97%
Final play of the game to be a quarterback kneel Yes -200 38% 25%
No +159 62% 75%
First Gatorade color dumped on the winning Coach Orange +125 26% 22%
Yellow/Green/Lime +300 23% 25%
Red +200 23% 23%
Clear/Water +350 17% 18%
Blue +700 7% 8%
Purple +800 4% 4%
First Offensive play from scrimmage will be Pass -124 13% 17%
Run +100 87% 83%
Opening Kickoff to Result in a Touchback Yes -305 31% 16%
No +230 69% 84%
Player to correctly call Opening Kick Off Coin Toss Yes -106 76% 70%
No -106 24% 30%
Team to win coin toss and win the game – KC Chiefs Yes +205 99% 99%
No -265 1% 1%
Team to win coin toss and win the game – TB Buccaneers Yes +355 97% 98%
No -500 3% 2%
Total Players To Attempt A Pass Over 2.5 +165 82% 84%
Under 2.5 -215 18% 16%
Total Players To Complete A Pass Over 2.5 +215 75% 80%
Under 2.5 -286 25% 20%
Total Players To Make A Reception Over 15.5 +105 25% 37%
Under 15.5 -129 75% 63%
Total Players To Throw A Touchdown Pass Over 2.5 +1100 96% 95%
Under 2.5 -3335 4% 5%
Will the game be tied again after 0-0 Yes -130 78% 67%
No +105 22% 33%
Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

BetMGM Super Bowl NFL Consensus Picks

 

BetMGM NFL Highlights: Super Bowl

Notable bets

  • $2.3 million to win $2 million on Buccaneers +3.5
  • ​$345K to win $300K Buccaneers +3 1/2 -115
  • $205K to win $186,363.65 Chiefs/Bucs under 56 1/2
  • $180K to win $100K on Chiefs -180 moneyline
  • $115K to win $100K on Chiefs -3.5 (-115)
  • $110K to win $100K on Chiefs -3.5 (-110)

 

Ticket%, Handle% and Line Movement

 

 

 

 

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William Hill NFL Public Betting Trends

 

 

 

 

 

About NFL Consensus Picks

Betting on the NFL is the most popular event in U.S. sports wagering culture. It is also extremely difficult to make money every week of the NFL season.  We are not saying that other sports are less complicated, but the grind of the NFL season is very tough on sports bettors. NFL consensus picks and public bets info is a must-have tool for any true NFL betting fan who is looking to win or cover the spread each week of the season. ActionRush.com provides NFL public betting trends on the games each night courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, FanDuel and William Hill.

What exactly is an NFL consensus pick? An example would be viewing the betting public picks above and seeing the Chiefs -3 over the TB Bucs getting 71% of the action at DraftKings. The public is heavily backing the Chiefs, while only 29% percent of bettors are backing the underdog Bucs at +3. A simple football handicapping strategy would be to “fade the public” and bet the Bucs plus the points.

 

NFL Consensus Picks FAQ

What are NFL Consensus Picks?

NFL consensus picks detail the betting percentage that the betting public is on for an NFL game. The NFL consensus provides bettors an indication of how much action sportsbooks are seeing on either side of an NFL matchup.

Should I fade public NFL bets?

Many sports bettors like to fade NFL Public Bets or consensus pick percentages. The numbers behind this betting theory are not as strong as most people think, but if played properly could certainly equal solid returns.

Should I bet on NFL favorites more often?

NFL home favorites cover the point-spread 46.25 percent of the time, while road favorites cover a higher percentage of the time at 51.38 percent.