Last Updated on July 8, 2020
The PGA Tour has had its share of hiccups along the way but Thursday brings the fifth event since returning from the COVID-19 shutdown. The 2020 Workday Charity Open will take place at Muirfield Village in Dublin, Ohio.
Looking at the opening odds for each of the four events that have taken place, the following players have won an event followed by the opening odds.
- Daniel Berger – Charles Schwab Challenge (+6600)
- Webb Simpson – RBC Heritage (+3000)
- Dustin Johnson – Travelers Championship (+2800)
- Bryson DeChambeau – Rocket Mortgage Classic (+600)
DeChambeau was the favorite to win the event from the start and the first to do so since the PGA Tour returned. The following players landed in the Top 5 followed by the opening odds to do so.
2. Matthew Wolff (+2000)
3. Kevin Kisner (+1400)
T4. Ryan Armour (+4000)
T4. Adam Hadwin (+1000)
T4. Tyrrell Hatton (+300)
T4. Danny Willett (+3300)
For the Workday Charity Open, the following players opened up as the Top-5 favorites to win the event according to the DraftKings Sportsbook.
1. Justin Thomas (+1000)
2. Patrick Cantlay (+1300)
3. Jon Rahm (+1300)
T4. Brooks Koepka (+1700)
T4. Hideki Matsuyama (+1700)
T4. Xander Schauffele (+1700)
Picks To Finish In Top 10 (Odds)
For this piece, we’ll look at three players who could finish in the Top-10, which his one of the more popular bets to take aside from an outright winner. Of course, this gives you more outs to cash your bet but they’re not as fruitful as picking an outright winner. Nonetheless, let’s take a look at three golfers to consider. All golf odds are provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of July 8th.
Patrick Cantlay (+188)
Sure, these aren’t the most exciting odds you could take for a Top 10 pick but this feels like one of the safer plays you can make. A rested Cantlay, who has only played at the Travelers Championship thus far, tied for 11th in that event. He posted no higher than a 69 during that event, finishing with 66-67-69-65. While he’s only played 12 rounds at this course, he boasts the highest averaged adjusted stroked gained at +3.23. For reference, Matt Kuchar, whom we’ll talk about soon, is a +2.75 with 46 rounds played.
Cantlay won the Memorial Tournament here last year, beating out Adam Scott by two with rounds of 68-69-68-64. His strong ball-striking abilities play well at this course and he should be in good form with the layoff. While we haven’t seen him as much as the other two golfers we’ll talk about, Cantlay has proved time and time again that he plays well here and the odds are reflected in that. Not only do I like taking him at Top 10 but his Top 5 odds at +350 are also enticing.
Viktor Hovland (+300)
It’s incredible to see that Hovland has not cracked a Top 10 since the PGA Tour returned. He’s been on the fringe in the last two events, T11 at the Travelers Championship and then T12 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Something has to give and this could be the event where he finally breaks the Top 10 and potentially even better.
Since the PGA Tour returned, Hovland is currently 1st in tee to green and ball striking. Where he’s been struggling is on the green with his putting. Even still, he’s shot in the 60s in 13 of the 16 rounds he’s played since returning, including a streak of nine straight that was snapped in the final round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic where he shot a 71. He’ll be making his debut at the Muirfield Village on Thursday and if he’s able to straighten out his putter, he’s a legitimate threat to not only make the Top-10 but go even further. Quite frankly, I wouldn’t mind even sprinkling a bit on him to win, which is currently set at 26-1.
Matt Kuchar (+450)
I think we’re getting some good odds on Kuchar, who is extremely familiar with this course at the Muirfield Village. Amongst the field, Kuchar is tied for the third-most rounds played here at 46 with a +2.75 average adjusted strokes gained. Aside from last year, Kuchar has made the cut here every single year, spanning a total of 11 years. With someone as familiar at this course with success as Kuchar, this seems like a really good spot to grab his Top 10 odds.
It hasn’t been the strongest return for Kuchar, who ranks 46th in total strokes gained, 89th in tee to green and 72 in ball striking amongst the field. He missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge and then followed that up with a T41st finish at the RBC Heritage. With the loaded field, he managed a 70-66-67-70 event, giving some hope that he can turn his fortunes around. I’d be willing to take a shot here on what is deemed one of his favorite courses on the PGA Tour.