- The Detroit Lions are +2.5 against the Houston Texans on Thanksgiving day. The total is set to 51.
- The Texans rank in the bottom half of the NFL in every major defensive category this year.
- The Lions were shut out for the first time all year on Sunday against the Panthers.
The Detroit Lions (4-6) playing the early game on Thanksgiving is a tradition. Unfortunately for Lions fans, Detroit hasn’t had much luck on the big stage over the last few years. Their last win on Thanksgiving day came in 2016. They will look to break this three-game losing streak against the Houston Texans (3-7).
The Action Rush Thanksgiving betting guide has the best odds, interesting props, analysis, and everything else you need to know for Lions vs. Texans in Week 12.
Lions – Texans Odds Thanksgiving Week 12
The Lions are +2.5 on the spread line and +112 on the moneyline. With that said, there are some sportsbooks that have the Texans at -2 on the spread. So far this season, the Lions and Texans are 4-6 and 3-7 against the spread, respectively. The Lions have struggled at home in 2020 and have a 1-3 record at Ford Field, but the Texans have been disappointing on the road with a 1-4 record.
The total is set to 51 on PointsBet Sportsbook. Both the Lions and the Texans have a tendency to hit the over. Detroit is 6-4 on over-unders while the Texans are 5-4-1.
Who is the public betting on?
Favorites have dominated Thanksgiving over the past decade. NFL public bets are once again supporting the chalk with the Cowboys seeing the majority of action at DraftKings.
|Week 12 Thanksgiving Day Splits|
|Teams||Point Spread||% Handle||% Bets||Total Points||% Handle||% Bets||Moneyline||% Handle||% Bets|
|HOU Texans||-3||68%||73%||Over 51.5||68%||59%||-162||74%||70%|
|DET Lions||+3||32%||27%||Under 51.5||32%||41%||+143||26%||30%|
|WAS Football Team||+3||21%||33%||Over 46.0||52%||65%||+130||36%||44%|
|DAL Cowboys||-3||79%||67%||Under 46.0||48%||35%||-148||64%||56%|
Game Preview & Betting Angles
The Lions and Texans are both on the outside looking in on the current NFL playoff picture. The Texans are currently four games out of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC while the Lions are just two games back in the NFC. A loss would almost definitely knock the Texans out and it would put Detroit’s playoff hopes on life support.
The Lions are coming into this game with hopes of forgetting about their Week 11 performance. They lost to a backup quarterback, P.J. Walker, who was most recently playing in the XFL. The Texans, on the other hand, are winners of two of their last three, including an impressive win over the New England Patriots in Week 11.
Lions Game Notes
Detroit’s offense was non-existent against the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. They only managed to rack up 185 yards of total offense and they were shut out for the first time all season. In fact, this was the first game where Detroit scored fewer than 20 points.
Quarterback Matt Stafford was without his top target, Kenny Golladay, who has dealt with multiple injuries throughout the season. Right now, he’s dealing with a hip injury that is keeping him off the field. It’s still unclear how the short week will affect his status for Thursday’s game. If he can’t suit up, Stafford will be in trouble once again.
Despite the fact that Detroit was shut out by the Panthers, we expect to see a lot of points on Thanksgiving. The Lions and Texans both rank in the bottom half of the NFL in scoring defense.
Texans Game Notes
Houston is led by their $146 million quarterback, Deshaun Watson. Although this year has not gone as planned for Watson and Houston, he put together one of his best games of the season in their Week 11 win. He outdueled Cam Newton en route to the win, throwing for 344 yards and two touchdowns. Watson was also Houston’s most productive guy in the running game, going for 36 yards and a touchdown.
Even though the Texans can put up points with anybody, their defense has struggled this year. They rank bottom half of the NFL in nearly every category, including 31st in total yards allowed and 32nd in rushing yards allowed.
However, there is a silver lining for Houston. The Lions aren’t very effective on the ground. They rank 29th in the NFL in rushing yards and they tend to abandon the running game early if it’s not working.
Lions vs. Texans Player Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Deshaun Watson (HOU)||24.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)||300.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -200)|
|Matthew Stafford (DET)||22.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)||270.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +124)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|Duke Johnson (HOU)||14.5 (Ov +135 | Un -161)||56.5 (Ov +123 | Un -155)||77.5 (Ov -113| Un -113)|
|D’Andre Swift (DET)||N/A||54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Deshaun Watson (HOU)||N/A||31.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101)||N/A|
|Matthew Stafford (DET)||N/A||6.5 (Ov -132 | Un +108)||N/A|
|WR / TE / RB||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Darren Fells (HOU)||1.5 (Ov -200 | Un +159)||18.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||11.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Brandin Cooks (HOU)||5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)||68.5 (Ov -114 | Un -109)||24.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Duke Johnson (HOU)||3.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||25.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||12.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125)|
|Will Fuller (HOU)||5.5 (Ov +108 | Un -134)||70.5 (Ov -132 | Un +105)||25.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Jordan Akins (HOU)||3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175)||33.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||15.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)|
|Keke Coutee (HOU)||2.5 (Ov -180 | Un +143)||31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||15.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Marvin Jones (DET)||4.5 (Ov +127 | Un -159)||55.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -106)|
|Jamal Agnew (DET)||N/A||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Marvin Hall (DET)||2.5 (Ov -182 | Un +145)||39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||19.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|TJ Hockenson (DET)||4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)||44.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||17.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)|
|Quintez Cephus (DET)||N/A||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||10.5 (Ov -136 | Un +106)|
|Jesse James (DET)||N/A||9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)|
|D’Andre Swift (DET)||3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -177)||22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
How To Watch Lions – Texans Thanksgiving Day
- Date: Thursday, Nov. 26
- Time:12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Ford Field (Detroit, Michigan)
- TV: CBS
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
With how poorly both these defenses have been in 2020, we are taking the over on the total points. Sure, the Lions looked helpless offensively on Sunday, but that game is likely an anomaly. Stafford can sling it with anyone and we expect him to have a bounce-back game this Thursday.
Watson is putting his teammates on his back lately. He has 12 total touchdowns and no turnovers over his last five games. Look for both quarterbacks to duke it out en route to a high-scoring game.
Final Score Prediction: Texans win 34-28
- Chiefs vs. Browns Playoff Betting Guide: Best Odds, Lines, Spread Picks - January 17, 2021
- Bet $5, Win $125 on any NFL Playoff Team on FanDuel Sportsbook (Sunday 1/17) - January 16, 2021
- Bills vs. Ravens Playoff Betting Guide: Best Odds, Lines, Spread Picks - January 16, 2021