Last Updated on December 25, 2020

  • The Saints are 7.0-point home underdogs for this Christmas Day matchup.
  • The Saints are the No. 2 seed in the NFC after two consecutive losses.
  • The Vikings still have a shot at the playoffs despite being 6-8.
  • Lines courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, player props courtesy of BetMGM.
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Friday afternoon football? On Christmas Day? Oh 2020, you’ve done it again.

That’s right, this coming Friday at 4:30 p.m. ET, we will be able to sit on the couch after opening gifts to watch the Vikings take on the high-powered Saints at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans. Of course, there is some history between these two NFC ballclubs. The Saints and Vikings have played each other in the playoffs in two of the last three seasons, with the Vikings emerging victorious in either matchup.

A postseason meeting between Minnesota and New Orleans doesn’t seem likely this year, but you never know. The Saints have clinched a postseason spot but not the No. 1 seed or the NFC South division. The Vikings, on the other hand, are on the outside looking in but still possess a chance at playoff football. A significant number of things will need to occur though, some of which are out of their control.

The Action Rush Christmas Day Football betting guide provides odds, picks, and analysis for the Saints-Vikings Week 16 matchup.

 

Saints – Vikings Christmas Day Odds

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Per DraftKings Sportsbook, the Saints enter as 7.0-point home underdogs and are -335 on the moneyline while the Vikings are +275. The total is currently set to over-under 51.5.

The Saints are 7-7 against the spread this year while the Vikings are 6-8. The over has hit in nine of the Saints’ 14 games (9-5) and also in nine of the Vikings’ 14 games (9-5). In 2020, the average total has been 49.6 for New Orleans and 53.4 for Minnesota.

 

Who is the public betting on?

Week 16 NFL Christmas Day Splits
Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
MIN Vikings +6.5 18% 29% Over 50.5 62% 71% +235 16% 16%
NO Saints -6.5 82% 71% Under 50.5 38% 29% -275 84% 84%

Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

Saints vs. Vikings Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Drew Brees (NO) 22.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105 ) 254.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115 ) 1.5 (Ov -190 | Un +150 )
Kirk Cousins (MIN) 21.5 (Ov +100 | Un -125 ) 251.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110 ) 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105 )
Running Backs Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Latavius Murray (NO)
8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -110 ) 35.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) 48.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110 )
Dalvin Cook (MIN)
20.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100 ) N/A 106.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105 )
Alvin Kamara (NO) N/A 63.5 (Ov +105 | Un -130 ) 114.5 (Ov +110 | Un -135 )
Kirk Cousins (MIN) N/A 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115 ) N/A
       
       
       
WR / TE / RB Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Alvin Kamara (NO) 5.5 (Ov -145 | Un +115 ) 45.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110 ) 15.5 (Ov -115  | Un -105 )
Emmanuel Sanders (NO) 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115 ) 61.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110 ) 24.5 (Ov -105  | Un -115  )
Jared Cook (NO) 3.5 (Ov +150 | Un -190  ) 33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105 ) 17.5 (Ov +100 | Un -120 )
Latavius Murray (NO) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115 ) 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115 ) N/A
Adam Thielen (MIN) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135 ) 58.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110 ) 23.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115 )
Dalvin Cook (MIN) 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -135 ) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105 ) 11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110 )
Justin Jefferson (MIN) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +110 ) N/A 24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115 )

 

 

Game Preview and Betting Angles

As was mentioned previously, these two teams definitely have recent history involving one another. Just last year, Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins threw a game-winning touchdown pass to defeat the Saints in the NFC wild card round in their own stadium. Two years prior to that was the Minneapolis Miracle, a play in which former Vikings quarterback Case Keenum hit former Vikings wideout Stefon Diggs for a game-winning miracle touchdown as time expired. Minnesota thus surpassed the Saints in the NFC divisional round that year en route to a loss in the NFC Championship Game.

But this year could be very different. The Saints sport a loaded roster that’s proven to be successful for much of this season, although you could say they’re in a slump. They’ve dropped two straight games including one to the struggling Eagles. The Vikings are also on a two-game losing streak, having come up short against the Buccaneers and Bears in recent weeks.

 

Saints Game Notes

Despite their mostly successful season, the Saints have been dealing with some injuries as of late. Drew Brees just returned to the starting lineup after a four-game absence but didn’t look fantastic, completing just 44.1% of his throws against Kansas City. New Orleans additionally placed wideout Michael Thomas on injured reserve with an ankle injury. The star receiver has only played in seven games during this year’s regular-season slate.

You could also say the defense hasn’t stepped up over the course of the last two weeks either, giving up 24 points to the Eagles (and 221 combined rushing yards between Miles Sanders and Jalen Hurts) along with 32 points to the Chiefs.

The Saints need to treat this as a “get right game.” The Vikings are certainly not the toughest opponent the Saints have faced all year, but if they want to eventually achieve the NFC South along with the top spot in the conference (which earns the prestigious first-round bye), they’ll need to bring their A-Game on Christmas Day and oust this very beatable Vikings team.

A win would still keep them in second place in the NFC, however. They’d be 11-4 while the Packers would still sit atop the conference at 11-3 prior to their game this Sunday night.

 

Vikings Game Notes

There’s no sugar coating it; the Vikings need to win this matchup if they want any shot at the NFL Playoffs. At 6-8. they’re very much on the outside looking in and must win their final two games against the Saints and Lions.

Given the strength of the Saints defense (third in the NFL with 306.4 total yards allowed per game), expect the Vikings to utilize the run game in order to construct long drives and ultimately tire out the strong New Orleans unit. Not to mention, it’s one of the Vikings’ strengths. Minnesota is currently fifth in the league with 147.7 rushing yards per game, 114.2 of which are courtesy of star running back Dalvin Cook.

All in all, Minnesota’s rushing attack needs to do what it can in order to take the pressure off Kirk Cousins as well as the defense, which is allowing 378.0 total yards per game (23rd in the league).

This is the biggest game of the year for Minnesota, there’s no doubt about it. Expect the Vikings to enter the Superdome motivated to notch their seventh victory, but that doesn’t mean it’ll occur.

 

How To Watch Saints – Vikings Christmas Day

  • Date: Friday, Dec. 25
  • Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome (New Orleans, LA)
  • TV: FOX, NFL Network

 

Prediction: Saints Win Outright but don’t Cover

Look, the Saints are the better team in this matchup and employ more talent, but the last two games have concerned me. Losing to the Chiefs is one thing, considering Kansas City is the ultimate NFL powerhouse. But losing to the Eagles? With Jalen Hurts? That along with some of the injuries has me thinking they’ll win this one outright but not cover the 7.0-point spread.

Also taking the Saints’ strong defense (sixth in the NFL with 21.2 points allowed per game) into consideration, I’d say the under (51.5) will hit as well.

Final Score Prediction: Saints win 27-21