NFL Consensus Picks & Public Betting Money Percentages Trends 2021
DraftKings Super Bowl Consensus Picks
| DRAFTKINGS SUPER BOWL 55 PUBLIC BETTING SPLITS | |||||||||
| Sunday, February 7, 2021 [updated Sunday, Feb. 7, 6:01 pm EST] | |||||||||
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| KC Chiefs | -3 | 57% | 66% | Over 55.5 | 69% | 65% | -157 | 48% | 40% |
| TB Buccaneers | +3 | 43% | 34% | Under 55.5 | 31% | 35% | +138 | 52% | 60% |
| Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook | |||||||||
| Super Bowl LV MVP Splits | ||||
| Handle Rank | Player | Odds | % of Handle | % of Bets |
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes | -106 | 48% | 35% |
| 2 | Tom Brady | +210 | 29% | 29% |
| 3 | Tyreek Hill | +1200 | 6% | 8% |
| 4 | Travis Kelce | +1300 | 5% | 7% |
| 5 | Leonard Fournette | +2500 | 1% | 2% |
| 6 | Mike Evans | +3000 | 1% | 2% |
| 7 | Devin White | +4000 | 1% | 1% |
| 8 | Shaquil Barrett | +5000 | 1% | 2% |
| 9 | Tyrann Mathieu | +4000 | 1% | 2% |
| 10 | Jason Pierre-Paul | +7000 | 1% | 2% |
| Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook | ||||
When it comes to the spread, every state is backing Kansas City…
Except New Hampshire. #SBLV pic.twitter.com/dc6ch6zO7r
— DraftKings Sportsbook (@DKSportsbook) February 7, 2021
| Super Bowl LV Novelty Props Splits | ||||
| Market | Outcome | Odds | % of Handle | % of Bets |
| Any Field Goal or Extra point attempt to hit Uprights or crossbar | Yes | +375 | 91% | 97% |
| No | -590 | 9% | 3% | |
| Any Offensive Lineman to score a touchdown | Yes | +2000 | 91% | 94% |
| No | -10000 | 9% | 6% | |
| Any Offensive or Defensive Lineman to Score a Touchdown | Yes | +800 | 75% | 97% |
| No | -2000 | 25% | 3% | |
| Any quarter to end scoreless | Yes | +500 | 96% | 93% |
| No | -910 | 4% | 7% | |
| Any Quarterback To Record 500 or more Total Passing Yards | Yes | +1600 | 89% | 92% |
| No | -10000 | 11% | 8% | |
| Coin Toss Outcome | Heads | -103 | 52% | 48% |
| Tails | -103 | 48% | 52% | |
| Coin Toss Winner | KC Chiefs | -106 | 43% | 44% |
| TB Buccaneers | -106 | 57% | 56% | |
| Either team to score 3 times unanswered | Yes | -220 | 4% | 3% |
| No | +170 | 96% | 97% | |
| Final play of the game to be a quarterback kneel | Yes | -200 | 38% | 25% |
| No | +159 | 62% | 75% | |
| First Gatorade color dumped on the winning Coach | Orange | +125 | 26% | 22% |
| Yellow/Green/Lime | +300 | 23% | 25% | |
| Red | +200 | 23% | 23% | |
| Clear/Water | +350 | 17% | 18% | |
| Blue | +700 | 7% | 8% | |
| Purple | +800 | 4% | 4% | |
| First Offensive play from scrimmage will be | Pass | -124 | 13% | 17% |
| Run | +100 | 87% | 83% | |
| Opening Kickoff to Result in a Touchback | Yes | -305 | 31% | 16% |
| No | +230 | 69% | 84% | |
| Player to correctly call Opening Kick Off Coin Toss | Yes | -106 | 76% | 70% |
| No | -106 | 24% | 30% | |
| Team to win coin toss and win the game – KC Chiefs | Yes | +205 | 99% | 99% |
| No | -265 | 1% | 1% | |
| Team to win coin toss and win the game – TB Buccaneers | Yes | +355 | 97% | 98% |
| No | -500 | 3% | 2% | |
| Total Players To Attempt A Pass | Over 2.5 | +165 | 82% | 84% |
| Under 2.5 | -215 | 18% | 16% | |
| Total Players To Complete A Pass | Over 2.5 | +215 | 75% | 80% |
| Under 2.5 | -286 | 25% | 20% | |
| Total Players To Make A Reception | Over 15.5 | +105 | 25% | 37% |
| Under 15.5 | -129 | 75% | 63% | |
| Total Players To Throw A Touchdown Pass | Over 2.5 | +1100 | 96% | 95% |
| Under 2.5 | -3335 | 4% | 5% | |
| Will the game be tied again after 0-0 | Yes | -130 | 78% | 67% |
| No | +105 | 22% | 33% | |
| Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook | ||||
BetMGM Super Bowl NFL Consensus Picks
BetMGM NFL Highlights: Super Bowl
Notable bets
- $2.3 million to win $2 million on Buccaneers +3.5
- $345K to win $300K Buccaneers +3 1/2 -115
- $205K to win $186,363.65 Chiefs/Bucs under 56 1/2
- $180K to win $100K on Chiefs -180 moneyline
- $115K to win $100K on Chiefs -3.5 (-115)
- $110K to win $100K on Chiefs -3.5 (-110)
Ticket%, Handle% and Line Movement
FanDuel NFL Consensus Picks Super Bowl 55
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers / Total Points 56.5
FanDuel 55-1 Super Bowl Odds On Either Chiefs or Bucs – Your Choice!
William Hill NFL Public Betting Trends
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About NFL Consensus Picks
Betting on the NFL is the most popular event in U.S. sports wagering culture. It is also extremely difficult to make money every week of the NFL season. We are not saying that other sports are less complicated, but the grind of the NFL season is very tough on sports bettors. NFL consensus picks and public bets info is a must-have tool for any true NFL betting fan who is looking to win or cover the spread each week of the season. ActionRush.com provides NFL public betting trends on the games each night courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, BetMGM, FanDuel and William Hill.
What exactly is an NFL consensus pick? An example would be viewing the betting public picks above and seeing the Chiefs -3 over the TB Bucs getting 71% of the action at DraftKings. The public is heavily backing the Chiefs, while only 29% percent of bettors are backing the underdog Bucs at +3. A simple football handicapping strategy would be to “fade the public” and bet the Bucs plus the points.
NFL Consensus Picks FAQ
What are NFL Consensus Picks?
NFL consensus picks detail the betting percentage that the betting public is on for an NFL game. The NFL consensus provides bettors an indication of how much action sportsbooks are seeing on either side of an NFL matchup.
Should I fade public NFL bets?
Many sports bettors like to fade NFL Public Bets or consensus pick percentages. The numbers behind this betting theory are not as strong as most people think, but if played properly could certainly equal solid returns.
Should I bet on NFL favorites more often?
NFL home favorites cover the point-spread 46.25 percent of the time, while road favorites cover a higher percentage of the time at 51.38 percent.