Last Updated on October 19, 2020
- Penn State and Indiana will open up their delayed BIG10 college football season on Saturday with PSU favored -6.5.
- The line has gone from Penn State -7.5 to -6.5.
- Indiana went 8-5 ATS last season.
- Penn State is 22-1 all-time vs. Indiana.
No. 8 Penn State is coming in with high hopes for the 2020 season, but Indiana is looking to play spoiler this weekend as the two teams kick off the Big Ten season. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Big Ten is playing a shortened, eight-game schedule. This means that Penn State will likely have to win out to secure a spot in the College Football Playoff.
But don’t sleep on Indiana. The Hoosiers finished last season 8-5 and even though they won’t have a home crowd in Memorial Stadium, they won’t have to deal with traveling before their first game.
Here’s everything you need to know about Indiana vs. Penn State for Week 8 of the college football season.
Indiana-Penn State 2020 Betting Line
Penn State is opening at -6.5 on the spread line and -250 on the moneyline. Those moneyline odds imply that the Nittany Lions have a 71% chance to win outright on Saturday.
There is some slight variance in the total points mark. Right now, PointsBet Sportsbook has the total points set to 57, but FanDuel Sportsbook has it at 57.5. If you’re looking to take the over, go with PointsBet, but if you like the under, FanDuel is the place to go.
Game Preview & Betting Angles
Penn State is entering the 2020 season with high expectations. Ohio State is still the class of the Big Ten until someone takes them down, but the Nittany Lions are the biggest contender to do so in 2020. In fact, these two Big Ten powerhouses will meet next weekend in Beaver Stadium in one of the biggest games of the year.
Of course, Penn State needs to take care of business against Indiana before worrying about Ohio State. The Hoosiers won’t be a walk in the park. The last two meetings between Indiana and Penn State were one-score games. Not to mention, it’s always tough to know what to expect in the first game of the season. Preseason rankings aren’t always spot on and Penn State will have to prove it’s top-10 ranking on the field.
The Nittany Lions are led by junior quarterback Sean Clifford. In his first year as a starter, Clifford led Penn State to an 11-2 record and a win in the Cotton Bowl. He threw for 2,654 yards, 23 touchdowns, and seven interceptions as a sophomore.
But Penn State’s offense is about more than just the quarterback. The team’s top two running backs from last season, Journey Brown and Noah Cain, are back for another season. The pair combined for over 1,500 yards from scrimmage and 21 touchdowns in 2019. Penn State is a balanced offense that should be even more dangerous in 2020 with plenty of top performers returning.
Defensively, Penn State will be missing a huge foundational piece. Consensus All-American linebacker Micah Parsons decided to opt-out of the 2020 season and prepare for the 2021 NFL Draft. In addition to his All-American status, Parsons won the Big Ten’s Linebacker of the Year award and was a finalist for the Butkus Award.
For Indiana, redshirt sophomore Michael Penix will have an opportunity to start at quarterback for the Hoosiers. He’s leading a young Indiana group that will need to come together quickly or risk falling back in the Big Ten standings.
In six starts last season, Penix threw for 1,394 yards, 10 touchdowns, and four interceptions. He also ran for two more scores although he’s not a quarterback who will rack up a ton of rushing yards week in and week out.
From a betting standpoint, the Hoosiers were 8-5 against the spread last season. Penn State, on the other hand, was 7-6 ATS last season. Both teams went 6-7 on over-unders. The opening line for Indiana-Penn State was 7.5 points, but that number is dropping as we inch closer to gameday.
Indiana-Penn State Historical Matchup
Penn State holds a significant advantage in the all-time series with a record of 22-1. Indiana’s sole win over their Big Ten rival came in 2013. Of course, Indiana has played Penn State competitively in recent years, but they haven’t been able to finish the job with a win during Tom Allen’s tenure in Bloomington.
How To Watch Indiana-Penn State
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 24
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
- TV: FS1
Betting Picks and Score Prediction
Is this a trap game for Penn State as they look ahead to the marquee matchup with Ohio State? No. Penn State will cover the points and leave Bloomington with a win under their belts. The home-field advantage will be lessened without fans in the stands and Penn State simply has too much talent offensively to be held in check for long.
Final Score Prediction: Penn State 24-14