Last Updated on October 7, 2020
- It’s the 2020 Red River Showdown between two Big-12 ballclubs coming off disappointing defeats.
- Oklahoma enters as a 2.5-point favorite despite heading into this game unranked, per DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Here are the latest odds, spread, total, and moneyline, along with a prediction.
Week 6 of the college football season comes with 2020’s version of the Red River Showdown, the infamous rivalry between Oklahoma and Texas. However, this year’s matchup is unusual, given that the two Big-12 powerhouses are actually struggling to begin the season.
The Sooners have lost two straight, with the most recent defeat coming at the hands of Iowa State just last week. Oklahoma additionally fell to unranked Kansas State the week prior. The Longhorns, on the other hand, dropped from No. 9 to No. 22 in the AP Top 25 after losing to TCU last weekend by a score of 33-31.
Texas – Oklahoma 2020 Betting Line
In spite of the fact that Oklahoma is unranked, the Sooners enter this game as the favorites to win, giving Texas 2.5 points. Oklahoma is thus favored on the moneyline, sitting at -132 while Texas is at +108. The total points is a very high mark at over-under 72, but a mark that’s reasonable given these two high-powered offenses.
Expect it to be a close game until the end, and one in which either offensive unit significantly dominates.
Game Preview & Betting Angles
Oklahoma, led by quarterback Spencer Rattler (whom you may know from Netflix’s “QB1” series), is surprisingly sitting near the bottom of the Big 12 with an overall record of 1-2 and a conference record of 0-2. A potential bid to the College Football Playoff may indeed be a lost cause, but if the Sooners are going to want any sort of relevancy this year, the losing must conclude on Saturday against their heated rivals.
In the most recent loss to Iowa State, Rattler threw for 300 yards, two scores, and one pick on 25-of-36 passing. In just three games this year, he’s thrown for 977 yards and 10 touchdowns.
The main issue with Oklahoma is the defensive unit it puts on the field. Over the last two games (both losses), the Sooners have allowed an average of 37.5 points per contest.
Texas, however, possesses that same issue. Over the course of the team’s last pair of matchups (loss to TCU and win over Texas Tech), the Longhorns have allowed 44.5 points per game. It’s coupled with a high scoring offense though, led by quarterback and Heisman Trophy candidate Sam Ehlinger. In three games, Ehlinger has thrown for 924 yards and 14 touchdowns with a 63.3% completion rate.
Based on the above information, it’d be a safe bet to take the over. These are two programs that possess high-powered offenses and not-so-talented defensive units (there’s the Big 12 for you), and the total score shouldn’t have any sort of issue surpassing 72 points. There’s actually a possibility it could do so by the third quarter.
As far as who to take with the spread, I’m going with Texas +2.5. The Longhorns field a better quarterback in Ehlinger and have actually won a game this year over a respectable program in Texas Tech (Oklahoma has yet to do so, only defeating Missouri State). I can see Texas entering the game with a chip on its shoulder after its close loss to TCU, and ultimately going home with a victory by around 3-7 points.
Having said that, I’ll also take Texas on the moneyline, believing that the Longhorns will end Oklahoma’s current two-game winning streak in this rivalry.
Texas – Oklahoma Historical Matchup Stats
These two programs have met 115 times, with Texas currently leading the series 62-48-5. Nonetheless, Oklahoma has carried the edge in recent years, winning the last two meetings.
In October of last year, Oklahoma defeated Texas 34-27, a game in which the Longhorns were actually 11-point underdogs, and therefore covered. The Sooners did indeed cover in the 2018 Big 12 championship though, winning 39-27 as 9.5-point favorites.
Surprisingly, the under has hit in three of the last five meetings. The last time the over hit between the two teams was in October 2018 when Texas emerged victoriously 48-45 with a total points mark of 59.5.
How to watch Texas – Oklahoma
Texas vs. Oklahoma comes to you live at 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday afternoon, with FOX broadcasting the game. Gus Johnson and Joel Klatt will likely have the call.
Betting Picks & Score Prediction
Considering the high-powered offenses these two teams utilize, I’m going with the over, and based on the apparent struggles in and around Oklahoma the past few weeks, I’m taking Texas +2.5. It’s going to be a high-scoring affair and the Longhorns will ultimately come away with the victory, but not by a lot.
Expect Sam Ehlinger and Spencer Rattler to undergo huge days against their opposing defenses, but the former quarterback to simply make more plays in the end. This should be a shootout and a matchup that viewers are locked into from the start.
Final Score Prediction: Texas 48-41