- The Los Angeles Rams are -5 against the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football in Week 14. The total is set to 44.5 points.
- The Rams and Patriots are both 4-8 on over-unders this season.
- The Patriots are second in the NFL with 14 interceptions.
- The Rams rank third in rushing defense and first in passing defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams (8-4) are making a push in the NFC after beating the Arizona Cardinals in Week 13. Meanwhile, the New England Patriots (6-6) are refusing to quit on the season. Cam Newton and the Pats made a statement with their 45-0 beatdown of the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday.
Thursday night’s game has big-time playoff implications. Los Angeles is trying to maintain its slim lead in the NFC West while the Patriots are trying to claw back into the AFC playoff picture. New England is currently two games back of the final Wild Card spot.
The Action Rush Thursday Night Football betting guide has the best odds, interesting props, analysis, and everything else you need to know for Rams vs. Patriots in Week 14.
Rams-Patriots Week 14 Odds TNF
The Los Angeles Rams are currently five-point favorites against the New England Patriots, but there are some sportsbooks that have the Pats at +5.5. Los Angeles is -238 on the moneyline compared to New England’s +205. The total is set to 44.5 points.
The Patriots are an even 6-6 against the spread per DraftKings Sportsbook. The Rams are only slightly better at 7-5 this season. Both teams tend to favor the under. The Rams and Pats are both 4-8 on over-unders in 2020.
Who is the public betting on?
|Week 14 TNF Splits|
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|NE Patriots||+4.5||41%||48%||Over 44.0||50%||55%||+195||44%||47%|
|LA Rams||-4.5||59%||52%||Under 44.0||50%||45%||-245||56%||53%|
|Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook|
Patriots vs. Rams Player Props Thursday
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Jared Goff (LAR)||24.5 (Ov -121 | Un -104)||270.5 (Ov +122 | Un -152)||1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120)|
|Cam Newton (NE)||17.5 (Ov +105 | Un -130)||185.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124)||1.5 (Ov +186 | Un -240)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|Sony Michel (NE)||N/A||18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115)|
|Damien Harris (NE)||11.5 (Ov -133 | Un +110)||48.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||57.5 (Ov -120 | Un +100)|
|Cam Newton (NE)||8.5 (Ov -189 | Un +155)||44.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||N/A|
|James White (NE)||N/A||13.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||32.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Cam Akers (LAR)||11.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)||45.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)||54.5 (Ov -118 | Un -105)|
|WR / TE / RB||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Gerald Everett (LAR)||2.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||13.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)|
|Josh Reynolds (LAR)||2.5 (Ov -175 | Un +138)||33.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124)||18.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
N’Keal Harry (NE)
|2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -157)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||14.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125)|
|Tyler Higbee (LAR)||2.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||15.5 (Ov -106 | Un -120)|
|Cooper Kupp (LAR)||5.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||60.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||21.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125)|
Robert Woods (LAR)
|5.5 (Ov -108 | Un -115)||60.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||22.5 (Ov -113| Un -113)|
James White (NE)
|2.5 (Ov -136 | Un +109)||18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||10.5 (Ov -113| Un -113)|
Damiere Byrd (NE)
|3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150)||37.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||18.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
Jakobi Meyers (NE)
|3.5 Ov -167 | Un +133)||49.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -118)|
Van Jefferson Jr (LAR)
|1.5 (Ov +130 | Un -154)||13.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)||10.5 (Ov -120 | Un +100)|
Game Preview and Betting Angles
Generally, a quick turnaround on Thursday night makes life difficult for NFL coaches. With that said, if there are two coaches who are well-equipped to handle adversity, it’s Bill Belichick and Sean McVay.
This game will be a rematch of Super Bowl 53, a game in which these two teams combined for 16 points. Of course, the personnel on both sides is much different now, but we can expect to see Belichick and McVay square off in another chess match. If either team wants to go back to the Super Bowl this season, this game could go a long way in solidifying a playoff spot.
Rams Game Notes
The Rams should be well-equipped to slow down this Patriots offense. With Cam Newton replacing Tom Brady this offseason, New England has tweaked the offense to focus more on the running game. That plays right into the Rams’ strengths. Los Angeles is ranked third in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (93.1).
With that said, if the Patriots decide to throw the ball more, they are just asking for trouble. Los Angeles leads the NFL in passing defense (198.3 YPG). While the secondary, which is led by Jalen Ramsey, is one of the best in football, Aaron Donald is the biggest reason for their success in the passing game. LA is third in the NFL in sacks (36.0) and Donald leads the team with 11. He consistently draws and beats double teams. Donald is a three-time Defensive Player of the Year for a reason.
Offensively, it’s all about establishing the run early to set up Jared Goff in the play-action game. Goff is capable of winning games when he throws the ball 40 to 50 times, but that shouldn’t be McVay’s gameplan going into Week 14. Get Darrell Henderson, Malcolm Brown, and Cam Akers going on the ground first. That should open things up for Goff.
Patriots Game Notes
Cam Newton only threw for 69 yards in last week’s win over the Chargers, but he doesn’t need to throw the ball a ton for the Patriots to be successful. In fact, the Pats have only won two games in which Newton threw the ball 20 or more times. They are 2-4 when Newton has 20+ pass attempts and 4-2 when he throws the ball 19 or fewer times.
As we noted earlier, the Rams are tough against the run, but they are better against the pass. No matter what New England does, they are going to have a hard time moving the ball against these Rams.
The gameplan for the Patriots is simple. Try to slow the game down and capitalize on takeaways. New England is second in the NFL in interceptions and Goff is susceptible to turnovers. He already has thrown 10 picks this season. We expect to see the Pats dial up some pressure to try and force Goff into errant throws.
How To Watch Rams-Patriots
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 10
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles, California)
- TV: FOX, NFL Network, Amazon
Betting Picks and Prediction
Take the under on the total here. Even though both teams put up a ton of points in Week 13, we expect to see both offenses take a step back on the short week. This will be a grind of a game that could be decided by one big play from either team. Although we think the Rams are going to end up winning this one, the five-point spread is too big to take.
Final Score Prediction: Rams win 21-17
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