Last Updated on January 15, 2021
- The top-seeded Packers enter this game as 7 point favorites.
- The Rams are coming off a big Wild Card win over the division-rival Seahawks.
- The Packers have won each of their last six games.
- All 2021 NFL Playoff odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Super Wild Card Weekend has concluded, but don’t you worry. The Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs is right around the corner, and to kick off the weekend’s slate of games, we have an NFC matchup that pits the top-seeded Green Bay Packers against the six-seeded Los Angeles Rams.
This will be the Packers’ first playoff game, given the fact that they earned the prestigious first-round bye. With the new postseason format, the Packers were the only team in the conference to earn that honor. They’re red-hot and closed out the regular season with six consecutive victories which saw an average winning margin of 15 points.
The Rams, on the other hand, have won their last two, including the most recent victory over the Seahawks in the Wild Card Round. On the road, the Rams ousted their division rivals by a score of 30-20 behind 131 rushing yards and one score from rookie running back Cam Akers. Quarterback Jared Goff additionally threw for 155 yards and one touchdown on 9-of-19 passing. He didn’t even start the game either. Amid Goff’s lingering thumb injury, John Wolford notched the start for Los Angeles but was knocked out of the game with a neck injury in the opening quarter.
This Action Rush NFL Playoffs betting guide provides odds, picks, and analysis for the Rams-Packers Divisional Round matchup.
Rams – Packers 2021 Divisional Round Odds
Per DraftKings Sportsbook, the Packers are 7.0-point home favorites and -335 on the moneyline while the Rams are +275. The total is currently set to over-under 46.0.
The Packers are 10-6 against the spread this season while the Rams are 10-7 in those regards. The over has hit in five of the Rams’ 17 games (5-12) and nine of the Packers’ 16 games (9-7). Green Bay’s average total is 54.9 and Los Angeles’ average total is 42.2.
Early Money Is ALL OVER Packers!
|Divisional Weekend Splits|
|Saturday, January 16, 2021|
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|LA Rams||+6.5||16%||18%||Over 45.5||54%||76%||+270||16%||22%|
|GB Packers||-6.5||84%||82%||Under 45.5||46%||24%||-315||84%||78%|
Rams vs. Packers Player Prop Bets
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Jared Goff (LAR)||19.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||209.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov +134 | Un -167)|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||23.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)||259.5 (Ov -108 | Un -115)||1.5 (Ov -225 | Un +175)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Receiving and Rush Yards|
|Malcolm Brown (LAR)||N/A||12.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101)||21.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)|
|Cam Akers (LAR)||16.5 (Ov -112| Un -112)||70.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105)||87.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101)|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||16.5 (Ov -112| Un -112)||68.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105)||95.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Jamaal Williams (GB)||N/A||19.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||30.5 (Ov -125 | Un +200)|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||N/A||9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Wide Receivers + Tight Ends||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Robert Woods (LAR)||5.5 (Ov +125| Un -157)||54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)|
|Tyler Higbee (LAR)||2.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||14.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)|
|Cam Akers (LAR)||2.5 (Ov +140 | Un -175)||14.5 (Ov -143 | Un +115)||9.5 (Ov -128 | Un +105)|
|Gerald Everett (LAR)||1.5 (Ov -190 | Un +150||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||11.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)|
|Allen Lazard (GB)||3.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)||38.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||18.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)|
|Davante Adams (GB)||6.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||75.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -111)|
|Robert Tonyan (GB)||3.5 (Ov +117 | Un -148)||33.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||16.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||3.5 (Ov +136 | Un -175)||23.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||11.5 (Ov -133 | Un +110)|
|Marques Valez-Scantling (GB)||2.5 (Ov -182 | Un +150)||23.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||14.5 (Ov -111 | Un -110)|
Game Preview and Betting Angles
It’s do-or-die at this point. The winner of this matchup will take on the winner of the Saints-Buccaneers Divisional Round matchup (Sunday at 6:40 p.m. ET) in the NFC Championship Game.
The Rams are taking part in the Divisional Round for the second time in three years, last winning in this round during the 2018 season (they defeated the Cowboys en route to losing to New England in Super Bowl 53). It’s not exactly confirmed whether Jared Goff or John Wolford will start, but that will be decided at some point during the week. Wolford is day-to-day with his neck injury.
The Packers last played in this round of the postseason in January 2020. They defeated the Seahawks 28-23 before losing to the 49ers 37-20 in the NFC Championship Game. This will be Aaron Rodgers’ eighth Divisional Round game; he’s 4-3 in this round in his career and 2-1 at Lambeau Field.
Rams Game Notes
The Packers secondary is a tad bit better from a statistical standpoint than Green Bay’s run defense. Taking that into consideration along with the situation between Goff and Wolford, the Rams will likely look to run the ball a significant amount in this game. It certainly worked against the Seahawks (as was mentioned earlier, Cam Akers rushed for 131 yards and one score in the victory).
This should lead to long drives for Sean McVay’s offensive unit, a tactic that needs to be utilized in order to tire out the fairly strong Packers defense. Given the injuries to either quarterback, the Rams will need to pick their spots when it comes to throwing the ball. It is indeed the playoffs, yes. Regardless, being too aggressive through the air may come back to haunt them.
The Rams finished the regular season as a top-ten rushing team in the league, gaining an average of 126.1 yards on the ground per game behind Akers, Malcolm Brown, and Darrell Henderson.
Packers Game Notes
Needless to say, the Packers offense going up against the Rams defense should be must-see football. Led by Aaron Rodgers, who is likely to win the NFL MVP Award, the Packers put up 389.0 yards per game (fifth in the NFL) and 31.8 points per game (first) in the regular season. The Rams defense, on the other hand, allowed just 281.9 yards and 18.5 points per game (both marks sat atop the league in the regular season).
Sure, the Rams secondary (led by Jalen Ramsey) is incredibly strong, but if I’m the Packers, I come out throwing the ball. Green Bay’s current quarterback situation is far better than Los Angeles’ and head coach Matt LaFleur should attack this secondary in order to set the tone. It’s not like Rodgers isn’t capable of doing that either, that’s for sure.
In spite of this strong Rams defensive backfield, expect Rodgers to undergo a huge game and continue his stellar season. During the 16-game slate, the veteran quarterback completed 70.7% of his throws for 4,299 yards, 48 touchdowns, and just five interceptions.
How to Watch Rams – Packers Divisional Round
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 16.
- Time: 4:35 p.m. ET
- Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, WI)
- TV: FOX
Prediction: Packers Win but Rams Cover
This Rams defense is incredible and should be able to keep up with the Packers’ high-powered offense for the most part. That, in and of itself, will keep this a one-possession game until the final whistle. However, you cannot count Aaron Rodgers out when it comes to peaking at the right moments and squeaking out a victory, and I believe he and the Green Bay offense will be able to do just that.
Given the strength of either defense, I would also hammer the under.