Last Updated on December 18, 2020
- Oklahoma enters as a 5.5-point favorite over the Iowa State Cyclones in the 2020 Big 12 Championship.
- Oklahoma has won in three of the last five meetings between these two programs, while Iowa State has covered in each of the last five.
- The Sooners sport a top-10 scoring offense (43.4 points per game) while Iowa State is the top-ranked team in the conference.
- Betting data courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.’
We’ve arrived at the conference championship slate of the pandemic-impacted 2020 college football season, and with that comes an intriguing matchup between the No.10-ranked Oklahoma Sooners and the No. 6-ranked Iowa State Cyclones. Both teams have undergone great seasons despite the hardships brought along by the COVID-19 pandemic, and Oklahoma will look to win its fourth consecutive Big 12 Championship Game since the event was reinstated for the 2017 campaign.
While Iowa State possesses the higher ranking, many would argue that Oklahoma is the better overall program, backed by an offense that’s averaging an incredible 43.4 points per game. However, I wouldn’t sleep on this powerful Cyclones team, which beat the Sooners by a score of 37-30 back on Oct. 3. One of the toughest things to do in sports is beat the same team twice though, so this should be an extremely interesting matchup come Saturday at noon ET.
Oklahoma – Iowa State Big 12 Championship Odds[metabet_core_game_tile query=”ncaaf/oklahoma” site_id=”actionrush”]
Per DraftKings Sportsbook, the Sooners enter this matchup as 5.5-point favorites despite their lower ranking and previous loss to the Cyclones. Oklahoma is additionally favored on the moneyline at -195 while Iowa State sits at +155. The total is currently set at over-under 58.0 — oddsmakers seemingly trust Iowa State’s defense to contain Oklahoma’s high-powered offense for the majority of the game.
Both teams are decent against the spread, but not overly fantastic. Oklahoma is 6-3 in those regards (average winning margin of 29.0) while Iowa state is 6-4 (average losing margin of 10.0).
It’s also worth noting that while Oklahoma has won three of its last five meetings with Iowa State, the Cyclones have covered in each of the last five, dating back to November of 2016.
The over also hit in four of those five meetings, with the under hitting in that November 2016 matchup.
The Public is Hammering Oklahoma!
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|Iowa State||+4.5||28%||33%||Under 58.5||18%||13%||+160||49%||45%|
Oklahoma – Iowa St. Big 12 Champ Player Props
|Spencer Rattler (OU)||288.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Brock Purdy (ISU)||237.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Running Back||Rushing Yards|
Rhamondre Stevenson (OU)
|100.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
Breece Hall (ISU)
|108.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|WR / TE||Receiving Yards|
|Xavier Hutchinson (ISU)||72.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Charlie Kolar (ISU)||46.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
Game Preview and Betting Angles
This is Iowa State’s first-ever appearance in the Big 12 Championship Game — a monumental milestone for a program that’s never really gotten over the hump — and there’s likely no bigger in-conference challenge for them than Oklahoma, a program that can be described as the “Bowser” to the rest of the Big 12’s “Mario.”
As was mentioned before, Oklahoma has reached and won this game every single season since the event was reinstated back in 2017. The Sooners defeated Baylor 30-23 in last year’s championship while Iowa State finished in the middle of the pack that year at 7-6.
But every season is different, and this season is like no other. A win for Iowa State would be a huge step up for its program en route to potentially even larger achievements in the future.
Oklahoma Game Notes
Oklahoma is entering this game with an offense that’s put up 485.1 average yards and 43.4 average points, carrying on the offensive firepower that head coach Lincoln Riley brings to this program. However, the defense is also strong, only allowing 322.3 yards per game — a mark that puts the Sooners at No. 16 in the country and No. 2 in the conference (behind West Virginia).
The Sooners are led by quarterback Spencer Rattler. Yes, that Spencer Rattler from Netflix’s “QB1.” The redshirt freshman has thrown for 2,512 yards and 24 touchdowns on a 68.5% completion rate. His yardage through the air is good for 13th in the country while his touchdown pass total is tied for eighth.
Rattler has additionally rushed for 103 yards and four scores on the ground.
The young quarterback will look to have a field day against an Iowa State secondary allowing 235.0 passing yards per game.
The Sooners will additionally attempt to see significant production out of running back Rhamondre Stevenson. Despite the fact that he’s only played four games this year, the senior is averaging nearly six yards per carry and has scored six touchdowns on the ground. Iowa State, however, sports a strong rushing defense. The unit is allowing just 103.1 rushing yards per game, a mark that puts them at No. 11 in the country in those regards.
Iowa State Game Notes
Iowa State’s offense fields quarterback Brock Purdy, who’s undergoing a productive season thus far. Purdy has thrown for 2,272 yards and 17 touchdowns with a 66.2% completion rate. He’s mobile as well, having rushed for 310 yards and four touchdowns in 2020.
What the Cyclones need to do in this game is stick to one of the things they do best — run the football. Iowa State is averaging nearly 200 yards on the ground per game, which is second in the Big 12 conference (behind TCU). Long drives will not only tire out Oklahoma’s defense but also keep the Sooners’ high-powered offense off the field, which should assist in a potential Iowa State victory (and a huge one at that).
The Cyclones run game is led by Breece Hall, who’s experienced a tremendous 2020 season. Hall is averaging 6.1 yards per carry and has rushed for a total of 1,357 yards and 17 touchdowns.
Establishing the run effectively and doing so early will be key, especially when you take into consideration that this Oklahoma defense is allowing a superb 88.1 rushing yards per game.
Oklahoma vs. Iowa State History
Oklahoma carries a highly significant advantage when it comes to the overall record of this in-conference rivalry, having won 74 out of 83 total meetings (74-8-1). The Sooners have also won eight of the last ten matchups dating back to November of 2011.
However, the last meeting came in Iowa State’s favor, as we mentioned previously. The Cyclones ousted the Sooners 37-30 back on Oct. 3 behind 139 yards rushing and two touchdowns from Hall.
How To Watch Oklahoma – Iowa State
- Date: Saturday, Dec. 19
- Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)
- TV: ABC
Iowa State Covers, Oklahoma Wins
I can very much see this being a high-scoring game because, well, Oklahoma is indeed playing in it. Lincoln Riley usually finds a way to put significant points up on the board. Nonetheless, that’s not to say it won’t be close. Iowa State has shocked many college football fans this season and this won’t be an easy task for the Sooners.
But as we said before, one of the toughest things to do in sports is beat the same team twice. Oklahoma will emerge victorious and win yet another Big 12 Championship, but Iowa State will cover, just like it has in each of the last five meetings between these programs. And as per the score, the over will hit.