Last Updated on November 8, 2020
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are -4 against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday Night Football. The total is set to 51.5.
- This is the first game of the season the New Orleans is the underdog.
- The Saints have hit the over in all seven of their games.
- The Bucs are third in the NFL in scoring defense.
Sunday Night Football rematch we’ve all been waiting for — Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints. Brees and company edged out Brady in his debut with Tampa Bay in Week 1, but the Bucs have rallied to take the division lead in the NFC South.
The winner of Sunday’s game will take sole possession of first place. The Bucs (6-2) have a slight edge over the Saints (5-2), but if New Orleans wins and sweeps the season series, they will have the tiebreaker against Tampa Bay. It’s only Week 9, but this game has massive implications for the NFC playoff picture and as a result, the Super Bowl.
The Action Rush Sunday Night Football betting guide has the best odds, interesting props, analysis, and everything else you need to know for Buccaneers vs. Saints in Week 9.
Saints – TB Bucs Spread SNF
The Buccaneers are currently -4 on the spread line and -200 on the moneyline. Although they were losers against the Saints in Week 1, they have won six of their last seven games and will be at home this weekend.
The total is set to 51.5 right now. Both Tampa Bay and New Orleans score at a high clip (30.9 and 29.4 points per game respectively), but the Bucs also rank seventh in scoring defense (20.6)
Preview & Betting Angles
Cherish these battles between Tom Brady and Drew Brees because we don’t know how many we have left before one of these future Hall of Famers retires. Brees had the upper hand in Week 1. He only threw for 160 yards and two touchdowns compared to Brady’s 239 passing yards and three total scores, but Brees won the turnover battle. Uncharacteristically, Brady threw two interceptions, one that was brought back for a touchdown.
TB Bucs Notes
That’s not the Tom Brady we are used to seeing, but that Week 1 game might have been an anomaly. Since that loss to the Saints, Brady has thrown for 18 touchdowns and just two interceptions. The Bucs have put together convincing wins against the Las Vegas Raiders, Carolina Panthers, and Green Bay Packers.
One quick side note on the quarterback matchup: Brady currently has the most passing touchdowns in NFL history with 561, but Brees trails him by one. They will likely continue to leapfrog another for the all-time lead as they have done all season long.
But back to the overall matchup. Tampa Bay has a significant edge with their defense. Defensive coordinator Todd Bowles seems to have found the magic formula down south. The Bucs are currently in the top 10 in the NFL in three major defensive categories — eighth in scoring, first in rushing, and third in total. They are also second in the NFL with 28 sacks.
The Saints are going to have a hard time running the ball against this stout defense and if the offensive line can’t protect Brees on passing downs, this could be a long game for Saints backers.
Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas has only played in one game due to injuries this year. He has been limited in practice all week and it’s unclear if he will be good to go for Sunday. It seems unlikely given the fact that he hasn’t played since Week 1, but if he can return, Thomas could go a long way in exploiting a Tampa Bay defense that is ranked 14th in the NFL in passing yards.
In terms of betting trends, the Saints are 2-5 against the spread this year, but they have hit the over in every single game thus far. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, are 4-4 against the spread, but 5-3 on over-unders. This will be the first time that New Orleans is an underdog all year.
Buccaneers vs. Saints SNF Prop Bets
|Passers||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Drew Brees (NO)||24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||278.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -167 | Un +134)|
|Tom Brady (TB)||25.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||295.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||2.5 (Ov +165 | Un -210)|
|Rushers||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Alvin Kamara (NO)||12.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||50.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||89.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Latavius Murray (NO)||7.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)||35.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Ronald Jones II (TB)||13.5 (Ov +101 | Un -125)||47.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||63.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Leonard Fournette (TB)||9.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||37.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||58.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Receivers||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Michael Thomas (NO)||5.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||62.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Emmanuel Sanders (NO)||3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150)||42.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||N/A|
|Jared Cook (NO)||3.5 (Ov +133 | Un -167)||37.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Mike Evans (TB)||4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140)||55.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||21.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Chris Godwin (TB)||N/A||53.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||N/A|
|Antonio Brown (TB)||N/A||39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Rob Gronkowski (TB)||3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -102)||38.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101)||17.5 (Ov -120 | Un -104)|
How To Watch Buccaneers – Saints Sunday Night
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 8
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
- TV: NBC
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
Division games are always tough to pick. The Bucs didn’t look great on Monday Night Football against the New York Giants, but they have been excellent all year long. Meanwhile, the Saints are riding a four-game winning streak.
Take the over on the total and stay away from the spread for either team. The total is set a bit high at 51.5 and Tampa Bay’s defense is no joke, but we expect to see Brady and Brees go shot for shot on Sunday night. Again New Orleans has yet to hit the under all year long and they won’t start this week.