- The Kansas City Chiefs are -8 against the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday Night Football this week. The total is set to 56.5 points.
- The Raiders gave the Chiefs their only loss of the season in Week 5.
- Kansas City is third in the NFL in turnover differential this season (+8).
- The Raiders are 7-2 on over/unders this season.
On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs (8-1) will have their chance to avenge their only loss of the season. In fact, their loss to the Las Vegas Raiders (6-3) in Week 5 was their only loss in their last 15 games. The Raiders, on the other hand, are out to prove that they are a legitimate contender in the AFC this year.
A win on Sunday would put the Raiders in a spot where winning the AFC West is a legitimate possibility. Securing a home game in the first round of the playoffs would undoubtedly boost their odds to win the Super Bowl. However, a loss would mean Las Vegas is in danger of falling out of the playoff picture entirely.
The Action Rush Sunday Night Football betting guide has the best odds, interesting props, analysis, and everything else you need to know for Raiders vs. Chiefs in Week 11.
Raiders – Chiefs Week 11 Spread SNF
Despite losing to the Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium earlier this year, the Chiefs open as -8 favorites on the spread line and -370 on the moneyline. Those moneyline odds would imply that the Chiefs have a 79% chance at winning.
The total is set to 56.5 which is an awfully high number for an NFL game, but it’s a bit more reasonable when one considers the two offenses in this game. These AFC West rivals combined to score 72 points in their first meeting in 2020.
Who is the public betting on?
No real surprise here as the NFL betting public is hammering the KC Chiefs at DraftKings Sportsbook.
|KC Chiefs||-8||84%||80%||Over 56.5||92%||82%||-375||90%||90%|
|LV Raiders||+8||16%||20%||Under 56.5||8%||18%||+310||10%||10%|
Preview & Betting Angles
The Raiders need to win this game in order to have a chance to win the division. If they fall three games behind the Chiefs in the AFC West, the division race would be all, but over. The Chiefs are the favorites to win the Super Bowl for a reason and the public is heavily backing Patrick Mahomes and company.
Let’s take a look at some of this season’s trends with these two teams.
Raiders Game Notes
Beating the Chiefs in primetime would be a massive statement by Jon Gruden and the Raiders. They were able to knock off the Chiefs once this year, but it won’t be easy to pull that off twice.
In their first meeting, Derek Carr actually outplayed Patrick Mahomes. There aren’t many quarterbacks who can say that over the last three seasons. Carr threw for 347 yards and three touchdowns on 22-for-31 passing in Week 5.
He was aided by a strong running game led by Josh Jacobs. The second-year back out of Alabama battled for 77 yards on 23 carries, but his two touchdowns in the fourth quarter proved to be the difference in the game. Devontae Booker also chipped in with 62 yards on seven carries. Most of that came on a big 43-yard chunk play.
If the Raiders are going to win this game, they will need to rely on Jacobs and Booker to control the clock and take the air out of the ball. Las Vegas can’t rely on Carr outplaying Mahomes again, so the next best option is pounding it on the ground. Kansas City is susceptible to the run, allowing 138.4 rush yards per game (29th in the NFL).
Chiefs Game Notes
Stopping the run is going to be key for the Chiefs on Sunday, but they might not even have to if they can jump out to an early lead. Coming out aggressively and trying to force the Raiders to change up the gameplan is the path to victory for Kansas City on Sunday.
Winning the turnover battle will also be crucial for Kansas City. The Chiefs are currently third in the NFL in turnover differential (+8) and Mahomes is the biggest reason for their success in this regard. The reigning Super Bowl MVP has only thrown one interception all season, but it’s worth noting that his lone pick came against the Raiders.
Even though the Raiders won a shootout against the Chiefs in Week 5, pulling that kind of win again seems like a risky proposition. Kansas City is likely to get Sammy Watkins back on the field this weekend. He adds another dimension to this Chiefs offense with his big body and savvy as a receiver.
Chiefs vs Raiders Player Props
|Passers||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||25.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)||319.5 (Ov -106 | Un -114)||2.5 (Ov +102 | Un -130)|
|Derek Carr (LV)||23.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)||259.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||1.5 (Ov -150 | Un +118)|
|Rushers||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||11.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||47.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||61.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Le’Veon Bell (KC)||6.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Josh Jacobs (LV)||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||74.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||93.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Devontae Booker (LV)||N/A||27.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Receivers||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||5.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)||76.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||26.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||6.5 (Ov +118 | Un -150)||77.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||23.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Mecole Hardman (KC)||3.5 (Ov +118 | Un -150)||40.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||N/A|
|Darren Waller (LV)||5.5 (Ov +106 | Un -136)||52.5 (Ov -106 | Un -114)||19.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125)|
|Henry Ruggs (LV)||2.5 (Ov -150 | Un +118)||34.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||18.5 (Ov -106 | Un -120)|
|Nelson Agholor (LV)||3.5 (Ov +132 | Un -170)||33.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||18.5 (Ov -136 | Un +106)|
How To Watch Raiders – Chiefs Sunday Night
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 22
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas, Nevada)
- TV: NBC
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
Kansas City might be motivated to put a beating on Las Vegas in this game, but -8 is too big of a spread to mess around with and there is little value on the Chiefs at -370 on the moneyline.
Go with the under on the total points. With the total set to 56.5 points, it’s going to take a shootout (or a completely one-sided blowout) to hit that number. The Raiders are going to try and establish the run game to keep the ball away from Mahomes. That should lead to a lower scoring game than most people expect.
Final Score Prediction: Chiefs win 28-21
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