Last Updated on October 31, 2020
- Texas is +3.5 on the spread line against Oklahoma State. The total points mark is set to 58.5.
- Oklahoma State is 3-1 against the spread this year, all as the favorite.
- Texas is giving up 39.5 points in Big 12 play.
- The Longhorns are 4-1 on the over in 2020.
Unranked Texas is looking to knock off No. 6 Oklahoma State this weekend in Stillwater. The Longhorns came into the season with high expectations, but they are struggling at 3-2 and 2-2 in Big 12 play. Oklahoma State, on the other hand, is undefeated and making a play at the College Football Playoff.
This game is one of the most compelling matchups of Week 8 of the college football season. Let’s take a look at the best odds, lines, analysis, and everything else you need to know for Texas vs. Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma State – Texas 2020 Betting Line
The Texas Longhorns are +3.5 on the spread line and +140 on the moneyline going into enemy territory this weekend. The spread is moving since opening at +2.5.
The total points mark is set to 58.5 which might seem like a high number, but remember that Big 12 is a conference that is defined by offensive firepower, not strong defenses. Oklahoma State has bucked this trend through four games this year, but they haven’t faced an offense with the weapons that Texas possesses.
Game Preview and Betting Angles
Despite entering the season as the 14th-ranked team in the country, the Longhorns are off to another disappointing start. Back-to-back losses to Oklahoma and TCU caused Texas to drop out of the AP Top 25 Poll completely. They bounced back last week with a convincing win over Baylor, but Oklahoma State represents a much tougher matchup.
Texas rode a strong running game to victory last week, but they’ll need a big game out of quarterback Sam Ehlinger if they hope to pull off the upset. Although the Longhorns are only 3-2, Ehlinger is having arguably the best season of his four-year career. He has his highest passer efficiency rating yet and it’s quite clear that Texas’ problems are on the defense, not the offense.
The Texas defense is giving up 32.2 points per game this season. If we look at just Big 12 games, they are allowing a ridiculous 39.5 points per game. Even in the Big 12, that’s not going to get it done.
Oklahoma State plays a much more balanced type of football that focuses on the ground game. The Cowboys are driven by unanimous All-American and Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year Chuba Hubbard. Although Hubbard is not much of a threat out of the backfield as a receiver, he more than makes up for it with his running.
He is averaging 5.1 yards per carry for more than 100 yards per game. Not to mention, he already has five touchdowns on the season. Hubbard entered 2020 as one of the favorites to win the Heisman Trophy, but he’s fallen out of the running a bit. Still, he’s one of the most dangerous offensive threats in the country. Texas can’t take him lightly.
The Longhorns are just 2-3 against the spread, but unsurprisingly, they’ve hit the over in four of five games this year. The Cowboys are a different story. They are 3-1 against the spread and their ground-based attack and strong defense have led to a 1-3 record on over-unders.
Oklahoma State vs. Texas Historical Matchup
These Big 12 rivals have a long and storied history against one another, one that Texas has had the upper hand in overall, but not recently. The Longhorns are 25-9 all-time, but they have lost four of their last five meetings against the Cowboys. They broke a four-game losing streak in 2019 with a 36-30 win at home.
Their last three meetings have all been one-score games so it’s safe to expect that this one will be close as well.
How To Watch Oklahoma State vs. Texas
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 31
- Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Boone Pickens Stadium (Stillwater, Oklahoma)
- TV: FOX
Betting Picks and Score Prediction
Given Oklahoma State’s style of play, stay away from the total points on this one. Obviously, Texas has a track record of hitting the over, but if Oklahoma State has its way, they will control the pace of play with Hubbard on the ground.
With that in mind, go with the more reliable Cowboys laying the points. Playing at home is a significant advantage for Oklahoma State and Texas has been too inconsistent to trust.