Last Updated on December 17, 2020
- The Ohio State Buckeyes are -19.5 on the spread against Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship Game. The total is set to 58.5 points.
- Northwestern ranks second in the nation in scoring defense.
- Ohio State is currently ranked No. 4 in the College Football Playoff rankings.
- The Buckeyes are 32-1 against the Wildcats in their last 33 meetings.
Although COVID-19 worked hard to try and keep Ohio State out of the Big Ten Championship Game, the Buckeyes are still heading to Indianapolis to take on Northwestern. The conference had to bend some rules to allow Ohio State into the game, but it makes sense they would considering the Buckeyes are the only legitimate National Championship contender in the Big Ten.
Northwestern (6-1) is a massive underdog against Ohio State (5-0). Let’s dive into the best odds, interesting props, analysis, and everything else you need to know about the 2020 Big Ten Championship Game.
Ohio State – Northwestern Big Ten Championship Odds
The Buckeyes are -19.5 on the spread in the Big Ten Championship, but there are some books that have Northwestern as high as +20.5. Ohio State is -1111 on the moneyline while Northwestern is +760. The total is set to anything between 58.5 and 59.5 points.
Northwestern is among the best teams in college football against the spread. They have covered in five of their seven games this season (with one push). Meanwhile, Ohio State is 3-2 against the spread in 2020. Although Northwestern is phenomenal against the spread, they have only gone over the total points once in seven games. The Buckeyes are 3-1-1 on over-unders.
Betting Public Is Hammering Ohio State
|Saturday, December 19, 2020|
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|Ohio State||-21.5||82%||72%||Under 57.5||43%||18%||-1430||81%||87%|
Game Preview and Betting Angles
No conference has handled the pandemic as poorly as the Big Ten this year, but they finally got something right by including Ohio State in the Championship Game. The original rule was that teams needed to play at least six games to qualify for the Big Ten Championship Game. The Buckeyes fell one game short of this mark after Michigan had to pause their season for COVID-19.
Luckily, the people in charge decided to change the rule to put Ohio State in the Championship Game. Ryan Day’s squad has been the best team in the conference by far and the massive spread shows how dominant they have been all year.
Ohio State Game Notes
Perhaps if Ohio State was able to play more games this year, Justin Fields would be in the Heisman Trophy conversation. The Georgia transfer is one of the most dominant players in college football and he’s the presumptive No. 2 pick in the upcoming NFL draft — behind Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence, of course.
Fields has scored 20 total touchdowns this year and only threw for three interceptions. In fact, all three of those picks came against the Indiana Hoosiers. That was the only game this year where Fields looked human. Ohio State’s offense ranks fourth in the country in scoring (46.6 points per game).
Ohio State can put points on the board quickly, but Northwestern is going to be the best defense they face this season. That isn’t saying much considering how few teams Ohio State has played, but still, it will be a new challenge for Fields and company. Northwestern ranks second in college football in scoring defense (14.6 points per game).
Look for the Wildcats to try and slow the game down with the run. The Buckeyes defense is going to need to stop the rush, first and foremost. Controlling the clock and dictating the pace of play is Northwestern’s best path to victory.
Northwestern Game Notes
Speaking of Northwestern, they have a puncher’s chance in this game. Ohio State is a juggernaut and they appear poised to challenge for a National Championship but underestimate the Wildcats at your own risk. Aside from one stinker against Michigan State, Pat Fitzgerald’s squad has looked fantastic this season.
Northwestern is Big Ten football. It’s not the prettiest way to play, but it’s exactly what you expect to see when you turn on a Big Ten game on Saturday. If the Wildcats are going to be successful against the Buckeyes, they will need to control the time of possession, win the field position battle, and take advantage of whatever opportunities Ohio State gives them.
Fields doesn’t make many mistakes, but the Indiana game is proof that he’s human. Northwestern needs to convert turnovers into points while taking care of the ball themselves. The margin for error against a team as good as Ohio State is razor-thin.
Ohio State vs. Northwestern History
Ohio State absolutely dominates the all-time matchup between these two schools. The Buckeyes hold a 63-14-1 advantage over the Wildcats. Northwestern’s last win against Ohio State came in 2004 and they have lost 32 of their last 33 against the Buckeyes.
Northwestern’s only loss of the season came to Michigan State. The Spartans were the last team the Buckeyes played and Ohio State had no problem in that game, winning 52-12.
How To Watch Ohio State – Northwestern
- Date: Saturday, December, 19th
- Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, Indiana)
- TV: FOX
Ohio State Wins, But Northwestern Covers
Ohio State is going to win this game. They simply have too much firepower on offense for Northwestern to hold them down, but the Wildcats will hang around longer than most expect. Take Northwestern getting the points. They have been phenomenal against the spread this year and Ohio State knows they are in the College Football Playoff with a win regardless of the final score.
Final Score Prediction: Ohio State wins 27-16
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