Last Updated on March 30, 2022
There is no single market in the world that is more popular than betting on US Politics. While it is not available at US books, overseas members can wager on many parts of the election cycle. With the 2024 election being the next one, many bettors are focused on the Republican Nominee odds as it could be a number of candidates to opposite sitting President Biden.
Donald Trump is the betting favorite to be the Republican Nominee in the 2024 election. Could he win again and serve a second term? Time will tell as Trump will be 78 years old but he is currently the favorite to be the Republican Nominee in 2024. Let’s take a look at the latest odds, odds movement, and more.
Odds Movement Timeline for the Republican Nomination
Here is a look at the timeline since the 2020 election, showing the odds movement for the Republican nomination market in the 2024 election.
- Mid-March 2022 – Trump’s odds fell slightly to +110, but DeSantis rose to +300.
- March 2022 – Donald Trump’s odds to win the Republican Nominee rose to +100. DeSantis is at +350.
- February 2022 – Trump’s odds remained at +120 to win, Nikki Haley’s rose to +750.
- January 2022 – Donald Trump remains as favorite, but odds went from +125 to +120 in late January. Ron DeSantis sits at +450.
Movement from 2021
- Christmas 2021 – Trump is -105 to win the Republican Nomination, DeSantis at +438.
- December 2021 – Trump’s odds fall to +138 to win the Nomination, DeSantis to +450.
- Thanksgiving 2021 – Trump’s odds to win Republican Nominee rises to +100.
- November 2021 – After the local elections in early November, Trump rose to nearly even money at +102 with DeSantis falling to +500.
- October 2021 – Odds shifted slightly, with Trump rising to +138 and DeSantis falling to +450.
- Late September 2021 – Trump’s odds rise to +170, and Ron DeSantis at +370. Other candidates’ odds fell.
- September 2021 – Donald Trump’s odds increased to +200.
- August 2021 – Trump and DeSantis sit atop the list, but Kristia Noem’s odds rose from +2400 to +1500.
- July 2021 – Florida’s Ron DeSantis continues to see his odds rise.
- May 2021 – Nikki Haley’s odds have started to fall, getting close to 7/1 as Ron DeSantis’ odds have jumped to +500.
- April 2021 – Haley, DeSantis, and Trump are all +600 or shorter.
- March 2021 – After the CPAC conference, Trump rose from +525 to +275 after all but confirming his intent to run in 2024.
- February 2021 – After Joe Biden’s inauguration, the Republican odds leaders were Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, and Mike Pence.
Republican Nominee Odds for the 2024 Election
As of late-March 2022, here are the latest odds to win the 2024 Republican Nomination. Donald Trump is the favorite, but Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida is right behind him. Chances are the two will run together in 2024, but here is a look at the nomination odds.
|Potential Republican Candidate||Odds to win Nomination|
Ron DeSantis Republican Nominee Odds 2024
Of course, the overwhelming favorite is Donald Trump. But if Trump isn’t the nominee in 2024, who will be? Many indicators point to Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida. As of fall 2021, his odds to win the nominee were +500, but those had bounced between +450 and +500. He settled at +450 into early 2022, but fell his odds rose again in March after the State of the Union. Here is a look at DeSantis’ odds over time. You can see he had a massive increase during the COVID-19 peak in early 2021, but since declined in terms of his odds to win the nomination in 2024 before rising back up in early 2022.
|Date||Ron DeSantis Odds to win Republican Nomination|
Will Mark Cuban run for President in 2024?
— People (@people) October 27, 2020
Will Mark Cuban seriously consider a campaign for President in 2024? His odds opened at 10:1 to win the nomination, and there were rumors of him entering the 2020 race. In the video above, he says he would not do it “for now”. Cuban has expressed political opinions and has been a big help for small businesses during the coronavirus pandemic. If Mark Cuban ran, he would certainly be a popular candidate based on pop culture with “Shark Tank”, Twitter, and being a front-facing governor of the Dallas Mavericks.
Cuban is the “most” likely of currently “celebrities” that would run for President in 2024, but it still seems like an unlikely event. The next four years will likely change in terms of candidates, but as of November of 2020, Cuban was 10:1 to be the next Republican Nominee in 2024.
As of fall 2021, Cuban’s odds were unlisted as he has not expressed intent to run in 2024.
Will Kanye West run for President in 2024?
Kanye West racking up 60,000 votes for president wasn't the only voting oddity from Election Day results. pic.twitter.com/FpRlSBXzbe
— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) November 5, 2020
Kanye West received 60,000 votes for President in the 2020 Election. This is not a typo, and Kanye has reportedly spent over $12M to be considered a candidate for 2020 (and beyond). Kanye apparently received a large sum of votes in California so the question must be asked…will Kanye West run for President in 2024?
His odds opened at +10000 to win the Republican Nominee for 2024, but it just does not seem likely that West would be a serious contender for the US Presidency. Oddly 10 years ago, the same question could have been said about the 45th President in the United States, Donald Trump however.
2024 Republican Nominee Odds Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to be the 2024 Republican Nominee?
Donald Trump is set to be the 2024 Republican Nominee as the favorite, with Ron DeSantis right behind him.
What are Donald Trump's odds to win the Republican Nomination?
Trump is the favorite to be the Republican Nominee in 2024, with odds at +110 as of spring 2022.
What are Ron DeSantis' odds to be the Republican nominee?
Florida's Ron DeSantis is +350 to be the Republican nomination in 2024.
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