Over at FOX Bet, NFL Player Futures have become one of the more popular plays. Today, we dissect Odell Beckham Jr as he enters his second season with the Cleveland Browns.
OBJ’s Browns enter the season needing a resurgence after not just a tough 2019 campaign, but a rough run of years. They haven’t had a winning season since 2007, or a first place finish since 1989. This year, the Browns are projected by the sportsbooks for eight wins with 33/1 odds of winning the Super Bowl. You can view every team’s projected win totals and Super Bowl odds right on the main Action Rush page.
Over/Under 6.5 Receiving Touchdowns
Are you expecting a bounce-back season from Odell Beckham Jr.? 💪 pic.twitter.com/P5tBLbkS1z
— FOX Bet (@FOXBet) May 5, 2020
For perspective, Beckham averaged just under 12 touchdowns per seasons in his first three seasons in the league. In 2017, he was hurt, starting in just two games. Then in his final season with the Giants, he got to six touchdowns but still only played in 3/4 of the games that year. Last year in Cleveland, the Browns were a dumpster fire under first year head coach Freddie Kitchens who was replaced by Vikings Offensive Coordinator Kevin Stefanski. If Beckham is healthy, and the Browns offense lives up to the potential of QB Baker Mayfield, the over 6.5 touchdowns feels like it’s absolutely within sight, especially at even odds (-110).
Over/Under 1024.5 Receiving Yards
Odell Beckham Jr. predicts 2020 will be one of his best seasons pic.twitter.com/YBX4xap9Pg
— NESN (@NESN) May 5, 2020
Over the course of his career, OBJ has averaged 86.8 yards/game. Over a full 16-game season, that adds up to 1,388.8 yards. Only issue is Beckham hasn’t played in 16 games more than twice in his NFL career. He has, however gone above the set number of 1024.5 in every year of his career except for 2017. Beckham played in every game in 2019, and despite only four touchdowns, his yards per reception was the third best of his career. If he’s healthy and playing every game, he should easily hit that number.
Over/Under 75.5 Receptions
Baker Mayfield’s 2020 weapons:
RB Nick Chubb
RB Kareem Hunt
WR Odell Beckham Jr.
WR Jarvis Landry
WR Rashard Higgins
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones
TE Austin Hopper
TE David Njoku
& a pretty solid offensive line. pic.twitter.com/jnKY6bOZM5
— Damon J. Kecman (@DownWithDamon) April 28, 2020
While it’s easy to chomp at the bit for the OVER on this bet, this is the one I’m leaning towards the UNDER for. Think about all the talented offensive playmakers Baker Mayfield has to get the ball to in a play-action oriented offense. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will see plenty of volume in Stefanski’s offense, Jarvis Landry led the team in receptions last year, and they’ve also added Austin Hooper to the mix after a breakout season in Atlanta.
Beckham’s reception numbers could take a small dip, but his efficiency could be through the roof with all the attention the rest of his teammates will warrant by opposing defenses.