Last Updated on September 27, 2020
- The New Orleans Saints are 3-point favorites over the Green Bay Packer for Week 3 Sunday Night Football.
- The Packers and Saints are the Nos. 1 and 6 offenses in the NFL, respectively.
- The Saints have won 21 of their last 24 games at home.
- The last four Packers games have gone over on the total points.
The Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints feature two of the best quarterbacks of this generation, but they’ve looked awfully different these last couple of weeks. Aaron Rodgers has the Packers looking like a legitimate Super Bowl contender while there are whispers of Drew Brees devolving into a game manager because of his reduced arm strength. The two will meet in Week 3 on Sunday Night Football.
Here’s our Action Rush Sunday Night Football Preview with everything you need to know about the matchup, odds, spread, betting angles, and public backing. And of course, we’ll top it all off with a prediction and pick.
Saints – Packers Odds Week 3
Despite the Saints crumbling against the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football in Week 2, they are still the favorite against the Packers. Additionally, they are still slightly ahead of Green Bay when it comes to Super Bowl odds, but the Packers saw a significant boost in Super Bowl odds after Week 2.
The Packers are the underdogs at +3.5 on the spread and +150 on the moneyline. Multiple sportsbooks have different lines so far so you can still grab the Saints with the extra half-point (-3) at some books. The over-under is set to 52.5 points right now.
SNF Preview & Betting Angles
This is one of the premier matchups in Week 3. That is going to be the case anytime two Super Bowl contenders go at it in primetime. Rodgers is on the warpath so far this season, throwing for 604 yards and six touchdowns without an interception in his first two games.
Is he looking to prove a point after Green Bay took BYU quarterback Jordan Love with their first-round pick in April? If he is, there’s no better time to make a statement than on Sunday Night Football against the Saints. Right now, Rodgers leads the NFL in Quarterback Rating with a 91.7.
Look for the Packers to continue to play through Rodgers, but don’t sleep on the rushing attack, either. Fourth-year running back Aaron Jones went off for 168 rushing yards and two scores (plus 68 receiving yards and a touchdown) against the Detroit Lions last week.Green Bay is capable of playing from ahead or behind. Their offense is well-suited for any kind of situation.
On the other side of the field, there are concerns about the Saints. New Orleans did a decent job moving the ball against the Raiders in Week 2, but Brees doesn’t have the arm strength he used to have. If Brees can’t keep the defense honest with the deep ball, Green Bay can load up on the short and intermediate throws. Add in the fact that his most productive target – Michael Thomas – is likely to miss Week 3 with a high-ankle sprain and this week could be scary for New Orleans.
As for the defense, the Saints looked good against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in Week 1, but inept against Derek Carr and the Raiders in Week 2. It’s impossible to know what to expect against Rodgers and company this week.
As for Green Bay’s defense, they held the Detroit Lions in check after allowing two quick touchdowns in Week 2. During Week 1, they completely stifled Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota Vikings until the fourth quarter. They allowed the Vikings to put 24 points up on the board in that game, but it was too little, too late.
The Packers and Saints are first and sixth in scoring offense this season, respectively. That means we could be in for a shootout on Sunday – so long as Brees figures out a way to overcome his dwindling arm strength.
One thing that we can’t overlook is how strong the Saints are at home, but they won’t have a full capacity crowd. That home-field advantage is diminished without a full stadium.
Where To Watch Packers at Saints Week 3
As always, Sunday Night Football can be found on NBC with kick-off at 8:20 p.m. ET. It’s the perfect cherry on top of NFL Sundays each week and this marquee matchup shouldn’t disappoint. Al Michaels (play-by-play), Cris Collinsworth (game analyst), and Michele Tafoya (sideline reporter) will be on the call.
83% of spread bets and 66% of money on Packers
87% of ML bets and 68% of money on Packers
— Jason Ziernicki 🎲🏈➡️💰 (@jziernick) September 27, 2020
Player markets will come out on DraftKings Sportsbook closer to game day, but there are always game props and team props out early in the week. First scoring play is always an interesting prop with decent odds. With these two teams playing, it could come down to who has the ball first.
First Scoring Play:
Saints Touchdown (+165)
Packers Touchdown (+220)
Saints Field Goal (+370)
Packers Field Goal (+440)
Saints Safety (+5500)
Packers Safety (+5500)
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
After watching the games in Week 2, Packers +3.5 almost feels like a trap. Green Bay is rolling offensively and New Orleans struggled to put points on the board against Las Vegas. But let’s put any fears of traps to bed and take the Packers with the points.
The Packers have too much firepower offensively for this to become a blowout in favor of the Saints. At the very least, this should be a one-score game late in the fourth quarter, meaning the smart play is the underdog Packers. Green Bay on the moneyline isn’t a bad play either, but the safe bet is with the 3.5 points.
Final score prediction: Packers 34-31