Last Updated on October 17, 2020
- We have fantastic football on deck, with matchups between the Browns and Steelers, Buccaneers and Packers, along with the Chiefs and Bills.
- The Eagles are 1-1 against the spread as underdogs this year, while the Vikings are 0-1 as favorites.
- Here are the three underdogs you should bet on for the NFL’s Week 6 slate of games.
Week 6 in the NFL has arrived, and this week’s slate of games may be the best we’ve seen all year. While the Browns will look to improve to 5-1 against the division-rival Steelers, Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers face off in a battle between two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks when the Packers travel down south to take on the Buccaneers.
And while we should have a number of intriguing matchups at our disposal, there are numerous games that could favor those betting the underdog. Sure there are games like the Jets-Dolphins where the underdog (Jets +9.5) will undergo a difficult time covering the spread. Nonetheless, the upcoming three matchups all have a chance to sway away from the favorite when it’s all said and done.
This could be quite a weekend for the books…..
Highest Betting Handle for #NFL Week 6 at William Hill Sportsbooks:
94% KC -4.5 (Buff)
93% Tenn -3.5 (Hou)
92% GB -1 (TB)
89% LA Rams -3 (SF)
87% Minn -4 (ATL)
86% Balt -8.5 (PHL)
— Jason Ziernicki 🎲🏈➡️💰 (@jziernick) October 16, 2020
All lines via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Falcons (+ 4) at Vikings
The Falcons are absolutely due up for a win after starting 0-5, and could indeed possess a chance to emerge victorious or at least come close against the Vikings. Don’t forget, despite the general struggles in and around the organization, the Falcons still sport a highly productive offense. After five weeks, Atlanta’s unit is 11th in the league with 391.4 total yards per game as well as 8th with 276.8 passing yards per game.
This type of production should provide significant issues for a Vikings defense that’s struggled for much of the year thus far. Minnesota is currently allowing a whopping 404.0 total yards per game, a mark that ranks them as the 26th-best team in those regards. And although the Falcons defensive unit isn’t exactly the strongest there is, I can definitely see Minnesota quarterback Kirk Cousins undergoing a mistake-filled game. Up to this point, Cousins has turned the ball over eight times to just eight touchdown passes, and could experience much of the same if the Falcons just get enough pressure on him.
All in all, the Falcons should be able to do enough (without Dan Quinn) to at least cover the spread, if not notch the victory. Atlanta is certainly due for a win, and we could have one fewer winless NFL ballclub after this weekend.
Browns (+3.5) at Steelers
I understand the Steelers are undefeated and could certainly be a Super Bowl contender. I additionally understand a game like this usually goes the Steelers’ way, especially if they’re the home team.
But if you’re going to open your wallet for this game, you better do so with the Browns +3.5 spread in mind.
Sure the Steelers employ talent, but the Browns may sport one of the better rosters throughout the entirety of the league, especially on the offensive side of the ball with Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, Kareem Hunt, Austin Hooper, and Baker Mayfield. This issue, however, is the latter-most individual. Given he’s prone to mistakes, the Browns cannot ask too much from Mayfield. He needs to be that game manager-type quarterback, and when he’s able to just distribute to ball and put it in the hands of his team’s playmakers, things usually work out on the field. It’s a big reason for their hot start, which has the potential to improve to 5-1 with a win this Sunday.
The Browns offense up against the Steelers defense (third with 301.5 yards allowed per game) will be a great matchup, sure. But if the Browns can just utilize the correct gameplan and maximize what they can get out of their playmakers (like they did against Dallas a few weeks ago), I don’t see why they shouldn’t come within 3.5 points against the Steelers. It should be a close game overall, and the Browns possess the opportunity to really make things interesting in the AFC North division with a victory.
Eagles (+9.5) vs. Ravens
Listen, I know the Eagles have struggled mightily this year, with their only win coming against Nick Mullens, C.J. Beathard, and the injury-ravaged 49ers in Week 4. I also know how good Baltimore can be when Lamar Jackson is at his best. But if we’re going to be completely honest, has Jackson really been at his best in 2020?
After a sensational 2019 campaign that saw him earn the prestigious NFL MVP Award, Jackson hasn’t thrown at least 300 yards in a game up to this point. The last few matchups have been very below-average too, with 97, 193, and 180 yards passing respectively in Weeks 3, 4, and 5. Against a struggling Bengals team last week, he only completed 51.3% of his passes.
I’m not saying Jackson has regressed, I’m just saying that teams have begun to potentially figure him out a little bit, and the Eagles (13th in total defense) could be in line to do the same at home this Sunday. While a 9.5-point spread is below the Eagles’ average losing margin of 12.3, I don’t think it will be an impossible task to cover, especially considering the Eagles are 1-1 doing so as underdogs this year. If they can just contain Jackson on the ground and make him beat them with his arm (which could thus lead to mistakes), I believe Carson Wentz won’t need to do too much for this Eagles team to at least come within 9.5 points.
Don’t be overwhelmed by the oohs and aahs of Jackson’s talent — it may not emerge to its fullest extent while on the road at Lincoln Financial Field.
Additional Underdog Plays
Washington (+2.5) at Giants: While Washington is struggling this year (as expected), they face the one NFC East team who happens to possess even more issues on the field. The Giants offense has been putrid this year and is second-to-last in scoring, and if the Football Team can pressure Daniel Jones and the Giants offensive line, Kyle Allen won’t have an overwhelming responsibility on his hands when it comes to leading his team to victory.
Cowboys (+1) vs. Cardinals: The Cardinals employ arguably the most exciting quarterback (and player) in all of football in Kyler Murray and might be a darkhorse Wild Card team towards the end of the regular season. Nonetheless, the Cowboys have momentum from their big win over the Giants last Sunday and could carry it over to Monday night, even without quarterback Dak Prescott.
Bears (+1) vs. Panthers: While the Panthers are red hot after winning three straight, the Bears are 4-1 and are looking like they could be one of the NFC’s better Wild Card teams this year. Applying the pressure on Teddy Bridgewater will lead to the veteran quarterback making mistakes, and luckily, the Bears employ the weapons necessary to do so in Khalil Mack and Robert Quinn. Despite the fact that they don’t possess the greatest quarterback situation, the Bears are a talented football team that could absolutely improve to 5-1 over a Panthers ballclub that only beat the winless Falcons by a touchdown last week.