Last Updated on October 5, 2020
- The Packers are 3-0 against the spread this season (Once as the favorite).
- The Falcons have blown 15-point, fourth-quarter leads in two consecutive weeks.
- Both teams have hit the over in every game this season.
Monday Night Football’s Week 4 matchup is going to be a tale of two cities. It’s the best of times for the Green Bay Packers, the worst of times for the Atlanta Falcons. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are coming into Monday night undefeated while Matt Ryan and the Falcons are reeling after two horrific losses.
The Action Rush Monday Night Football betting guide has everything you could possibly need, from the best odds to interesting props to analysis and much, much more.
Packers – Falcons Best Odds MNF Week 4
The Packers are -7, although some books have the Falcons at +7.5. Prior to the season, this game looked like it would be a battle between two good NFC teams, but that’s not the case anymore. The Packers are playing like a bonafide Super Bowl contender and the Falcons are finding new ways to lose.
The Packers are -320 on the moneyline which implies a 76% chance to win. The total points are set to 56.5 on some books and 57.5 at others. On all lines for this game, there is some variation from book to book.
MNF Preview & Betting Angles
Even though there are teams in the NFL who have played worse through three weeks, you could argue that the Falcons are having the worst season of any team. In fact, Atlanta has been historically bad through three weeks. Over the last 20 years, no team has blown a 15-point, fourth-quarter lead twice in a season. The Falcons did it twice in two weeks. Yikes.
Their issues with closing out games stretch all the way back to their horrendous Super Bowl choke job against the Patriots. For whatever reason, they can’t put teams away and it could end up costing Dan Quinn his job. The defense just can’t seem to get a big stop when they need it and the offense tends to stall out when playing from ahead.
The Falcons have had no trouble putting points on the board early and they are sixth in the NFL in points per game (30.0). However, they are scoring 10 fewer points per game than the Packers, the No. 1 scoring offense in the league.
Aaron Rodgers is off to a scorching hot start this year, throwing for 887 yards, nine touchdowns, and no interceptions so far. But the Green Bay offense is far from a one-man show. They are second in the league in rushing yards per game (171.7) and running back Aaron Jones leads the league in rushing touchdowns with four.
The Packers offense can beat you in every imaginable way and they are rising in Super Bowl odds as a result. They’re commanding win over the New Orleans Saints on Sunday Night Football of Week 3 turned some heads.
On the bright side for the Falcons, they probably won’t have a fourth-quarter lead to blow in this game. If Atlanta does manage to take a big early lead, that should play well for over bettors. The Packers are bound to make a comeback late.
Both the Packers and the Falcons have hit the over in every game this season. The total points set to 56.5 is crazy high, but these teams have a knack for putting up ridiculous points.
Check back over the weekend for more information on player props, but DraftKings Sportsbook always lists plenty of game and team props early each week. One of our favorites is which team will score first and win.
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Matt Ryan (ATL)||24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||305.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -190)|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||289.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -155)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Todd Gurley (ATL)||13.5 (Ov -125 | Un -115)||56.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||66.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||N/A||81.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||109.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Wide Receivers + Tight Ends||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Russell Gage (ATL)||4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +100)||52.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB)||N/A||51.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Hayden Hurst (ATL)||3.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Robert Tonyan (GB)||3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -115)||38.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
How To Watch Falcons vs. Packers Monday
Monday Night Football is always on ESPN with a kick-off time of 8:15 p.m. The broadcast team of Steve Levy (play-by-play), Louis Riddick (analyst), Brian Griese (analyst), and Lisa Salters (sideline reporter) is coming together nicely.
Monday Night Football’s broadcast crew had a tough few years following Gruden’s departure, but this new booth is solid all-around. Riddick and Griese have solid chemistry with Levy. Although some have complaints that this booth doesn’t feel like a “Monday Night Football” booth, the absence of fans has taken the air out of most buildings during games.
— Jason Ziernicki 🎲🏈➡️💰 (@jziernick) October 5, 2020
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
Packers, Packers, Packers. Take Green Bay laying the points on Monday Night Football. Yes, the Falcons haven’t had issues starting games and the offense can put points on the board, but the Packers are just cruising right now. Winning by a touchdown is a big ask, but Rodgers should be able to march up and down the field on Monday.
We like the over as well, but 56.5 is just too high of a number to really go all-in on. One bad half from either team or a missed field goal would kill that bet.
Final Score Prediction: Packers 42-28
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